ASD R1 · 2026-10-06
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find ASD R1 · 2026-10-06 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Lone speed #2 JAYA RULES
Pressure moderate. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#2JAYA RULESEP
- C2#5AMMA JAW DROPPERP
- C3#1PLEASANT TIMEP
- C4#3LITTLE EDDIEC
- C5#4KNOWN TO BEC
#2 JAYA RULES controls. Closers need a melt that does not come.
Helps #2 JAYA RULES · hurts #3 LITTLE EDDIE, #4 KNOWN TO BE
Someone presses #2 JAYA RULES. Soft-lead thesis dies.
Helps #5 AMMA JAW DROPPER, #1 PLEASANT TIME · hurts #2 JAYA RULES
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#3 LITTLE EDDIE, #4 KNOWN TO BE).
Helps #3 LITTLE EDDIE, #4 KNOWN TO BE · hurts #2 JAYA RULES
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | KNOWN TO BEPATTERSON JAVANIEL R | 1.0 | C | Rising figsTop last figSame trip2026-09-11 ASD 3f 36.80 B MT ft bullet 1/6; 2026-08-19 ASD 4f 52.60 B MT ft 16/16 · barn: same as last | fMd15000 → Clm 10000b | PRUITT LISE | Favorite |
| 3 | LITTLE EDDIEBALROOP SVEN | 3.0 | C | Same trip2026-08-02 ASD 4f 49.40 H MT ft 5/6; 2026-07-21 ASD 4f 51.00 B MT ft 8/12 · barn: same as last | Clm7500n2l → Clm 10000b | DESJARLAIS RYAN | field |
| 1 | PLEASANT TIMEHEWITT ROGER | 4.0 | P | Class dropSame trip2026-07-02 ASD 4f 52.80 H MT ft 1/2; 2026-05-31 ASD 5f 66.60 H MT ft 4/4 · barn: same as last | Alw14752n2l → Clm 10000b | THOMPSON STEVEN | field |
| 2 | JAYA RULESSTEPHENSON NEVILLE | 5.0 | EP | Rising figsLed lastSame trip2026-06-27 ASD 4f 51.20 Bg MT ft 10/11; 2026-06-14 ASD 3f 36.00 B MT ft 1/2 · barn: same as last | fsClm10000b → Clm 10000b | BROWN JARED | field |
| 5 | AMMA JAW DROPPERKHELAWAN KERRON | 8.0 | P | Top last paceSame trip2026-08-02 ASD 4f 49.20 B MT ft 4/6; 2026-05-25 ASD 4f 50.20 B MT ft 8/12 · barn: same as last | Clm7500n2l → Clm 10000b | DESJARLAIS RYAN | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEASD R1 · 2026-10-06 · D / 1320y / Clm 10000b
- SHAPELone speed (#2 JAYA RULES); speed + inside bias favors a front-runner, but the chalk is a closer sitting behind a clean lead — Scenario A is #2's race to lose, C only saves the deep closers
- CHALKFavorite#4 KNOWN TO BE · solid-but-opposable · top fig (73) and rising cycle are real, but C style into a speed/inside bias with a lone-speed setup is a pace mismatch; still the class of the field
- LEANWinner call#2 JAYA RULES · controls the rail, lone speed, track bias aligns, figs are modest but climbing, pace map A is its blueprint
- PRIMEDnone (no non-chalk horse reaches 2+ ready flags)
- PRICEno price (zero non-chalk overlays; model edge exists only on the chalk)
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS
- KILL#2 duels or is pressed — Scenario B collapses its advantage and the chalk's fig wins going away; live tote could shorten #4 further and confirm public opinion
- MISSINGlive tote, official scratches post-ingest, weather/track variant, rider changes
Why
Dirt sprint at a claiming level (Clm 10000b, 1320y, ASD) with a five-horse field and a speed/inside bias — moderate volatility given the small, well-mapped group. #2 JAYA RULES is lone speed on a track that rewards early pace and inside position, but the chalk is #4 KNOWN TO BE (ML 1), a closer with the field's top fig (73) coming off a 99-day layoff in what reads as a "2nd off layoff" cycle with rising figs — solid pace mismatch between its style (C) and the bias, yet the fig gap is real. No non-chalk horse clears 2+ ready flags and no price overlay exists per the sheet.
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printFull field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | KNOWN TO BE | 1.0 | 40.7% | 46.5% | +5.8% | 0.80 | C | favoriteRising figsTop last figSame trip | — |
| 3 | LITTLE EDDIE | 3.0 | 20.4% | 19.1% | -1.3% | 0.01 | C | Same trip | — |
| 1 | PLEASANT TIME | 4.0 | 16.3% | 14.3% | -2.0% | -0.25 | P | Class dropSame trip | — |
| 2 | JAYA RULES | 5.0 | 13.6% | 12.7% | -0.9% | 0.00 | EP | Rising figsLed lastSame trip | — |
| 5 | AMMA JAW DROPPER | 8.0 | 9.0% | 7.3% | -1.7% | -0.57 | P | Top last paceSame trip | — |