LRL R10 · 2026-10-10
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find LRL R10 · 2026-10-10 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Two-speed duel risk (#1 vs #4)
Pressure high. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#1KOSHER COWBOYE
- C2#3INTREPIDS LEGACYP
- C3#4PACO THE TACO MANEP
- C4#6RE MARKABLYP
- C5#7DONT WAIT UPP
- C6#2ALL THE HARDWAYSP
- C7#8TOP MANIPULATORP
- C8#5FEAR NOTHINGS
Honest pace among #1 KOSHER COWBOY and #4 PACO THE TACO MAN. Ability decides if they do not empty.
Helps #3 INTREPIDS LEGACY, #6 RE MARKABLY, #7 DONT WAIT UP, #2 ALL THE HARDWAYS, #8 TOP MANIPULATOR, #5 FEAR NOTHING · hurts #1 KOSHER COWBOY, #4 PACO THE TACO MAN
Pressure: #1 KOSHER COWBOY and #4 PACO THE TACO MAN hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.
Helps #3 INTREPIDS LEGACY, #6 RE MARKABLY, #7 DONT WAIT UP, #2 ALL THE HARDWAYS, #8 TOP MANIPULATOR, #5 FEAR NOTHING · hurts #1 KOSHER COWBOY, #4 PACO THE TACO MAN
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#5 FEAR NOTHING).
Helps #5 FEAR NOTHING · hurts #1 KOSHER COWBOY, #4 PACO THE TACO MAN
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | RE MARKABLYBARBOSA JEIRON | 2.0 | P | Barn changeSame trip2026-10-04 LRL 4f 50.00 B MT my 12/18; 2026-09-17 MTH 4f 48.00 B MT ft bullet 1/13 · barn: change vs SYNNEFIAS PANAGIOTIS A | OC40000n2x → ROC 1-75 | FARRIOR ANTHONY | Favorite |
| 4 | PACO THE TACO MANSANCHEZ MYCHEL J | 3.0 | EP | Same trip2026-09-11 PRX 4f 48.60 B MT ft 8/26; 2026-08-08 PRX 4f 48.00 B MT gd 17/106 · barn: same as last | OC30000 → ROC 1-75 | NESS JAMIE | field |
| 3 | INTREPIDS LEGACYBRICENO LEANDRO M | 5.0 | P | Same trip2026-09-25 LRL 4f 49.00 B MT ft 10/54; 2026-09-05 LRL 4f 49.20 B MT ft 15/33 · barn: same as last | Alw25000s → ROC 1-75 | CAPUANO GARY A | field |
| 1 | KOSHER COWBOYACOSTA J D | 6.0 | E | 2nd off layoffLed lastBarn changeSame trip2026-08-17 CTT 4f 52.00 B MT ft 2/2; 2026-07-07 CTT 4f 52.00 B MT ft 1/1 · barn: change vs FARRIOR ANTHONY | OC30000c → ROC 1-75 | JONES MICHAEL E JR | field |
| 7 | DONT WAIT UPKARAMANOS H A | 6.0 | P | —2026-10-06 LRL 4f 51.00 B MT ft 16/18; 2026-09-26 LRL 4f 49.80 B MT ft 60/109 · barn: same as last | Clm40000 → ROC 1-75 | ALLEN A FERRIS III | field |
| 2 | ALL THE HARDWAYSCRUZ ANGEL | 8.0 | P | Rising figs3rd start cycleTop last paceSame trip2026-08-26 LRL 4f 50.20 B MT ft 27/32; 2026-07-21 LRL 4f 51.40 B MT ft 19/19 · barn: same as last | ROC 1-75 → ROC 1-75 | ALLEN A FERRIS III | primed |
| 8 | TOP MANIPULATORBOYCE FOREST | 10.0 | P | 2nd off layoffTrouble last2026-10-06 LRL 3f 37.20 B MT ft 5/7; 2026-09-06 LRL 5f 62.20 B MT ft 10/18 · barn: same as last | OC55000b → ROC 1-75 | KEEFE TIMOTHY L | primed |
| 5 | FEAR NOTHINGVARGAS JOSE E | 15.0 | S | Rising figs3rd start cycleTrouble lastSame trip2026-10-03 LRL 4f 49.00 B MT gd 5/31; 2026-09-12 LRL 4f 49.20 B MT ft 11/49 · barn: same as last | ROC 1-75 → ROC 1-75 | SMITH HAMILTON A | primed |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACELRL R10 · 2026-10-10 · Dirt 1320y · ROC 1-75
- SHAPETwo-speed duel (#1 E vs #4 EP) sets honest/high pace; closer bias favors off-the-pace types
- CHALKFavorite#6 RE MARKABLY · solid but short · back-to-back sprint wins, new barn, no overlay
- LEANWinner call#6 RE MARKABLY · most likely winner if pace heats up and she stalks off it cleanly
- PRIMED#5 FEAR NOTHING (rising figs, 3rd start cycle, trouble last); #2 ALL THE HARDWAYS (rising figs, 3rd start cycle, top last pace)
- PRICEno price overlay (sheet rec PASS; no non-chalk overlay clears the model)
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS — no non-chalk horse carries a positive overlay; #5 FEAR NOTHING is the only primed price horse with a pace path but model edge is negative (-0.005) and sheet recommends PASS
- KILLDuel collapses early and lone speed clears wire-to-wire; #5 loses the inside path post-break
- MISSINGlive tote, official scratches, weather, rider changes
Why
Dirt sprint, ROC condition, eight-horse field with a closer bias stamped into the track stats — moderate-to-high volatility given the pace duel shaping up between the two need-the-lead types. The shape is a two-speed hook (#1 vs #4) that sets up the stalker/closer tier, and chalk #6 RE MARKABLY is solid on form (back-to-back sprint wins, zForm 1.11) but a new barn and a model edge of only 0.013 make it a research price, not a ticket. #5 FEAR NOTHING is the primed price horse — three ready flags (rising figs 73→83, third start of cycle, trouble last at 1/8-pole), Smith's 3rd-off-layoff barn fires at 20.93% with a +0.67 ROI, and the closer bias plus a duel pace gives it a legitimate A/B path from post 5. ``` ```
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printPrice / ready board
Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.
Ready, not overlaid
Full field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | RE MARKABLY | 2.0 | 25.6% | 26.9% | +1.3% | 0.40 | P | favoriteBarn changeSame trip | — |
| 4 | PACO THE TACO MAN | 3.0 | 19.2% | 19.6% | +0.4% | 0.28 | EP | Same trip | — |
| 3 | INTREPIDS LEGACY | 5.0 | 12.8% | 14.2% | +1.4% | 0.63 | P | Same trip | — |
| 1 | KOSHER COWBOY | 6.0 | 11.0% | 12.1% | +1.2% | 0.61 | E | 2nd off layoffLed lastBarn changeSame trip | — |
| 7 | DONT WAIT UP | 6.0 | 11.0% | 10.0% | -0.9% | -0.15 | P | — | |
| 2 | ALL THE HARDWAYS | 8.0 | 8.5% | 8.4% | -0.2% | 0.13 | P | Rising figs3rd start cycleTop last paceSame trip | — |
| 8 | TOP MANIPULATOR | 10.0 | 7.0% | 4.4% | -2.6% | -1.68 | P | 2nd off layoffTrouble last | — |
| 5 | FEAR NOTHING | 15.0 | 4.8% | 4.3% | -0.5% | -0.22 | S | Rising figs3rd start cycleTrouble lastSame trip | — |