IND R1 · 2026-09-28
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find IND R1 · 2026-09-28 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Two-speed duel risk (#6 vs #5)
Pressure high. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#6LUNA DIVAEP
- C2#5FOCACCIAEP
- C3#2PETERS DREAMP
- C4#1INDIANA SMOKE SHOWS
- C5#4STARRY EYE JUSTICEC
- C6#3IMALITTLETHIRSTYS
- C7#7UNBRIDLED SABBATHC
Honest pace among #6 LUNA DIVA and #5 FOCACCIA. Ability decides if they do not empty.
Helps #2 PETERS DREAM, #1 INDIANA SMOKE SHOW, #3 IMALITTLETHIRSTY · hurts #6 LUNA DIVA, #5 FOCACCIA
Pressure: #6 LUNA DIVA and #5 FOCACCIA hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.
Helps #2 PETERS DREAM, #1 INDIANA SMOKE SHOW, #3 IMALITTLETHIRSTY · hurts #6 LUNA DIVA, #5 FOCACCIA
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#1 INDIANA SMOKE SHOW, #4 STARRY EYE JUSTICE, #3 IMALITTLETHIRSTY, #7 UNBRIDLED SABBATH).
Helps #1 INDIANA SMOKE SHOW, #4 STARRY EYE JUSTICE, #3 IMALITTLETHIRSTY, #7 UNBRIDLED SABBATH · hurts #6 LUNA DIVA, #5 FOCACCIA
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | LUNA DIVAPRESCOTT R | 3.0 | EP | 2nd off layoffTop last paceSame trip2026-08-18 IND 4f 49.00 B MT ft 18/49; 2026-07-24 IND 4f 49.40 B MT ft 21/37 · barn: same as last | fsClm12500b → Clm 12500b | DURAN ANTONIO | overlay |
| 4 | STARRY EYE JUSTICEDE LA CRUZ FERNANDO | 2.0 | C | 2nd off layoffClass drop2026-08-21 IND 4f 47.80 B MT ft 3/26; 2026-08-06 IND 3f 37.60 B MT ft 3/9 · barn: same as last | fsAlw43000n2x → Clm 12500b | KLOPP RANDY | Favorite |
| 1 | INDIANA SMOKE SHOWMONCADA IRVING | 4.0 | S | Rising figsSame trip2026-03-27 IND 5f 61.40 B MT sy 4/21; 2026-03-19 IND 5f 61.80 B MT ft 20/26 · barn: same as last | fsClm12500b → Clm 12500b | KLOPP RANDY | field |
| 5 | FOCACCIAGUTIERREZ JOSE RAMOS | 6.0 | EP | Tag dropLed lastTop last figSame trip2026-09-17 IND 5f 62.00 B MT ft 5/8; 2026-09-09 IND 4f 49.60 B MT ft 15/29 · barn: same as last | fsClm15000n2l → Clm 12500b | MULLINS SCOTT D | overlay |
| 3 | IMALITTLETHIRSTYMURRILL MITCHELL | 6.0 | S | 2nd off layoffSame trip2026-03-28 IND 4f 51.20 B MT ft 74/78; 2026-03-18 MVR 4f 48.80 B MT ft bullet 1/7 · barn: same as last | fsClm12500b → Clm 12500b | GORHAM ROBERT M | field |
| 7 | UNBRIDLED SABBATHMENDOZA AMIR | 8.0 | C | Rising figs3rd start cycleClass drop2026-09-22 IND 4f 48.60 B MT my 4/5; 2026-08-15 IND 4f 50.60 B MT ft 63/77 · barn: same as last | fsAlw43000n2x → Clm 12500b | HARAN JOHN | primed |
| 2 | PETERS DREAMMEEKS MICAH | 15.0 | P | Trouble last2026-09-19 IND 5f 60.20 B MT ft 2/5; 2026-07-29 IND 4f 52.80 B MT ft 56/60 · barn: same as last | fClm12500n2x → Clm 12500b | HARAN JOHN | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEIND R1 · 2026-09-28 · Dirt 1320y · Clm 12500b
- SHAPETwo-EP duel (#6 vs #5) · pressure high · stalkers/closers get a gift if speed empties
- CHALKFavorite#4 STARRY EYE JUSTICE · fade · last fig 30 on turf, negative model edge, deep closer with no pace to chase in Scenario A
- LEANWinner call#6 LUNA DIVA · 2nd off layoff, top e1 in field, highest zPace, ML 3 overlay at model 0.248
- PRIMED#7 UNBRIDLED SABBATH (rising figs, 3rd start cycle, class drop) — C-only path, not a win play
- PRICE#6 LUNA DIVA edge +0.046 · #5 FOCACCIA edge +0.027 (both non-chalk overlays)
- PLAYPrice ticket#6 LUNA DIVA · win · min 3-1 (ML is exactly 3; needs to hold or drift — at 5-2 pass)
- KILL#5 FOCACCIA matches LUNA DIVA stride-for-stride and they both empty; or chalk breaks cleanly and stalks a slow pace
- MISSINGLive tote, official scratches, weather/track variant, rider changes
Why
Dirt sprint claiming at IND, tight $12,500 tag, seven starters — moderate volatility with a clear pace question at the top. Two EP types (#6 LUNA DIVA, #5 FOCACCIA) project to hook up on the front end, making this a duel/pressure shape with the chalk (#4 STARRY EYE JUSTICE) a steep drop from allowance company but running off a turf fig of 30 and a negative model edge. #7 UNBRIDLED SABBATH is the ingest-flagged primed horse (rising figs, third start of cycle, class drop) but its pace style is C and its barn's Turf-to-Dirt and Rte-to-Sprint splits are both sub-8% win — path only opens in Scenario C, not A or B, making it price-only underneath, not a win bet. ``` ```
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
PLAY is a look. Stamp the board so after official we can grade an action, not a morning-line wish.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printPrice / ready board
Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.
Price overlays
Ready, not overlaid
Full field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | LUNA DIVA | 3.0 | 20.1% | 24.8% | +4.6% | 0.95 | EP | 2nd off layoffTop last paceSame trip | — |
| 4 | STARRY EYE JUSTICE | 2.0 | 26.8% | 21.2% | -5.6% | -0.81 | C | favorite2nd off layoffClass drop | — |
| 1 | INDIANA SMOKE SHOW | 4.0 | 16.1% | 17.8% | +1.7% | 0.52 | S | Rising figsSame trip | — |
| 5 | FOCACCIA | 6.0 | 11.5% | 14.2% | +2.7% | 0.97 | EP | Tag dropLed lastTop last figSame trip | — |
| 3 | IMALITTLETHIRSTY | 6.0 | 11.5% | 10.6% | -0.9% | -0.20 | S | 2nd off layoffSame trip | — |
| 7 | UNBRIDLED SABBATH | 8.0 | 8.9% | 7.3% | -1.6% | -0.69 | C | Rising figs3rd start cycleClass drop | — |
| 2 | PETERS DREAM | 15.0 | 5.0% | 4.1% | -1.0% | -0.73 | P | Trouble last | — |