SA R8 · 2026-09-27
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Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Wall of early / pressers (#6 #5 #3)
Pressure high. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#6RABEEBAE
- C2#5HOWINEP
- C3#2SHES NO QUANTP
- C4#3SUPER CORREDORAE
- C5#7MAGNIFICATS
- C6#1MAJESTIC OOPSC
- C7#4OM N JOYC
Honest pace among #6 RABEEBA and #5 HOWIN and #3 SUPER CORREDORA. Ability decides if they do not empty.
Helps #2 SHES NO QUANT, #7 MAGNIFICAT · hurts #6 RABEEBA, #5 HOWIN, #3 SUPER CORREDORA
Pressure: #6 RABEEBA and #5 HOWIN and #3 SUPER CORREDORA hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.
Helps #2 SHES NO QUANT, #7 MAGNIFICAT · hurts #6 RABEEBA, #5 HOWIN, #3 SUPER CORREDORA
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#7 MAGNIFICAT, #1 MAJESTIC OOPS, #4 OM N JOY).
Helps #7 MAGNIFICAT, #1 MAJESTIC OOPS, #4 OM N JOY · hurts #6 RABEEBA, #5 HOWIN, #3 SUPER CORREDORA
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | OM N JOYDESORMEAUX K J | 2.0 | C | Rising figs3rd start cycleTrouble lastTop last figSame trip2026-09-20 SA 4f 49.00 H MT ft 44/97; 2026-09-14 SA 4f 48.20 H MT ft 20/79 · barn: same as last | PacifcCl-G1 → Zenyatta-G2 | ORDONEZ AGGIE | Favorite |
| 6 | RABEEBAHERNANDEZ JUAN J | 2.5 | E | Same trip2026-09-20 SA 5f 60.60 H MT ft 11/75; 2026-09-13 SA 4f 47.60 H MT ft 16/74 · barn: same as last | fTrryPine-G3 → Zenyatta-G2 | BAFFERT BOB | Favorite |
| 1 | MAJESTIC OOPSRISPOLI UMBERTO | 3.5 | C | Top last paceSame trip2026-09-20 SA 5f 61.20 H MT ft 30/75; 2026-09-13 SA 4f 47.60 H MT ft 16/74 · barn: same as last | fCLHrsch-G1 → Zenyatta-G2 | DAMATO PHILIP | field |
| 7 | MAGNIFICATSMITH M E | 4.0 | S | 2nd off layoffSharp workSame trip2026-09-18 SA 4f 46.20 H MT ft bullet 1/66; 2026-09-01 DMR 3f 35.00 H MT ft bullet 1/4 · barn: same as last | frTranqLakeL100k → Zenyatta-G2 | MANDELLA RICHARD E | field |
| 5 | HOWINJARAMILLO E | 12.0 | EP | 2nd off layoffSame trip2026-09-21 SA 4f 48.40 H MT ft 23/73; 2026-08-29 DMR 5f 58.40 H MT ft bullet 1/41 · barn: same as last | frTranqLakeL100k → Zenyatta-G2 | BAFFERT BOB | field |
| 2 | SHES NO QUANTBERRIOS HECTOR ISAAC | 15.0 | P | Same trip2026-09-18 SLR 5f 63.40 H MT ft 6/8; 2026-08-22 DMR 4f 53.00 H MT ft 116/116 · barn: same as last | fTrryPine-G3 → Zenyatta-G2 | FREEMAN EDWARD R | field |
| 3 | SUPER CORREDORAROSARIO JOEL | 10.0 | E | Same trip2026-09-18 SA 5f 60.00 H MT ft 4/27; 2026-09-11 SA 5f 58.80 H MT ft 2/10 · barn: same as last | fSntYsabl-G3 → Zenyatta-G2 | SADLER JOHN W | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACESA R8 · 2026-09-27 · Dirt 1870y · Zenyatta-G2
- SHAPEWall of early pace (#6 #5 #3) guarantees honest-to-fast fractions; closers get a pace to run at; C-only types #1 and #4 need the duel to last into the lane
- CHALKFavorite#4 OM N JOY (2-1) · solid · top fig 102, three ready flags, stalking path fits A and B — rightful chalk, no price
- LEANWinner call#4 OM N JOY · best horse, fits the pace shape as a closer, rising cycle
- PRIMEDnone (no non-chalk horse reaches 2+ flags with a model overlay)
- PRICEnone
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS — only overlay is the chalk; no non-chalk horse with a model edge and a primed signal
- KILL#3 SUPER CORREDORA steals a clear lead and wire-to-wires at a soft clip; pace collapses before closers engage; any scratch that removes early speed
- MISSINGlive tote, official scratches post-ingest, track bias (no meet sample), weather, any rider changes not on PP lines
Why
Dirt two-turn route at the G2 level, seven-mare field, moderate-to-high volatility given three early types and a pace shape that sets up for the back of the pack. Three speed horses (#6 RABEEBA, #5 HOWIN, #3 SUPER CORREDORA) project a pressured pace that favors stalkers and closers; both chalks are in that early mix or closing into it, with OM N JOY (2-1, C) carrying the field's top fig (102) plus three ready flags but flagged chalk, and RABEEBA (2.5-1, E) as the pace-setter with a model edge against her. No non-chalk horse clears two ready flags with a model overlay; MAGNIFICAT (#7, 4-1, S) shows 2nd-off-layoff with a bullet work and a stalking path that fits Scenarios A and B, but the model shows no overlay (edge +0.002) and the sheet rec is PASS. ``` ```
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printFull field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | OM N JOY | 2.0 | 26.2% | 31.2% | +5.0% | 1.04 | C | favoriteRising figs3rd start cycleTrouble lastTop last figSame trip | — |
| 6 | RABEEBA | 2.5 | 22.5% | 19.9% | -2.6% | -0.15 | E | favoriteSame trip | — |
| 1 | MAJESTIC OOPS | 3.5 | 17.5% | 18.8% | +1.4% | 0.64 | C | Top last paceSame trip | — |
| 7 | MAGNIFICAT | 4.0 | 15.7% | 15.9% | +0.2% | 0.39 | S | 2nd off layoffSharp workSame trip | — |
| 5 | HOWIN | 12.0 | 6.0% | 5.6% | -0.5% | 0.02 | EP | 2nd off layoffSame trip | — |
| 2 | SHES NO QUANT | 15.0 | 4.9% | 4.5% | -0.4% | 0.01 | P | Same trip | — |
| 3 | SUPER CORREDORA | 10.0 | 7.1% | 4.0% | -3.1% | -1.96 | E | Same trip | — |