TDN R8 · 2026-10-06
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find TDN R8 · 2026-10-06 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Two-speed duel risk (#1 vs #2)
Pressure high. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#1SALTMAKESHERSWEETE
- C2#2TALE OF THE LYONE
- C3#4DOLCE MARIES
- C4#8OLYMPIC WINGSS
- C5#7KAT TRAXS
- C6#5DRIVEN FOR SUCCESSC
- C7#3BE KOZYS
- C8#6SPICE ICEC
Honest pace among #1 SALTMAKESHERSWEET and #2 TALE OF THE LYON. Ability decides if they do not empty.
Helps #4 DOLCE MARIE, #8 OLYMPIC WINGS, #7 KAT TRAX, #3 BE KOZY · hurts #1 SALTMAKESHERSWEET, #2 TALE OF THE LYON
Pressure: #1 SALTMAKESHERSWEET and #2 TALE OF THE LYON hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.
Helps #4 DOLCE MARIE, #8 OLYMPIC WINGS, #7 KAT TRAX, #3 BE KOZY · hurts #1 SALTMAKESHERSWEET, #2 TALE OF THE LYON
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#4 DOLCE MARIE, #8 OLYMPIC WINGS, #7 KAT TRAX, #5 DRIVEN FOR SUCCESS, #3 BE KOZY, #6 SPICE ICE).
Helps #4 DOLCE MARIE, #8 OLYMPIC WINGS, #7 KAT TRAX, #5 DRIVEN FOR SUCCESS, #3 BE KOZY, #6 SPICE ICE · hurts #1 SALTMAKESHERSWEET, #2 TALE OF THE LYON
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SALTMAKESHERSWEETPARKER D L | 2.5 | E | Class dropTop last paceSame trip2026-09-15 TDN 3f 38.20 B MT ft 7/10; 2026-04-12 TDN 4f 49.40 B MT ft 6/8 · barn: same as last | fsAlw35800n1x → Clm 7500n2y | JOHNSON GARY L | Favorite |
| 5 | DRIVEN FOR SUCCESSRIVERA L R | 3.0 | C | Tag dropSame trip2026-09-14 TDN 4f 51.80 B MT ft 11/11; 2026-07-07 TDN 4f 49.60 B MT ft 7/19 · barn: same as last | fsClm16000 → Clm 7500n2y | RADOSEVICH JEFF | field |
| 7 | KAT TRAXCORRALES GERARDO | 4.0 | S | Led lastSame trip2026-05-16 TDN 5f 61.80 B MT ft 4/10; 2026-04-10 MVR 6f 78.00 B MT gd 1/1 · barn: same as last | fsClm7500n2y → Clm 7500n2y | RIVERA NESTOR R | field |
| 8 | OLYMPIC WINGSFERNANDEZ VICTOR R | 6.0 | S | Rising figs3rd start cycleTop last figSame trip2026-08-25 TDN 4f 49.00 B MT ft 4/17; 2026-08-08 TDN 4f 49.20 B MT gd 5/15 · barn: same as last | fsClm7500n3y → Clm 7500n2y | ZIELINSKI RICHARD | primed |
| 3 | BE KOZYBOWEN ROCCO | 5.0 | S | Tag dropSame trip2026-05-02 BTP 4f 50.20 B MT ft 19/36; 2026-04-21 BTP 4f 50.00 B MT ft 13/29 · barn: same as last | fsClm16000 → Clm 7500n2y | URIETA JOHANNA | field |
| 2 | TALE OF THE LYONDIAZ ANGEL I | 8.0 | E | Rising figsSame trip2026-04-08 MVR 4f 51.80 B MT ft 12/13; 2025-08-02 TDN 4f 51.00 B MT ft 71/90 · barn: same as last | fsClm7500n2y → Clm 7500n2y | EDER JUSTINE | field |
| 4 | DOLCE MARIESIMPSON JASON | 15.0 | S | Trouble lastSame trip2026-04-17 TDN 3f 36.20 B MT my bullet 1/10; 2026-04-09 TDN 3f 37.20 B MT ft 2/9 · barn: same as last | fsClm7500n2y → Clm 7500n2y | GENOVESE RICHARD L | field |
| 6 | SPICE ICEHALDAR HUMBERTO | 20.0 | C | 3rd start cycleSame trip2026-07-23 TDN 4f 50.20 Bg MT ft 11/28; 2026-05-05 TDN 3f 37.20 B MT ft 4/9 · barn: same as last | fsClm7500n2y → Clm 7500n2y | CALDERON IVAN | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACETDN R8 · 2026-10-06 · Dirt 1210y · Clm 7500n2y
- SHAPETwo-speed duel (#1 vs #2) on a speed-biased track; stalkers inherit in A/B
- CHALKFavorite#1 SALTMAKESHERSWEET · short (2.5 ML) · dropping from Alw into rock-bottom claiming; has pace edge but figs declining (76→68→60) and two straight weakened trips
- LEANWinner call#1 SALTMAKESHERSWEET · best pace figures and class drop, likely clears the duel if #2 fades early
- PRIMED#8 OLYMPIC WINGS (rising_figs 61→69, third_start_cycle, top last fig — path exists in A/B as widest stalker)
- PRICEnone (no non-chalk overlay on the brief)
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS
- KILLIf #1 and #2 hook up honestly, both empty and the stalker tier inherits — but no primed stalker clears the overlay bar at morning-line prices
- MISSINGlive tote, official scratches, weather/track condition at post, rider changes
Why
Dirt sprint down a steep claiming ladder (Clm 7500n2y, $17,400 purse) at TDN with a speed-biased track and two need-the-lead types (#1 chalk SALTMAKESHERSWEET vs #2 TALE OF THE LYON) setting up a probable duel that should benefit the stalker tier, but the model shows no non-chalk overlay — sheet rec is PASS. #8 OLYMPIC WINGS is the only primed horse (rising figs 61→69, third start of the cycle, top last fig in the field), sitting from post 8 with a clear path in scenario A/B as a stalker, but model edge is only +0.010 and the ML of 6-1 does not clear an overlay threshold on the brief. ``` ```
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printPrice / ready board
Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.
Pace + drop
Ready, not overlaid
Full field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SALTMAKESHERSWEET | 2.5 | 22.6% | 25.6% | +3.1% | 0.78 | E | favoriteClass dropTop last paceSame trip | — |
| 5 | DRIVEN FOR SUCCESS | 3.0 | 19.7% | 19.5% | -0.3% | 0.22 | C | Tag dropSame trip | — |
| 7 | KAT TRAX | 4.0 | 15.8% | 16.0% | +0.2% | 0.32 | S | Led lastSame trip | — |
| 8 | OLYMPIC WINGS | 6.0 | 11.3% | 12.2% | +1.0% | 0.60 | S | Rising figs3rd start cycleTop last figSame trip | — |
| 3 | BE KOZY | 5.0 | 13.2% | 11.4% | -1.8% | -0.30 | S | Tag dropSame trip | — |
| 2 | TALE OF THE LYON | 8.0 | 8.8% | 8.5% | -0.3% | 0.15 | E | Rising figsSame trip | — |
| 4 | DOLCE MARIE | 15.0 | 4.9% | 4.5% | -0.5% | -0.12 | S | Trouble lastSame trip | — |
| 6 | SPICE ICE | 20.0 | 3.8% | 2.3% | -1.4% | -1.65 | C | 3rd start cycleSame trip | — |