FP R1 · 2026-10-10
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find FP R1 · 2026-10-10 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Two-speed duel risk (#4 vs #5)
Pressure high. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#4MILAALAHEP
- C2#5DUBLIN DROPEP
- C3#7W W CASHUU
- C4#1BANISHEDS
- C5#2HURRIKANE WARNINGC
- C6#3MY EVERYTHINGC
- C7#6MISTRESSOFMISCHIEFC
Honest pace among #4 MILAALAH and #5 DUBLIN DROP. Ability decides if they do not empty.
Helps #1 BANISHED · hurts #4 MILAALAH, #5 DUBLIN DROP
Pressure: #4 MILAALAH and #5 DUBLIN DROP hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.
Helps #1 BANISHED · hurts #4 MILAALAH, #5 DUBLIN DROP
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#1 BANISHED, #2 HURRIKANE WARNING, #3 MY EVERYTHING, #6 MISTRESSOFMISCHIEF).
Helps #1 BANISHED, #2 HURRIKANE WARNING, #3 MY EVERYTHING, #6 MISTRESSOFMISCHIEF · hurts #4 MILAALAH, #5 DUBLIN DROP
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | MILAALAHREYES FRANK | 1.4 | EP | Rising figsTop last figTop last paceSame trip2026-09-24 FP 4f 51.80 B MT ft 13/13; 2026-03-30 FP 4f 52.00 B MT ft 17/19 · barn: same as last | fsMdSpWt → Md Sp Wt | LYNCH HARRY E | Favorite |
| 7 | W W CASHSANTIAGO VICTOR | 1.5 | U | Same trip2026-10-01 FP 4f 51.00 B MT ft 11/18; 2026-09-16 FP 4f 52.00 B MT ft 5/6 · barn: same as last | fMd15000 → Md Sp Wt | BECKER SCOTT | Favorite |
| 5 | DUBLIN DROPORTIZ ALVIN | 5.0 | EP | Same trip2026-07-16 FP 3f 36.60 B MT ft 1/2; 2026-04-11 FP 4f 48.60 Bg MT ft 6/15 · barn: same as last | fMdSpWt → Md Sp Wt | ANDERSON TRACY | field |
| 3 | MY EVERYTHINGTAVARES JAVIER | 8.0 | C | Trouble lastBarn changeSame trip2026-07-19 HAW 3f 36.20 B MT ft bullet 1/10; 2026-06-21 HAW 3f 36.00 Bg MT ft 2/9 · barn: change vs PADILLA TIM | fMdSpWt → Md Sp Wt | PEREZ MANNY | field |
| 1 | BANISHEDARRIETA REYNIER | 10.0 | S | Barn changeSame trip2026-06-19 PRM 4f 51.00 B MT ft 15/20; 2026-05-24 PRM 3f 37.00 B MT ft 2/11 · barn: change vs TRACY TANNER | fsMd10000 → Md Sp Wt | DURHAM MIKE | field |
| 2 | HURRIKANE WARNINGFELIX J E | 20.0 | C | Same trip2026-08-23 PRM 3f 36.00 B MT ft bullet 1/6; 2026-08-03 PRM 3f 37.40 B MT ft 9/17 · barn: same as last | fMdSpWt → Md Sp Wt | DURHAM MIKE | field |
| 6 | MISTRESSOFMISCHIEFSTANLEY A O | 30.0 | C | Trouble lastSame trip2026-08-29 FP 4f 48.60 Bg MT ft 2/19; 2026-06-19 FP 3f 35.60 B MT ft bullet 1/13 · barn: same as last | fMdSpWt → Md Sp Wt | ANDERSON TRACY | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEFP R1 · 2026-10-10 · Dirt 1210y · Md Sp Wt
- SHAPETwo-EP speed duel (#4 vs #5) sets up stalkers/closers; #4 has the top fig and pace edge but is co-chalk at 1.4
- CHALKFavorite#4 MILAALAH (1.4) and #7 W W CASH (1.5) — both chalk; #4 is solid on figs and E1, #7 is a class drop from maiden claiming with one line and no model overlay
- LEANWinner call#4 MILAALAH — top fig, rising cycle, best E1 in field; most likely to clear the duel if #5 fades
- PRIMEDnone
- PRICEno price — no non-chalk overlay in the field
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS
- KILL#5 DUBLIN DROP makes the lead and sets a slow honest pace that keeps the chalk alive; live tote may reveal a sharp price shift on #1 BANISHED (barn change to Durham, whose first-start TJ ROI is +1.16) that was not priced in at morning line
- MISSINGlive tote, official scratches, weather, rider changes
Why
Dirt sprint maiden special weight at Fair Play, seven horses, high volatility from a wide-open field with no proven winner. Two EP types (#4 MILAALAH, #5 DUBLIN DROP) project a speed duel that should set up the field, but both chalks are at sub-2-1 morning line with no non-chalk overlay in the model. No horse reaches the two-flag PRIMED threshold.
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printFull field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | MILAALAH | 1.4 | 32.9% | 37.1% | +4.2% | 0.98 | EP | favoriteRising figsTop last figTop last paceSame trip | — |
| 7 | W W CASH | 1.5 | 31.6% | 31.1% | -0.5% | 0.44 | U | favoriteSame trip | — |
| 5 | DUBLIN DROP | 5.0 | 13.2% | 13.6% | +0.4% | 0.63 | EP | Same trip | — |
| 3 | MY EVERYTHING | 8.0 | 8.8% | 7.4% | -1.3% | -0.16 | C | Trouble lastBarn changeSame trip | — |
| 1 | BANISHED | 10.0 | 7.2% | 6.2% | -0.9% | -0.06 | S | Barn changeSame trip | — |
| 2 | HURRIKANE WARNING | 20.0 | 3.8% | 2.8% | -0.9% | -0.62 | C | Same trip | — |
| 6 | MISTRESSOFMISCHIEF | 30.0 | 2.5% | 1.7% | -0.9% | -1.21 | C | Trouble lastSame trip | — |