PRX R9 · 2026-09-29
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find PRX R9 · 2026-09-29 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Two-speed duel risk (#1 vs #6)
Pressure high. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#1ALWAYS IN PLAYEP
- C2#10SPASTIC BIDP
- C3#3TOO MANY MIKESS
- C4#7RANTING AND RAVINGP
- C5#2BLAME EVES
- C6#5SAINT GRACEC
- C7#6DREAMING OF BELLAEP
- C8#8ELEANOR RIGBYC
- C9#9CATRINA ZARC
- C10#4WONDERFULVENEZUELAC
Honest pace among #1 ALWAYS IN PLAY and #6 DREAMING OF BELLA. Ability decides if they do not empty.
Helps #10 SPASTIC BID, #7 RANTING AND RAVING, #3 TOO MANY MIKES, #2 BLAME EVE · hurts #1 ALWAYS IN PLAY, #6 DREAMING OF BELLA
Pressure: #1 ALWAYS IN PLAY and #6 DREAMING OF BELLA hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.
Helps #10 SPASTIC BID, #7 RANTING AND RAVING, #3 TOO MANY MIKES, #2 BLAME EVE · hurts #1 ALWAYS IN PLAY, #6 DREAMING OF BELLA
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#3 TOO MANY MIKES, #2 BLAME EVE, #5 SAINT GRACE, #8 ELEANOR RIGBY, #9 CATRINA ZAR, #4 WONDERFULVENEZUELA).
Helps #3 TOO MANY MIKES, #2 BLAME EVE, #5 SAINT GRACE, #8 ELEANOR RIGBY, #9 CATRINA ZAR, #4 WONDERFULVENEZUELA · hurts #1 ALWAYS IN PLAY, #6 DREAMING OF BELLA
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | SPASTIC BIDSILVERA RUBEN | 2.5 | P | Rising figs3rd start cycleTop last figSame trip2026-09-16 PRX 5f 61.00 B MT ft 2/4; 2026-07-08 PRX 4f 49.00 B MT ft 19/52 · barn: same as last | fOC16000 → Clm 7500n2l | GUERRERO J CARLOS | Favorite |
| 2 | BLAME EVESANCHEZ MYCHEL J | 3.0 | S | 3rd start cycleBarn changeSame trip2026-09-19 PRX 4f 49.40 B MT ft 13/29; 2026-08-19 PRX 4f 50.80 B MT ft 56/64 · barn: change vs GUERRERO J CARLOS | fMd10000c → Clm 7500n2l | PINO MICHAEL V | overlay |
| 3 | TOO MANY MIKESGOMEZ JOSE ANTONIO | 3.5 | S | 3rd start cycleTag dropSame trip2026-08-09 MTH 3f 36.40 B MT ft 5/34; 2026-06-16 PRX 4f 49.00 B MT ft 12/33 · barn: same as last | fClm25000b → Clm 7500n2l | BREEN KELLY J | field |
| 7 | RANTING AND RAVINGOCASIO LUIS M | 6.0 | P | Tag dropSame trip2026-08-08 PRX 4f 49.20 B MT gd 53/106; 2026-06-26 PRX 4f 48.60 B MT ft 16/54 · barn: same as last | fClm12500n2l → Clm 7500n2l | SOTO- MARTINEZ ELLIOTT | field |
| 5 | SAINT GRACEHADDOCK DEXTER | 8.0 | C | Rising figs2nd off layoff2026-09-05 PRX 4f 50.80 B MT ft 67/74; 2026-08-29 PRX 4f 48.20 B MT ft 17/44 · barn: same as last | fClm7500n2l → Clm 7500n2l | RODRIGUEZ MIGUEL A | primed |
| 1 | ALWAYS IN PLAYRIOS JESUS M | 8.0 | EP | Tag dropSame trip2026-08-08 PRX 4f 47.40 B MT gd 10/106; 2026-07-08 PRX 4f 48.20 B MT ft 7/52 · barn: same as last | fClm12500n2l → Clm 7500n2l | SANTAELLA-CALDERON JOSE M | field |
| 6 | DREAMING OF BELLASANCHEZ MAGGLIO | 10.0 | EP | Rising figsTrouble lastTag dropSame trip2026-09-18 PRX 5f 62.00 B MT ft 5/8; 2026-09-09 PRX 4f 49.00 B MT ft 18/39 · barn: same as last | fClm10000n2l → Clm 7500n2l | MONTOYA MARYA | primed |
| 8 | ELEANOR RIGBYBOWMAN ADAM | 15.0 | C | 2nd off layoffSame trip2026-09-25 PRX 4f 49.80 B MT ft 18/24; 2026-08-22 PRX 4f 49.80 B MT ft 38/64 · barn: same as last | fOC16000 → Clm 7500n2l | BETANCOURT ELI JR | field |
| 9 | CATRINA ZARRIVERA KENDRY | 20.0 | C | Rising figsHidden paceTop last pace2026-08-10 PRX 4f 49.60 B MT ft 33/52; 2026-06-23 MNR 4f 50.00 B MT ft 9/17 · barn: same as last | fClm7500n2l → Clm 7500n2l | PEREZ RUPERTO A | primed |
| 4 | WONDERFULVENEZUELAORELLANA SEBASTIAN | 20.0 | C | Rising figs2nd off layoff2026-08-19 PRX 4f 49.40 B MT ft 40/64; 2026-07-03 PRX 4f 51.20 B MT ft 13/15 · barn: same as last | fClm7500b → Clm 7500n2l | GALLIMORE TREVOR | primed |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEPRX R9 · 2026-09-29 · Dirt 1830y · Clm 7500n2l
- SHAPETwo-EP duel (#1 vs #6) sets honest pace; stalkers and closers
- CHALKFavorite#10 SPASTIC BID · solid · top fig (71), 3rd-start cycle, stalking
- LEANWinner call#10 SPASTIC BID · best fig, cleanest pace path, priced at 2.5
- PRIMED#2 BLAME EVE (3rd cycle, barn change, route trip); #5 SAINT GRACE
- PRICE#2 BLAME EVE · edge 0.025 · only flagged non-chalk overlay
- PLAYPrice ticket#2 BLAME EVE · minimum 5-1 · WIN — at ML 3 this is PASS;
- KILLChalk fires clean off the duel and wire-to-wire from the stalk;
- MISSINGLive tote (ML 3 on #2 is not a ticket price), official scratches,
Why
Dirt two-turn route at PRX in a cheap n2l claimer — ten-horse field, moderate-to-high volatility with a crowded closer contingent and two speed types setting up a likely honest pace. The pace map pits #1 ALWAYS IN PLAY against #6 DREAMING OF BELLA for the lead; both have histories of folding under pressure, and #10 SPASTIC BID (chalk, 2.5 ML) sits third off the pace with the top fig in the field and a clean stalking path in scenarios A and B. #2 BLAME EVE (3 ML, 3rd-start cycle, barn change to Pino, route experience) is the only flagged price overlay with a stalking style and a clear beneficiary path if the duel materializes, but the fig line (67-65-67) is flat and uninspiring.
```
inherit — speed bias noted but field pace likely neutralizes it;
posts 8+ show 0% wins in bias sample (hurts #8, #9)
path directly behind the duel — clear beneficiary in A and B
(rising figs, 2nd off layoff); #9 CATRINA ZAR (rising figs, hidden
LP 87, top late pace — but sprint-to-route and post 9 are concerns)
needs tote confirmation of a live overlay number before play
#2 figs are flat and the barn-change/3rd-cycle thesis requires
the pace to truly collapse
weather/track variant, rider changes post-ingest
```Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
PLAY is a look. Stamp the board so after official we can grade an action, not a morning-line wish.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printPrice / ready board
Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.
Price overlays
Ready, not overlaid
Full field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | SPASTIC BID | 2.5 | 20.8% | 22.8% | +2.0% | 0.67 | P | favoriteRising figs3rd start cycleTop last figSame trip | — |
| 2 | BLAME EVE | 3.0 | 18.2% | 20.7% | +2.5% | 0.81 | S | 3rd start cycleBarn changeSame trip | — |
| 3 | TOO MANY MIKES | 3.5 | 16.2% | 16.8% | +0.6% | 0.44 | S | 3rd start cycleTag dropSame trip | — |
| 7 | RANTING AND RAVING | 6.0 | 10.4% | 9.9% | -0.6% | 0.08 | P | Tag dropSame trip | — |
| 5 | SAINT GRACE | 8.0 | 8.1% | 8.8% | +0.7% | 0.63 | C | Rising figs2nd off layoff | — |
| 1 | ALWAYS IN PLAY | 8.0 | 8.1% | 6.4% | -1.7% | -0.67 | EP | Tag dropSame trip | — |
| 6 | DREAMING OF BELLA | 10.0 | 6.6% | 4.8% | -1.8% | -0.95 | EP | Rising figsTrouble lastTag dropSame trip | — |
| 8 | ELEANOR RIGBY | 15.0 | 4.6% | 4.0% | -0.6% | -0.27 | C | 2nd off layoffSame trip | — |
| 9 | CATRINA ZAR | 20.0 | 3.5% | 3.2% | -0.2% | 0.02 | C | Rising figsHidden paceTop last pace | — |
| 4 | WONDERFULVENEZUELA | 20.0 | 3.5% | 2.7% | -0.8% | -0.76 | C | Rising figs2nd off layoff | — |