ASD R4 · 2026-09-30
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find ASD R4 · 2026-09-30 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Two-speed duel risk (#4 vs #9)
Pressure high. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#4BUCKDENS SPIRITE
- C2#9C JS MAYZEEEP
- C3#8SASHAS DREAMP
- C4#5POSHDADDYUU
- C5#6A SOLE SHADEDUU
- C6#7DEPUTIZEUU
- C7#3STRANGE CONNECTIONS
- C8#2ELECTRABLAZEC
- C9#1MECHANIC BETTYUU
Honest pace among #4 BUCKDENS SPIRIT and #9 C JS MAYZEE. Ability decides if they do not empty.
Helps #8 SASHAS DREAM, #3 STRANGE CONNECTION · hurts #4 BUCKDENS SPIRIT, #9 C JS MAYZEE
Pressure: #4 BUCKDENS SPIRIT and #9 C JS MAYZEE hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.
Helps #8 SASHAS DREAM, #3 STRANGE CONNECTION · hurts #4 BUCKDENS SPIRIT, #9 C JS MAYZEE
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#3 STRANGE CONNECTION, #2 ELECTRABLAZE).
Helps #3 STRANGE CONNECTION, #2 ELECTRABLAZE · hurts #4 BUCKDENS SPIRIT, #9 C JS MAYZEE
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | C JS MAYZEEKHELAWAN KERRON | 2.5 | EP | Rising figsTop last figSame trip2026-07-21 ASD 3f 37.80 H MT ft bullet 1/7; 2026-07-11 ASD 4f 51.20 B MT ft 6/9 · barn: same as last | sMdSpWt → Buffalo40k | BROWN JARED | Favorite |
| 8 | SASHAS DREAMKNIGHTS RACHAAD | 3.0 | P | Rising figsSame trip2026-08-10 ASD 4f 52.00 B MT ft 8/9; 2026-07-29 ASD 4f 50.20 B MT ft 3/6 · barn: same as last | sMdSpWt → Buffalo40k | GASKIN STEVEN | field |
| 4 | BUCKDENS SPIRITBYNOE DAMARIO | 5.0 | E | Led lastTop last paceSame trip2026-08-26 ASD 4f 50.80 B MT ft 3/8; 2026-08-10 ASD 4f 52.00 B MT ft 8/9 · barn: same as last | sMdSpWt → Buffalo40k | GASKIN STEVEN | field |
| 7 | DEPUTIZEWHITEHALL ANTONIO | 4.0 | U | Same trip2026-09-01 ASD 4f 51.40 Bg MT ft 9/10; 2026-08-26 ASD 4f 51.40 H MT ft 6/8 · barn: same as last | sMdSpWt → Buffalo40k | NAULT MICHAEL | field |
| 5 | POSHDADDYBREWSTER RASHAWN | 6.0 | U | Sharp workSame trip2026-09-26 ASD 3f 37.60 B D MT ft 1/3; 2026-08-09 ASD 4f 51.80 B MT ft 3/5 · barn: same as last | rCTHSSales51k → Buffalo40k | NEUBUHR TERRY | field |
| 6 | A SOLE SHADEDCUMBERBATCH R | 20.0 | U | —2026-09-26 ASD 3f 38.00 BgD MT ft 2/3; 2026-09-18 ASD 4f 52.60 B MT ft 3/4 · barn: HUSBANDS TIFFANY (no last-line barn) | — → Buffalo40k | HUSBANDS TIFFANY | field |
| 1 | MECHANIC BETTYPRESCOD DEVANTE | 15.0 | U | Same trip2026-09-01 ASD 4f 50.40 Bg MT ft 3/10; 2026-08-11 ASD 4f 50.80 B MT ft 5/12 · barn: same as last | sMdSpWt → Buffalo40k | TAPHORN MIKE | field |
| 3 | STRANGE CONNECTIONSTEPHENSON NEVILLE | 25.0 | S | Rising figsLed lastSame trip2026-09-01 ASD 4f 50.80 Bg MT ft 7/10; 2026-08-25 ASD 3f 38.20 Hg MT ft 4/10 · barn: same as last | Md15000 → Buffalo40k | COLE TERRY | field |
| 2 | ELECTRABLAZEBENNETT MATHEW | 30.0 | C | Rising figsSame trip2026-07-31 ASD 5f 64.20 Hg MT ft 2/2; 2026-07-22 ASD 4f 53.40 B MT ft 4/5 · barn: same as last | MdSpWt → Buffalo40k | STANFORD MARIA | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEASD R4 · 2026-09-30 · Dirt 1650y · Buffalo40k (maiden claiming)
- SHAPETwo-speed duel (#4 vs #9); speed/inside bias favors early but #9 draws post 9 — pace pressure high, stalkers #8 and #3 get a scenario A/B path
- CHALKFavorite#9 C JS MAYZEE · short (5-2) · best fig, top form, rising cycle, but post 9 in an inside-speed biased sprint is a shape concern
- LEANWinner call#9 C JS MAYZEE · class edge and fig edge are real; the post is the only knock
- PRIMEDnone (brief confirms zero non-chalk horses with 2+ flags)
- PRICEno price (zero non-chalk overlays per sheet)
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS — no non-chalk overlay clears; sheet rec is PASS
- KILL#9 trapped 4-5 wide from post 9 in a duel; inside horses #4 or #8 steal a clean stalking trip while chalk burns ground
- MISSINGlive tote, official scratches, weather/surface condition, rider changes post-ingest
Why
Dirt sprint at a 1650y Buffalo maiden-claiming level carries moderate-to-high volatility with a two-speed duel projecting at the front and a strong inside/early-speed bias baked into the track stats. Chalk #9 C JS MAYZEE draws the 9 post (bias kill) but carries the field's top fig (55), top form z-score, a bullet work, and a rising fig cycle — short at 5-2 yet clearly the class of this field; no non-chalk horse clears the overlay threshold. No primed non-chalk horse exists; the brief confirms zero price overlays. ``` ```
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printFull field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | C JS MAYZEE | 2.5 | 23.3% | 28.7% | +5.4% | 1.30 | EP | favoriteRising figsTop last figSame trip | — |
| 8 | SASHAS DREAM | 3.0 | 20.4% | 22.1% | +1.7% | 0.79 | P | Rising figsSame trip | — |
| 4 | BUCKDENS SPIRIT | 5.0 | 13.6% | 13.9% | +0.4% | 0.57 | E | Led lastTop last paceSame trip | — |
| 7 | DEPUTIZE | 4.0 | 16.3% | 13.9% | -2.4% | -0.17 | U | Same trip | — |
| 5 | POSHDADDY | 6.0 | 11.7% | 10.2% | -1.5% | -0.07 | U | Sharp workSame trip | — |
| 6 | A SOLE SHADED | 20.0 | 3.9% | 3.5% | -0.4% | 0.00 | U | — | |
| 1 | MECHANIC BETTY | 15.0 | 5.1% | 3.2% | -1.9% | -1.40 | U | Same trip | — |
| 3 | STRANGE CONNECTION | 25.0 | 3.1% | 2.6% | -0.6% | -0.31 | S | Rising figsLed lastSame trip | — |
| 2 | ELECTRABLAZE | 30.0 | 2.6% | 2.0% | -0.7% | -0.71 | C | Rising figsSame trip | — |