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LS R4 · 2026-10-09
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Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find LS R4 · 2026-10-09 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Lone speed #10 LADY DREAM PIE
Pressure low. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#10LADY DREAM PIEE
- C2#2KISSBEHAVINUU
- C3#3I WANT A LAWYERUU
- C4#4PULL A CORKUU
- C5#8HEZA VICIOUS ROGUEUU
- C6#1ARES WAR WAGONUU
- C7#5LBH HICE UN CHILITOUU
- C8#7FAMOUS EAGLES CARTELUU
- C9#9THIRD COASTUU
- C10#6BUCHANAN 747C
A · Likely — expected flow
#10 LADY DREAM PIE controls. Closers need a melt that does not come.
Helps #10 LADY DREAM PIE · hurts #6 BUCHANAN 747
B · Pressure — duel / honest
Someone presses #10 LADY DREAM PIE. Soft-lead thesis dies.
Helps #6 BUCHANAN 747 · hurts #10 LADY DREAM PIE
C · Chaos — collapse
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#6 BUCHANAN 747).
Helps #6 BUCHANAN 747 · hurts #10 LADY DREAM PIE
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | KISSBEHAVINDELAROSA RUBEN JR | 3.0 | U | Same trip2026-04-05 SUN 1f 12.80 B MT ft 35/38; 2026-02-14 SUN 1f 12.40 B MT ft 44/63 · barn: same as last | Clm15000n2l → Clm 15000n2l | SEDILLO RICHARD D | Favorite |
| 3 | I WANT A LAWYERDELGADO MARIO | 3.5 | U | 2nd off layoffSame trip2026-08-25 RP 1f 12.80 Hg MT ft 16/23; 2026-03-14 RP 1f 13.00 H MT ft 39/45 · barn: same as last | DbyTrl 10000 → Clm 15000n2l | RAMIREZ HERNESTO | field |
| 4 | PULL A CORKAGUILAR CLAUDIO PONCE | 4.0 | U | Class dropSame trip2026-10-02 LS 1f 12.20 B MT sy 3/12; 2026-04-28 HOU 1f 12.20 B MT ft 12/19 · barn: same as last | Alw15100n2l → Clm 15000n2l | RUBIO ESTEBAN | field |
| 8 | HEZA VICIOUS ROGUERAMIREZ JR JR | 5.0 | U | Same trip2026-07-10 RET 3f 39.40 B MT ft 2/2; 2026-06-19 RET 1.5f 17.00 B MT ft 1/1 · barn: same as last | Clm7500n2l → Clm 15000n2l | COX SHAE L | field |
| 1 | ARES WAR WAGONMARTINEZ OLVIN JOSUE | 6.0 | U | Class dropBarn changeSame trip2026-09-16 LS 1f 12.20 Bg MT ft 8/28; 2026-08-20 RET 1f 13.60 B MT ft 8/8 · barn: change vs FLORES SALVADOR G | Alw14200n2l → Clm 15000n2l | MUNIZ JANESSA LEE | field |
| 5 | LBH HICE UN CHILITOURIETA VICTOR MANUEL JR | 10.0 | U | 2nd off layoffSame trip2026-04-01 HOU 1f 12.60 Bg MT ft 18/25; 2025-05-10 HOU 1f 12.00 Bg MT ft 11/23 · barn: same as last | OC20000 → Clm 15000n2l | GONZALEZ MANUEL IV | field |
| 7 | FAMOUS EAGLES CARTELHERNANDEZ RAUL PADILLA JR | 12.0 | U | Class dropSame trip2026-09-04 LS 3f 36.40 B MT ft 2/3; 2026-08-22 RET 3f 38.40 B MT ft 5/6 · barn: same as last | Alw15100n2l → Clm 15000n2l | JUNGERS MARC E | field |
| 10 | LADY DREAM PIEMORALES-ALONZO BRAYAN | 20.0 | E | Barn changeSame trip2026-09-09 LS 1f 12.00 B MT ft bullet 1/5; 2025-08-03 LAD 3f 37.20 B MT ft 1/1 · barn: change vs MEJIA ARACELY | Clm7500n2l → Clm 15000n2l | MARTINEZ ANTONIO S | field |
| 6 | BUCHANAN 747CONTRERAS ALFREDO | 20.0 | C | Tag dropBarn changeSame trip2026-10-03 LS 1f 12.40 Bg MT sy 9/21; 2026-09-26 LS 1f 12.20 B MT ft 14/41 · barn: change vs LEWIS ARNOLD | Clm20000n2l → Clm 15000n2l | ORTIZ JAVIER RUIZ | field |
| 9 | THIRD COASTFIERRO ANGEL A | 30.0 | U | Same trip2026-07-18 RET 1f 12.60 Bg MT ft 5/17; 2026-04-24 HOU 1f 12.20 B MT ft 5/19 · barn: same as last | Clm7500n2l → Clm 15000n2l | APARICIO ALFRED A | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
PLAY passPass — no tote needed
- RACELS R4 · 2026-10-09 · Dirt 550y · Clm 15000n2l
- SHAPELone speed (#10 LADY DREAM PIE) clears; field of U-style stalkers hunt her down; pressure low; soft-lead thesis favors the chalk
- CHALKFavorite#2 KISSBEHAVIN · solid — best speed composite in the field, returning to winning distance range, "just missed" last, soft lead scenario suits a presser/stalker; price (3-1 ML) makes it unplayable
- LEANWinner call#2 KISSBEHAVIN
- PRIMEDnone (no horse reaches 2+ flags)
- PRICEno price — no non-chalk overlay clears the model; #3 I WANT A LAWYER has one flag (2nd off layoff) and a buried 97 fig but is a net model underlay at 3.5-1 ML and steps up in restrictions today
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS
- KILL#10 sets a soft uncontested lead and wire-to-wires at a big price; a press from any of the U-style unknowns hooks her and collapses the shape entirely
- MISSINGlive tote, official scratches after ingest, weather, rider changes, bias sample at LS this meet
Why
Dirt 550y claiming sprint (n2l, $15k) with a 10-horse field and moderate volatility — cheap quart horses, thin figures, and a class map that mixes real drops with sinkers. Lone speed shape: #10 LADY DREAM PIE is the only E in the field and controls Scenario A, but she is stepping up sharply in tag ($7,500 → $15,000), barn-changed, and has a 20-1 ML; chalk is #2 KISSBEHAVIN at 3-1, which shows the best speed and form factors (zSpeed 0.90, back-to-back figs 84–86–90 at distance, "just missed" last out) on a pace map that suits a stalker clearing into a soft lead race. No horse clears the 2+ flag PRIMED bar — #3 I WANT A LAWYER owns the lone structural ready flag (2nd off layoff after stumbling 120 days back at debut) plus a monster hidden fig (97, Md grade, winning last clean effort), but zForm is negative and the tag drop is upward today, so path exists only if Scenario B develops and #10 fades.
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printFull field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | KISSBEHAVIN | 3.0 | 19.6% | 20.7% | +1.1% | 0.54 | U | favoriteSame trip | — |
| 3 | I WANT A LAWYER | 3.5 | 17.4% | 18.4% | +1.0% | 0.54 | U | 2nd off layoffSame trip | — |
| 4 | PULL A CORK | 4.0 | 15.7% | 17.4% | +1.7% | 0.73 | U | Class dropSame trip | — |
| 8 | HEZA VICIOUS ROGUE | 5.0 | 13.1% | 12.8% | -0.2% | 0.25 | U | Same trip | — |
| 1 | ARES WAR WAGON | 6.0 | 11.2% | 11.5% | +0.3% | 0.41 | U | Class dropBarn changeSame trip | — |
| 5 | LBH HICE UN CHILITO | 10.0 | 7.1% | 6.3% | -0.8% | -0.17 | U | 2nd off layoffSame trip | — |
| 7 | FAMOUS EAGLES CARTEL | 12.0 | 6.0% | 5.2% | -0.8% | -0.24 | U | Class dropSame trip | — |
| 10 | LADY DREAM PIE | 20.0 | 3.7% | 3.3% | -0.4% | -0.18 | E | Barn changeSame trip | — |
| 6 | BUCHANAN 747 | 20.0 | 3.7% | 2.4% | -1.4% | -1.50 | C | Tag dropBarn changeSame trip | — |
| 9 | THIRD COAST | 30.0 | 2.5% | 2.1% | -0.4% | -0.37 | U | Same trip | — |