PID R7 · 2026-09-30
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find PID R7 · 2026-09-30 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Wall of early / pressers (#3 #1 #7)
Pressure high. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#3SO GRANDE
- C2#1JUDY CHOPE
- C3#7TWIST N TWIRLEP
- C4#5GETOUTYOURWALLETP
- C5#6DENALI LIGHTNINGS
- C6#4GARAGE BEERSC
- C7#2VIVA VICTORYC
Honest pace among #3 SO GRAND and #1 JUDY CHOP and #7 TWIST N TWIRL. Ability decides if they do not empty.
Helps #5 GETOUTYOURWALLET, #6 DENALI LIGHTNING · hurts #3 SO GRAND, #1 JUDY CHOP, #7 TWIST N TWIRL
Pressure: #3 SO GRAND and #1 JUDY CHOP and #7 TWIST N TWIRL hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.
Helps #5 GETOUTYOURWALLET, #6 DENALI LIGHTNING · hurts #3 SO GRAND, #1 JUDY CHOP, #7 TWIST N TWIRL
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#6 DENALI LIGHTNING, #4 GARAGE BEERS, #2 VIVA VICTORY).
Helps #6 DENALI LIGHTNING, #4 GARAGE BEERS, #2 VIVA VICTORY · hurts #3 SO GRAND, #1 JUDY CHOP, #7 TWIST N TWIRL
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JUDY CHOPMARTINEZ GADDIEL A | 3.0 | E | Rising figsLed lastSame trip2026-07-20 PID 3f 42.40 B MT ft 7/8; 2026-06-11 PID 4f 49.20 B MT ft 8/18 · barn: same as last | Clm6250n2l → Clm 6250n2l | RICE KEVIN | Favorite |
| 3 | SO GRANDMONTANEZ ROSARIO | 4.0 | E | Rising figsTag dropLed lastSame trip2026-08-21 PID 3f 36.20 B MT ft 2/7; 2026-07-31 PID 3f 34.20 B MT ft bullet 1/5 · barn: same as last | Md7500 → Clm 6250n2l | DAVIS SCOOTER | overlay |
| 7 | TWIST N TWIRLRODRIGUEZ ISRAEL O | 3.5 | EP | Top last pace2026-06-14 FAI 3f 37.80 B TT ft 1/2; 2026-05-05 FAI 4f 49.00 Bg T fm 12/15 · barn: same as last | Clm6250n2l → Clm 6250n2l | GIRTEN TIM | field |
| 4 | GARAGE BEERSROJAS MARTINA | 4.5 | C | Rising figsTag drop2026-09-24 PEN 4f 48.60 B MT ft 2/5; 2026-08-20 PEN 3f 35.40 B MT ft 2/5 · barn: same as last | Md16000 → Clm 6250n2l | RATHMAN ELISHA | field |
| 5 | GETOUTYOURWALLETPRUITT CIERA | 7.0 | P | Rising figsTag dropSame trip2026-09-14 PID 4f 50.20 B MT ft 11/16; 2026-08-25 PID 3f 36.20 B MT ft 4/5 · barn: same as last | Clm10000n2l → Clm 6250n2l | MARTIN WILLIAM N | field |
| 6 | DENALI LIGHTNINGALLEN M | 12.0 | S | Tag dropSame trip2026-09-14 PID 4f 49.60 B MT ft 6/16; 2026-09-08 PID 3f 37.60 B MT ft 1/1 · barn: same as last | Clm10000n2l → Clm 6250n2l | MARTIN WILLIAM N | field |
| 2 | VIVA VICTORYDELGADO DAVID | 12.0 | C | Rising figsSame trip2026-06-23 PID 4f 51.00 B MT ft 15/15; 2026-06-16 PID 4f 51.60 B MT ft 23/23 · barn: same as last | Clm6250n2l → Clm 6250n2l | REUST MEGAN | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEPID R7 · 2026-09-30 · Dirt 1320y · Clm 6250n2l
- SHAPEWall of early speed (#3 #1 #7) · pace duel likely · stalkers/pressers (#5 #6) improve in A/B; closers (#4 #2) only in chaos C
- CHALKFavorite#1 JUDY CHOP · short (ML 3) · inside post, rising figs, leads well, but faces two other E types and sits right on the overlay horse's hip
- LEANWinner call#3 SO GRAND · only model overlay, big fig jump last, won wire-to-wire, inside enough (post 3) to clear if #1 hooks the other speed
- PRIMEDnone (sheet confirms)
- PRICE#3 SO GRAND ML 4 · edge 0.033 · only non-chalk overlay on the card
- PLAYPrice ticket#3 SO GRAND · min 4-1 · WIN · at 3-1 or shorter, pass
- KILLSO GRAND's prior lines show it repeatedly popped the gate and emptied at 1320y; if it reverts to that habit today (the 1210y maiden win may not translate), the play is void; also, if #1 clears cleanly from post 1 and SO GRAND gets shuffled wide early, the path is gone
- MISSINGlive tote, official scratches, weather/surface condition, rider changes post-ingest
Why
Dirt sprint at Presque Isle, cheap claiming (6250 n2l), seven runners, moderate-to-high volatility given a wall of early speed at the front. Three E/EP types (#3, #1, #7) project a genuine duel that should set up the pace-scenario stalkers, with chalk #1 JUDY CHOP (ML 3) an inside speed horse that figures best but is short and faces heat; the bias strongly favors inside posts and early speed, but the pace map argues the speed will trade shots. No horse is formally primed (sheet says none), but #3 SO GRAND is the lone model overlay (edge 0.033, ML 4) — broke its maiden last out wire-to-wire off a big fig spike (+17), drops from maiden to n2l, and posts 1-3 win 70% here, though its prior lines show a history of gate-popping and empty stretches at the 1320y distance.
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
PLAY is a look. Stamp the board so after official we can grade an action, not a morning-line wish.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printPrice / ready board
Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.
Price overlays
Full field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | JUDY CHOP | 3.0 | 22.1% | 22.8% | +0.7% | 0.43 | E | favoriteRising figsLed lastSame trip | — |
| 3 | SO GRAND | 4.0 | 17.7% | 20.9% | +3.3% | 0.98 | E | Rising figsTag dropLed lastSame trip | — |
| 7 | TWIST N TWIRL | 3.5 | 19.6% | 20.8% | +1.2% | 0.55 | EP | Top last pace | — |
| 4 | GARAGE BEERS | 4.5 | 16.0% | 16.1% | +0.1% | 0.32 | C | Rising figsTag drop | — |
| 5 | GETOUTYOURWALLET | 7.0 | 11.0% | 9.6% | -1.5% | -0.27 | P | Rising figsTag dropSame trip | — |
| 6 | DENALI LIGHTNING | 12.0 | 6.8% | 5.1% | -1.7% | -0.84 | S | Tag dropSame trip | — |
| 2 | VIVA VICTORY | 12.0 | 6.8% | 4.7% | -2.1% | -1.17 | C | Rising figsSame trip | — |