SA R7 · 2026-10-09
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find SA R7 · 2026-10-09 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Lone speed #6 TIGER OF THE SEA
Pressure moderate. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#6TIGER OF THE SEAEP
- C2#4GOJEP
- C3#3HELLO KID O KID OC
- C4#11DORIE MILLERC
- C5#10WE THE HOBBYS
- C6#9MARLA HOOCHC
- C7#7PAVEL IS APPEALINGC
- C8#5MPERFECTIONC
- C9#1SUNTORY TIMEC
- C10#12ELLEN JORTHS
- C11#2GREEN ZONEC
- C12#8HUMIDITYS
#6 TIGER OF THE SEA controls. Closers need a melt that does not come.
Helps #6 TIGER OF THE SEA · hurts #3 HELLO KID O KID O, #11 DORIE MILLER, #10 WE THE HOBBY, #9 MARLA HOOCH, #7 PAVEL IS APPEALING, #5 MPERFECTION, #1 SUNTORY TIME, #12 ELLEN JORTH, #2 GREEN ZONE, #8 HUMIDITY
Someone presses #6 TIGER OF THE SEA. Soft-lead thesis dies.
Helps #4 GOJE, #10 WE THE HOBBY, #12 ELLEN JORTH, #8 HUMIDITY · hurts #6 TIGER OF THE SEA
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#3 HELLO KID O KID O, #11 DORIE MILLER, #10 WE THE HOBBY, #9 MARLA HOOCH, #7 PAVEL IS APPEALING, #5 MPERFECTION, #1 SUNTORY TIME, #12 ELLEN JORTH, #2 GREEN ZONE, #8 HUMIDITY).
Helps #3 HELLO KID O KID O, #11 DORIE MILLER, #10 WE THE HOBBY, #9 MARLA HOOCH, #7 PAVEL IS APPEALING, #5 MPERFECTION, #1 SUNTORY TIME, #12 ELLEN JORTH, #2 GREEN ZONE, #8 HUMIDITY · hurts #6 TIGER OF THE SEA
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | TIGER OF THE SEAROSARIO JOEL | 1.6 | EP | Rising figsTop last fig2026-10-02 SA 4f 49.20 H MT ft 36/48; 2026-09-25 SA 4f 49.00 H MT ft 18/43 · barn: same as last | fOC50000n1x → OClm 20000n1x | KORINER BRIAN | Favorite |
| 9 | MARLA HOOCHKIMURA KAZUSHI | 2.5 | C | Rising figs3rd start cycleSame trip2026-10-03 SA 5f 62.00 H MT ft 13/14; 2026-09-26 SA 5f 60.60 H MT ft 12/17 · barn: same as last | fsMdSpWt → OClm 20000n1x | DAMATO PHILIP | Favorite |
| 4 | GOJEHERNANDEZ JUAN J | 4.5 | P | Same trip2026-10-03 SA 5f 61.00 H MT ft 14/71; 2026-09-26 SA 4f 48.00 H MT ft 18/74 · barn: same as last | fsOC20000n1x → OClm 20000n1x | PAPAPRODROMOU GEORGE | field |
| 7 | PAVEL IS APPEALINGJARAMILLO E | 5.0 | C | Same trip2026-10-04 SA 4f 51.60 H MT ft 80/82; 2026-09-25 SA 5f 65.80 H MT ft 49/49 · barn: same as last | fsOC20000n1x → OClm 20000n1x | O'NEILL DOUG | field |
| 12 | ELLEN JORTHLEPAROUX JULIEN R | 4.5 | S | Same trip2026-10-04 SA 5f 61.60 H MT ft 42/62; 2026-09-28 SA 5f 61.40 H MT ft 40/53 · barn: same as last | fsOC20000n1x → OClm 20000n1x | DAMATO PHILIP | field |
| 10 | WE THE HOBBYBERRIOS HECTOR ISAAC | 6.0 | S | 3rd start cycle2026-10-02 SLR 5f 60.80 H MT ft 5/13; 2026-09-26 SLR 5f 62.20 H MT ft 24/29 · barn: same as last | fsOC20000n1x → OClm 20000n1x | MILLER PETER | field |
| 11 | DORIE MILLERAYUSO ARMANDO | 12.0 | C | Trouble lastSame trip2026-10-02 SA 4f 48.80 H MT ft 30/48; 2026-09-20 SA 4f 50.40 H MT ft 85/97 · barn: same as last | fsOC20000n1x → OClm 20000n1x | POWELL LEONARD | field |
| 2 | GREEN ZONEBAZE T C | 10.0 | C | Same trip2026-09-27 SA 5f 60.00 H MT ft 5/15; 2026-09-18 SA 4f 48.00 H MT ft 4/17 · barn: same as last | fsOC20000n1x → OClm 20000n1x | DOLLASE CRAIG | field |
| 1 | SUNTORY TIMEFREY KYLE | 15.0 | C | Same trip2026-09-27 SA 5f 59.80 H MT ft 3/15; 2026-09-20 SA 4f 48.00 H MT ft 7/22 · barn: same as last | fsOC20000n1x → OClm 20000n1x | TAMAYO ISIDRO | field |
| 3 | HELLO KID O KID OORANTES WELFIN R | 20.0 | C | Hidden paceSame trip2026-09-26 SA 4f 48.00 H MT ft 18/74; 2026-09-19 SA 4f 48.80 H MT ft 47/98 · barn: same as last | fOC50000 → OClm 20000n1x | PUYPE MIKE | field |
| 5 | MPERFECTIONHERRERA CRISTOBAL | 30.0 | C | Same trip2026-10-03 SA 4f 48.40 H MT ft 10/12; 2026-09-26 SA 5f 61.00 H MT ft 14/17 · barn: same as last | fsOC20000n1x → OClm 20000n1x | IVORY JOHN C | field |
| 8 | HUMIDITYVAN DYKE DRAYDEN | 30.0 | S | Rising figsTop last paceSame trip2026-10-02 SA 4f 48.00 H MT ft 3/7; 2026-09-25 SA 4f 47.40 H MT ft 4/13 · barn: same as last | fsMd50000 → OClm 20000n1x | GALLAGHER PATRICK | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACESA R7 · 2026-10-09 · Turf 1760y · OClm 20000n1x
- SHAPELone speed #6, pressure moderate — Scenario A strongly favors #6 to coast; closers need a B/C scenario that the map does not strongly support
- CHALKFavorite#6 TIGER OF THE SEA · solid · top fig, lone speed, class drop from OC50k, rising cycle — rightful favorite, unplayable at 1.6
- LEANWinner call#6 TIGER OF THE SEA
- PRIMEDnone
- PRICEno price — model overlays are chalk-only; all non-chalk horses are negative-edge or trivially positive with no path advantage
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS
- KILL#4 GOJE presses and hooks #6 into a duel (Scenario B), opening the door for any of the deep closers at a price the sheet never got
- MISSINGlive tote, official scratches, going report (firm vs yielding changes closer leverage materially), rider changes
Why
Turf route at SA, OClm 20k n1x, 12-horse field with a dominant chalk and a wall of closers — moderate-to-high volatility given field depth and lone-speed shape. #6 TIGER OF THE SEA is lone speed on a clean map, rising figs (90 top of field), dropping from OC50k, and is a double chalk at 1.6-ML — solid but unplayable at price. No horse reaches the PRIMED threshold (2+ flags outside chalk), but #11 DORIE MILLER has trouble last (squeezed at start) plus a same-trip match and a zPace flag that says pace suits closers if the duel scenario emerges, though one flag only and the barn's works are uninspiring.
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printFull field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | TIGER OF THE SEA | 1.6 | 22.8% | 28.4% | +5.6% | 1.21 | EP | favoriteRising figsTop last fig | — |
| 9 | MARLA HOOCH | 2.5 | 16.9% | 17.5% | +0.6% | 0.47 | C | favoriteRising figs3rd start cycleSame trip | — |
| 4 | GOJE | 4.5 | 10.8% | 9.9% | -0.9% | -0.01 | P | Same trip | — |
| 7 | PAVEL IS APPEALING | 5.0 | 9.9% | 9.8% | -0.1% | 0.31 | C | Same trip | — |
| 12 | ELLEN JORTH | 4.5 | 10.8% | 9.2% | -1.6% | -0.31 | S | Same trip | — |
| 10 | WE THE HOBBY | 6.0 | 8.5% | 6.8% | -1.7% | -0.54 | S | 3rd start cycle | — |
| 11 | DORIE MILLER | 12.0 | 4.6% | 4.7% | +0.2% | 0.50 | C | Trouble lastSame trip | — |
| 2 | GREEN ZONE | 10.0 | 5.4% | 4.6% | -0.7% | -0.26 | C | Same trip | — |
| 1 | SUNTORY TIME | 15.0 | 3.7% | 3.3% | -0.4% | -0.10 | C | Same trip | — |
| 3 | HELLO KID O KID O | 20.0 | 2.8% | 2.7% | -0.1% | 0.19 | C | Hidden paceSame trip | — |
| 5 | MPERFECTION | 30.0 | 1.9% | 1.7% | -0.2% | -0.08 | C | Same trip | — |
| 8 | HUMIDITY | 30.0 | 1.9% | 1.2% | -0.7% | -1.38 | S | Rising figsTop last paceSame trip | — |