WRD R10 · 2026-10-04
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find WRD R10 · 2026-10-04 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Pace unknown — not enough call1/e1
Pressure unknown. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#1POETRY MANNUU
- C2#9SECRET PURSUITUU
- C3#6NITETIME PRIZEUU
- C4#10WRS CYBER SAMUU
- C5#5EXPLOIT IVORYUU
- C6#4ROKKET SCIENTISTUU
- C7#8TRIPLE R CARTELUU
- C8#3AJS N LOVEUU
- C9#7AMAZING GRACE 2UU
- C10#2ONE VALIANT GALUU
No dedicated early. Crawl likely. One-run closers may never get a target.
Helps — · hurts —
A surprise early type appears. The crawl map is wrong.
Helps — · hurts —
Chaos: the map fails and the race becomes a scramble. No dedicated closer on the file.
Helps — · hurts —
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | POETRY MANNESQUEDA CHRISTIAN | 2.0 | U | MSW → MCLSame trip2026-07-11 PRM 1f 11.60 Hg MT ft 1/3; 2026-06-25 PRM 1f 12.00 Hg MT ft 2/7 · barn: same as last | MdSpWt → Md 25000 | HARRIS BILL | Favorite |
| 9 | SECRET PURSUITPULIDO JUAN | 4.0 | U | 2nd off layoffSame trip2026-08-22 WRD 1f 11.80 Hg MT ft 4/24; 2026-08-05 DRT 1f 12.40 Hg MT ft 6/14 · barn: same as last | FutTrl8000 → Md 25000 | REED KASH | field |
| 6 | NITETIME PRIZERAMIREZ ANGEL O | 6.0 | U | Rising figs2nd off layoffSame trip2026-08-19 PRM 1f 12.80 B MT ft 3/3; 2026-03-04 RP 1.1f 14.00 Hg MT ft 37/73 · barn: same as last | fMd15000 → Md 25000 | STEIN TYLER | primed |
| 10 | WRS CYBER SAMCRUZ ROMAN | 8.0 | U | Barn changeSame trip2026-09-20 WRD 1f 12.60 H MT ft 10/12; 2026-02-18 RP 1.1f 14.20 Hg MT ft 106/146 · barn: change vs VALDIVIA SAMUEL E | Md10000c → Md 25000 | GAYTAN SAMUEL JR | field |
| 5 | EXPLOIT IVORYPEDRAZA JASTEN | 8.0 | U | MSW → MCLSame trip2026-08-23 WRD 1f 12.60 H MT ft 24/30; 2026-06-05 FMT 1f 13.00 H MT ft 3/6 · barn: same as last | MdSpWt → Md 25000 | SELLERS JAMES W | field |
| 4 | ROKKET SCIENTISTESQUEDA ERIK N | 12.0 | U | Rising figsMSW → MCLSame trip2026-08-22 RMT 1f 12.20 H MT ft 1/3; 2026-03-20 RMT 1f 13.40 B MT ft 1/1 · barn: same as last | MdSpWt → Md 25000 | VARGAS MARLA DAYANA | field |
| 8 | TRIPLE R CARTELDELGADO MARIO | 15.0 | U | MSW → MCLBarn changeSame trip2026-08-28 ALB 1f 12.40 H MT ft 8/14; 2026-05-07 ALB 1f 12.20 H MT ft 29/142 · barn: change vs VARELA ADRIANA EDITH | MdSpWt → Md 25000 | ESCAMILLA-GONZALEZ EVERARDO N | field |
| 3 | AJS N LOVEVEGA RANDY | 15.0 | U | 2nd off layoffTrouble lastSame trip2026-08-18 WRD 1f 11.40 H MT ft 3/24; 2026-02-26 RP 1f 12.40 Hg MT ft 10/28 · barn: same as last | FutTrl5000 → Md 25000 | WHITEKILLER MATT E | primed |
| 7 | AMAZING GRACE 2BENN CORDARELTON J | 20.0 | U | Rising figs2nd off layoffTop last figSame trip2026-08-25 WRD 1f 12.00 Hg MT ft 21/46; 2026-06-16 FMT 1.1f 13.60 Hg MT ft 4/11 · barn: same as last | sFutTrl5000 → Md 25000 | HURDLE MICHELLE | primed |
| 2 | ONE VALIANT GALARELLANO JUAN | 20.0 | U | Trouble lastSame trip2026-08-29 WRD 1f 11.80 Hg MT ft 3/14; 2026-06-06 FMT 1.1f 14.00 Hg MT my 4/6 · barn: same as last | Md10000 → Md 25000 | TORRES VALERIE | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEWRD R10 · 2026-10-04 · D / 300y / Md 25000
- SHAPEAll pace styles U — no map, crawl or scramble equally likely; volatility extreme
- CHALKFavorite#1 POETRY MANN · opposable · MSW-to-MCL drop looks bullish but figs flatlined at 80 and the sheet rec is PASS on non-chalk overlays only
- LEANWinner call#7 AMAZING GRACE 2 · top fig in the field, rising cycle, 2nd-off-layoff at this track and distance
- PRIMED#7 AMAZING GRACE 2 (rising_figs, second_off_layoff, top_last_fig); #6 NITETIME PRIZE (rising_figs, second_off_layoff); #3 AJS N LOVE (second_off_layoff, trouble_last)
- PRICEno overlay — model edges on all non-chalk horses are fractional (≤0.008) and no horse clears a true overlay threshold
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS — no non-chalk horse produces a genuine overlay; sheet rec is PASS
- KILLAny live-tote price compression on #7 below ~15-1 or a scratch reshaping the unknown pace map
- MISSINGlive tote, official scratches, weather, rider changes post-ingest
Why
Dirt 300y maiden-claimer at Woodlands, full pace map unknown (all styles U), high volatility in a 10-horse field where no early type is identified and the chalk is stepping down from MSW. Shape is a black box — every pace slot is U — making the race a scramble on paper; chalk #1 POETRY MANN is opposable on class optics (MSW-to-MCL drop) but carries the best-held figs in the field and a live signal. #7 AMAZING GRACE 2 owns the top last fig in the field (82), rising figs (+17), 2nd-off-layoff, and ran that number at this exact track in a sprint, giving it the cleanest primed stack if a path opens in chaos.
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printPrice / ready board
Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.
Ready, not overlaid
Full field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | POETRY MANN | 2.0 | 27.9% | 29.1% | +1.2% | 0.28 | U | favoriteMSW → MCLSame trip | — |
| 9 | SECRET PURSUIT | 4.0 | 16.7% | 14.9% | -1.9% | -0.37 | U | 2nd off layoffSame trip | — |
| 6 | NITETIME PRIZE | 6.0 | 11.9% | 12.7% | +0.8% | 0.36 | U | Rising figs2nd off layoffSame trip | — |
| 10 | WRS CYBER SAM | 8.0 | 9.3% | 9.8% | +0.5% | 0.33 | U | Barn changeSame trip | — |
| 5 | EXPLOIT IVORY | 8.0 | 9.3% | 9.2% | -0.1% | 0.07 | U | MSW → MCLSame trip | — |
| 4 | ROKKET SCIENTIST | 12.0 | 6.4% | 7.0% | +0.6% | 0.45 | U | Rising figsMSW → MCLSame trip | — |
| 8 | TRIPLE R CARTEL | 15.0 | 5.2% | 5.4% | +0.1% | 0.20 | U | MSW → MCLBarn changeSame trip | — |
| 3 | AJS N LOVE | 15.0 | 5.2% | 5.2% | -0.0% | 0.08 | U | 2nd off layoffTrouble lastSame trip | — |
| 7 | AMAZING GRACE 2 | 20.0 | 4.0% | 4.1% | +0.1% | 0.17 | U | Rising figs2nd off layoffTop last figSame trip | — |
| 2 | ONE VALIANT GAL | 20.0 | 4.0% | 2.6% | -1.4% | -1.57 | U | Trouble lastSame trip | — |