MNR R6 · 2026-09-30
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find MNR R6 · 2026-09-30 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Two-speed duel risk (#6 vs #5)
Pressure high. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#6WINGS OF GODE
- C2#9EXCITABLE BOYP
- C3#1CASCABELP
- C4#5RED FERNEP
- C5#4AWESOME NAMEC
- C6#7SOUTHERN BULLETC
- C7#3ROCKIBLEC
- C8#2SHORE TIMEC
- C9#8REVEREND JACKC
Honest pace among #6 WINGS OF GOD and #5 RED FERN. Ability decides if they do not empty.
Helps #9 EXCITABLE BOY, #1 CASCABEL · hurts #6 WINGS OF GOD, #5 RED FERN
Pressure: #6 WINGS OF GOD and #5 RED FERN hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.
Helps #9 EXCITABLE BOY, #1 CASCABEL · hurts #6 WINGS OF GOD, #5 RED FERN
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#4 AWESOME NAME, #7 SOUTHERN BULLET, #3 ROCKIBLE, #2 SHORE TIME, #8 REVEREND JACK).
Helps #4 AWESOME NAME, #7 SOUTHERN BULLET, #3 ROCKIBLE, #2 SHORE TIME, #8 REVEREND JACK · hurts #6 WINGS OF GOD, #5 RED FERN
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | EXCITABLE BOYRIVERA L R | 2.0 | P | Rising figsTag dropSame trip2026-08-29 CT 3f 35.40 B MT ft bullet 1/25; 2026-06-19 CT 4f 49.00 B MT ft 9/22 · barn: same as last | Clm5000n3x → Clm 4000n3x | FARRIOR ANTHONY | Favorite |
| 7 | SOUTHERN BULLETMARTINEZ MIGUEL L | 3.0 | C | Rising figs3rd start cycleBarn changeTop last figSame trip2026-08-18 MNR 5f 61.60 B MT ft 1/2; 2026-05-14 TTC 4f 48.80 B MT ft bullet 1/17 · barn: change vs PRECIADO RAMON | Clm4000n2x → Clm 4000n3x | VAZQUEZ JUAN CARLOS | primed |
| 6 | WINGS OF GODGREENIDGE ELIJAH | 5.0 | E | Tag drop2026-03-01 MVR 4f 49.20 B MT gd 3/11; 2025-10-25 IND 4f 49.60 B MT ft 19/36 · barn: same as last | Clm7500n3x → Clm 4000n3x | POOLE JAMI C | field |
| 2 | SHORE TIMENEGRON LUIS | 6.0 | C | Same trip2026-06-17 MNR 4f 49.60 B MT ft 13/29; 2026-06-10 MNR 4f 49.80 B MT ft 4/10 · barn: same as last | Clm4000n3x → Clm 4000n3x | VAZQUEZ JUAN CARLOS | field |
| 1 | CASCABELLEON JOSE A | 7.0 | P | Tag dropBarn changeTop last paceSame trip2026-07-26 MNR 5f 60.00 Bg MT ft 1/2; 2026-06-21 MNR 5f 64.00 B MT ft 2/4 · barn: change vs SILVA JOSE L | Clm10000n3x → Clm 4000n3x | SILVA JUAN PABLO | field |
| 5 | RED FERNBATISTA LUIS ALBERTO | 12.0 | EP | Rising figsSame trip2026-05-18 PID 4f 46.80 B MT ft 2/24; 2026-04-19 TAM 4f 48.60 B MT ft 5/66 · barn: same as last | Clm4000n2x → Clm 4000n3x | CLOUSTON EDWARD | field |
| 8 | REVEREND JACKTAPARA LUIS | 10.0 | C | Class drop2026-03-27 ELL 4f 51.00 B MT ft bullet 1/4; 2026-03-20 ELL 4f 50.60 B MT ft bullet 1/5 · barn: same as last | Alw20370n3x → Clm 4000n3x | SHAFER GABE | field |
| 4 | AWESOME NAMEGARCIA F | 15.0 | C | Tag dropBarn changeSame trip2026-08-19 LAD 4f 50.20 B MT ft 28/51; 2026-08-09 LAD 4f 51.20 B MT ft 10/12 · barn: change vs ASMUSSEN STEVEN M | Clm5000n3l → Clm 4000n3x | SILVA JUAN PABLO | field |
| 3 | ROCKIBLETAPARA BRANDON | 20.0 | C | Same trip2026-06-17 FL 4f 49.00 B MT ft 9/24; 2026-05-12 FL 3f 38.40 B MT ft 16/16 · barn: same as last | Clm4000n2x → Clm 4000n3x | SHANLEY TYLER S | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEMNR R6 · 2026-09-30 · Dirt 1210y · Clm4000n3x
- SHAPETwo-speed duel (#6/#5) sets up closers; inside-rail/closer bias favors posts 1-3; #9 draws post 9 against a field that has produced zero winners from posts 8+ in the 30-day sample
- CHALKFavorite#9 EXCITABLE BOY · short but opposable on post alone — all logic says closer bias + duel suits it, but post 9 at a track that shows 0% wins from posts 8+ is a structural fade; at ML 2 it is not a ticket
- LEANWinner call#9 EXCITABLE BOY · still the most likely winner on pace shape and rising figs (63→69), but the post kill is real
- PRIMED#7 SOUTHERN BULLET — rising figs (69→77), 3rd-start cycle, barn change, top field fig; path exists in A and B; not an overlay at ML 3
- PRICEno price — zero non-chalk overlays on the brief; #7 is primed but not an overlay; sheet rec is PASS
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS
- KILLIf #6 or #5 clears uncontested and the duel never materializes, #9 off post 9 may not get back in time; any inside horse (posts 1-3) with a forward trip inherits the rail bias
- MISSINGlive tote, official scratches, weather/track variant, rider changes post-ingest
Why
Dirt sprint claiming at MNR, closer-bias track, moderate-to-high volatility in a soft $4,000 field where figs are bunched and the chalk ships in from a short route cycle. Shape is a two-speed duel between #6 WINGS OF GOD and #5 RED FERN, which sets up the stalkers/closers — #9 EXCITABLE BOY (chalk, ML 2) is the logical beneficiary at post 9 but draws the worst post in a rail-bias, inside-winners meet. #7 SOUTHERN BULLET is the only primed horse (rising figs 69→77, 3rd start of cycle, barn change, top field fig 77), closed strongly mid-track last out at MNR at this distance for a new barn, and gets a clean closer path if the duel materializes — but model edge is 0.011 with overlay=false, so price is not there at ML 3. ``` ```
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printPrice / ready board
Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.
Ready, not overlaid
Full field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | EXCITABLE BOY | 2.0 | 25.7% | 30.2% | +4.5% | 1.01 | P | favoriteRising figsTag dropSame trip | — |
| 7 | SOUTHERN BULLET | 3.0 | 19.3% | 20.4% | +1.1% | 0.58 | C | Rising figs3rd start cycleBarn changeTop last figSame trip | — |
| 6 | WINGS OF GOD | 5.0 | 12.9% | 12.0% | -0.9% | 0.08 | E | Tag drop | — |
| 2 | SHORE TIME | 6.0 | 11.0% | 10.6% | -0.5% | 0.19 | C | Same trip | — |
| 1 | CASCABEL | 7.0 | 9.6% | 9.5% | -0.1% | 0.32 | P | Tag dropBarn changeTop last paceSame trip | — |
| 5 | RED FERN | 12.0 | 5.9% | 5.4% | -0.5% | 0.01 | EP | Rising figsSame trip | — |
| 8 | REVEREND JACK | 10.0 | 7.0% | 5.3% | -1.7% | -0.78 | C | Class drop | — |
| 4 | AWESOME NAME | 15.0 | 4.8% | 3.9% | -0.9% | -0.50 | C | Tag dropBarn changeSame trip | — |
| 3 | ROCKIBLE | 20.0 | 3.7% | 2.7% | -1.0% | -0.90 | C | Same trip | — |