PEN R4 · 2026-10-09
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find PEN R4 · 2026-10-09 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Two-speed duel risk (#1 vs #8)
Pressure high. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#1CELTIC TIGERE
- C2#8MAGGIE KE
- C3#4REASSESSP
- C4#6NORMANDY LIFES
- C5#2DANCING CHIMES
- C6#7TRUE SUNSHINES
- C7#3LACHICAFORTEQUILAS
- C8#5SPECIAL AFFAIRC
Honest pace among #1 CELTIC TIGER and #8 MAGGIE K. Ability decides if they do not empty.
Helps #4 REASSESS, #6 NORMANDY LIFE, #2 DANCING CHIME, #7 TRUE SUNSHINE, #3 LACHICAFORTEQUILA · hurts #1 CELTIC TIGER, #8 MAGGIE K
Pressure: #1 CELTIC TIGER and #8 MAGGIE K hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.
Helps #4 REASSESS, #6 NORMANDY LIFE, #2 DANCING CHIME, #7 TRUE SUNSHINE, #3 LACHICAFORTEQUILA · hurts #1 CELTIC TIGER, #8 MAGGIE K
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#6 NORMANDY LIFE, #2 DANCING CHIME, #7 TRUE SUNSHINE, #3 LACHICAFORTEQUILA, #5 SPECIAL AFFAIR).
Helps #6 NORMANDY LIFE, #2 DANCING CHIME, #7 TRUE SUNSHINE, #3 LACHICAFORTEQUILA, #5 SPECIAL AFFAIR · hurts #1 CELTIC TIGER, #8 MAGGIE K
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | MAGGIE KFLORES E | 2.5 | E | Same trip2026-09-19 PEN 4f 53.20 B MT ft 30/31; 2026-05-02 PEN 4f 49.00 B MT ft 10/21 · barn: same as last | fClm5000n3l → Clm 5000b | BOBADILLA J F | Favorite |
| 1 | CELTIC TIGERBEATO INOEL | 4.0 | E | Rising figsLed lastTop last figSame trip2026-09-24 PEN 4f 49.60 B MT ft 4/5; 2026-04-18 PRX 5f 61.40 B MT ft 7/9 · barn: same as last | fClm4000n1y → Clm 5000b | MURILLO RICARDO A | overlay |
| 3 | LACHICAFORTEQUILARODRIGUEZ ANGEL R | 4.5 | S | —2026-07-24 PEN 4f 48.00 B MT ft 3/19; 2026-05-28 PEN 4f 46.60 B MT ft 2/10 · barn: same as last | fClm5000b → Clm 5000b | KULP BRANDON L | field |
| 5 | SPECIAL AFFAIRCORUJO WILFREDO | 4.5 | C | —2026-09-16 PEN 4f 48.60 B MT ft 5/14; 2026-06-26 PEN 4f 49.60 B MT ft 19/27 · barn: same as last | fClm5000b → Clm 5000b | FIELDS KEVIN | field |
| 6 | NORMANDY LIFECHIAPPE R | 6.0 | S | 2nd off layoffSame trip2026-09-30 PEN 4f 50.00 B MT ft 22/32; 2026-09-12 PEN 4f 50.20 B MT ft 12/17 · barn: same as last | fOC40000b → Clm 5000b | ALBRIGHT GEORGE R | field |
| 7 | TRUE SUNSHINEHERMAN NOEL | 8.0 | S | —2026-06-06 DEL 4f 49.60 B MT ft 23/58; 2026-05-20 DEL 4f 49.00 B MT ft 5/25 · barn: same as last | fClm5000n1y → Clm 5000b | BOUCHARD LESLYE | field |
| 4 | REASSESSADORNO ABNER | 10.0 | P | Class dropTop last paceSame trip2026-06-26 PRX 4f 50.00 B MT ft 40/54; 2026-06-08 PRX 4f 48.20 Bg MT ft 2/10 · barn: same as last | fAlw16000s → Clm 5000b | CROWELL SUSAN L | pace + drop |
| 2 | DANCING CHIMECORUJO LEONARDO | 12.0 | S | Trouble lastSame trip2026-06-23 PEN 4f 50.60 B MT ft 1/1; 2026-03-13 PEN 4f 51.80 B MT ft 5/6 · barn: same as last | fOC10000 → Clm 5000b | HARIGEORGIOU KONSTAN | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEPEN R4 · 2026-10-09 · Dirt 1320y · Clm 5000b
- SHAPETwo-speed duel (#1 vs #8); stalkers/closers improve in A and B
- CHALKFavorite#8 MAGGIE K · usable but short · E-style into a duel, pace-vulnerable
- LEANWinner call#1 CELTIC TIGER · rising figs (66→71), top fig in field, pace-positive, owns the shape
- PRIMEDnone (no horse reaches 2+ computed flags per brief)
- PRICE#1 CELTIC TIGER · edge 0.027 · ML 4-1 (only non-chalk overlay on the sheet)
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS — #1 is chalk-adjacent at 4-1 ML and is the LEAN; no non-chalk overlay clears the floor
- KILL#1 hooks a duel it cannot survive; #8 gets a clean lead and relaxes; pace melts for a closer
- MISSINGlive tote, official scratches post-ingest, weather/track condition, rider changes
Why
Dirt sprint claiming $5,000 at Penn, eight runners, moderate-to-high volatility given a contested pace scenario between two need-the-lead types. The map sets up as a two-speed duel (#1 CELTIC TIGER vs. #8 MAGGIE K), which cuts directly against chalk #8's E style and creates a legitimate stalker/closer scenario; #8 is usable but short and pace-vulnerable. No horse is formally primed (2+ computed flags), though #1 carries rising figs and a pace edge at a mild overlay, and #6 NORMANDY LIFE holds one computed ready flag (2nd off layoff) with a massive class drop from OC40,000 into $5,000 claiming — a steep, intriguing descent — but her last fig (48) and faded return after 188-day layoff argue she needs more time, and the brief marks no overlay. ``` ```
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printPrice / ready board
Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.
Pace + drop
Price overlays
Full field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | MAGGIE K | 2.5 | 22.5% | 24.5% | +2.0% | 0.53 | E | favoriteSame trip | — |
| 1 | CELTIC TIGER | 4.0 | 15.7% | 18.4% | +2.7% | 0.82 | E | Rising figsLed lastTop last figSame trip | — |
| 3 | LACHICAFORTEQUILA | 4.5 | 14.3% | 14.3% | -0.1% | 0.17 | S | — | |
| 5 | SPECIAL AFFAIR | 4.5 | 14.3% | 12.2% | -2.1% | -0.44 | C | — | |
| 6 | NORMANDY LIFE | 6.0 | 11.2% | 12.2% | +0.9% | 0.51 | S | 2nd off layoffSame trip | — |
| 7 | TRUE SUNSHINE | 8.0 | 8.7% | 7.4% | -1.3% | -0.45 | S | — | |
| 4 | REASSESS | 10.0 | 7.2% | 6.2% | -1.0% | -0.41 | P | Class dropTop last paceSame trip | — |
| 2 | DANCING CHIME | 12.0 | 6.1% | 4.8% | -1.2% | -0.72 | S | Trouble lastSame trip | — |