LRL R5 · 2026-09-27
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find LRL R5 · 2026-09-27 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Two-speed duel risk (#6 vs #5)
Pressure high. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#6WHACKY WITCHEP
- C2#5SILVER STRINGSEP
- C3#9ASHLEY HS
- C4#1THINK PINKS
- C5#7A P CLASSUU
- C6#4BANGKOK BLAZES
- C7#8SENSE THE MOONC
- C8#2STOIC RESERVEC
- C9#3DOES LEMONADEC
Honest pace among #6 WHACKY WITCH and #5 SILVER STRINGS. Ability decides if they do not empty.
Helps #9 ASHLEY H, #1 THINK PINK, #4 BANGKOK BLAZE · hurts #6 WHACKY WITCH, #5 SILVER STRINGS
Pressure: #6 WHACKY WITCH and #5 SILVER STRINGS hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.
Helps #9 ASHLEY H, #1 THINK PINK, #4 BANGKOK BLAZE · hurts #6 WHACKY WITCH, #5 SILVER STRINGS
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#9 ASHLEY H, #1 THINK PINK, #4 BANGKOK BLAZE, #8 SENSE THE MOON, #2 STOIC RESERVE, #3 DOES LEMONADE).
Helps #9 ASHLEY H, #1 THINK PINK, #4 BANGKOK BLAZE, #8 SENSE THE MOON, #2 STOIC RESERVE, #3 DOES LEMONADE · hurts #6 WHACKY WITCH, #5 SILVER STRINGS
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | THINK PINKHERNANDEZ JULIO A | 2.5 | S | Rising figsTrouble lastSharp workSame trip2026-09-17 FAI 4f 50.00 B MT ft 1/1; 2026-08-27 FAI 4f 49.60 B MT ft 10/13 · barn: same as last | fMd30000 → Md 25000 | MATZ MICHAEL R | Favorite |
| 5 | SILVER STRINGSSANCHEZ MYCHEL J | 2.5 | EP | MSW → MCLLed lastSame trip2026-08-23 CNL 4f 48.60 B MT ft 17/67; 2026-08-16 CNL 4f 52.40 B MT ft 49/51 · barn: same as last | frMdSpWt → Md 25000 | RUSSELL BRITTANY T | Favorite |
| 9 | ASHLEY HBARBOSA JEIRON | 3.5 | S | Rising figs2nd off layoffTop last figSame trip2026-08-29 CT 4f 49.40 B MT ft 6/19; 2026-08-15 CT 4f 49.60 B MT ft 15/30 · barn: same as last | fMd25000 → Md 25000 | FARRIOR ANTHONY | primed |
| 2 | STOIC RESERVEVARGAS JOSE E | 4.0 | C | Same trip2026-09-17 LRL 4f 49.20 B MT ft 2/9; 2026-09-10 LRL 4f 48.00 B MT ft 3/19 · barn: same as last | fMoc50000 → Md 25000 | SMITH HAMILTON A | field |
| 6 | WHACKY WITCHTOLEDO JEVIAN | 10.0 | EP | Rising figs3rd start cycleTop last paceSame trip2026-07-26 LRL 4f 49.20 B MT ft 21/87; 2026-07-12 LRL 4f 49.00 B MT ft 16/109 · barn: same as last | fMd25000 → Md 25000 | FARRIOR ANTHONY | primed |
| 8 | SENSE THE MOONKARAMANOS H A | 15.0 | C | Rising figsTrouble last2026-08-30 CNL 4f 49.20 Bg MT ft 21/39; 2026-08-07 LRL 4f 50.00 B MT ft 10/20 · barn: same as last | fMoc50000 → Md 25000 | ALLEN A FERRIS III | primed |
| 7 | A P CLASSKINGSLEY TAYLOR | 20.0 | U | Sharp work2026-09-19 BON 5f 62.00 B MT ft 1/1; 2026-08-27 BON 8f 104.00 B MT ft 1/1 · barn: BONIFACE KEVIN C (no last-line barn) | — → Md 25000 | BONIFACE KEVIN C | field |
| 4 | BANGKOK BLAZEBRICENO JEAN GREGOR | 30.0 | S | Same trip2026-09-20 LRL 4f 49.00 B MT ft 16/84; 2026-06-21 LRL 4f 49.00 B MT ft 14/91 · barn: same as last | fMd25000 → Md 25000 | CORRALES JOSE | field |
| 3 | DOES LEMONADEBRICENO LEANDRO M | 30.0 | C | Rising figsTrouble lastSame trip2026-08-23 LRL 4f 50.20 B MT gd 36/43; 2026-08-14 LRL 5f 62.40 B MT ft 3/3 · barn: same as last | fMd12500 → Md 25000 | MALDONADO JONATHAN | primed |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACELRL R5 · 2026-09-27 · Dirt 1540y · Md 25000
- SHAPETwo-speed duel (#6 vs #5) sets a hot pace; stalkers and mid-packers inherit
- CHALKFavorite#1 THINK PINK / #5 SILVER STRINGS (co-2.5) · short · automatic pass at price
- LEANWinner call#9 ASHLEY H · top fig, pace path A and B, second off layoff cycle
- PRIMED#9 ASHLEY H · #6 WHACKY WITCH · #8 SENSE THE MOON · #3 DOES LEMONADE
- PRICE#9 ASHLEY H (only model overlay, edge 0.023, ML 3.5)
- PLAYPrice ticket#9 ASHLEY H · min 3-1 · WIN
- KILLSpeed duel fails to materialize (lone speed clears, closer never fires); #9's trouble-at-start pattern repeats from last out; live tote collapses her below 3-1
- MISSINGLive tote, official scratches, weather/track variant, rider changes
Why
Dirt sprint maiden claimer at Laurel, nine-horse field, moderate-to-high volatility given the claiming-maiden noise and a first-time starter in the mix. Two EP types (#6 WHACKY WITCH, #5 SILVER STRINGS) project a genuine pace duel, which sets up the stalkers; both co-chalks (#1 THINK PINK and #5 SILVER STRINGS at 2.5) are at automatic pass prices. #9 ASHLEY H is the one primed non-chalk with a path: second off a layoff, last fig 61 is the top in this field, stalker style drops right into the A/B scenario that punishes the dueling speed, and the model prints a genuine overlay at 3.5 ML. ``` ```
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
PLAY is a look. Stamp the board so after official we can grade an action, not a morning-line wish.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printPrice / ready board
Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.
Price overlays
Ready, not overlaid
Full field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | THINK PINK | 2.5 | 22.7% | 23.9% | +1.2% | 0.46 | S | favoriteRising figsTrouble lastSharp workSame trip | — |
| 5 | SILVER STRINGS | 2.5 | 22.7% | 21.8% | -0.9% | 0.09 | EP | favoriteMSW → MCLLed lastSame trip | — |
| 9 | ASHLEY H | 3.5 | 17.6% | 19.9% | +2.3% | 0.73 | S | Rising figs2nd off layoffTop last figSame trip | — |
| 2 | STOIC RESERVE | 4.0 | 15.9% | 14.8% | -1.1% | -0.05 | C | Same trip | — |
| 6 | WHACKY WITCH | 10.0 | 7.2% | 7.6% | +0.4% | 0.46 | EP | Rising figs3rd start cycleTop last paceSame trip | — |
| 8 | SENSE THE MOON | 15.0 | 5.0% | 4.3% | -0.7% | -0.37 | C | Rising figsTrouble last | — |
| 7 | A P CLASS | 20.0 | 3.8% | 3.6% | -0.2% | -0.00 | U | Sharp work | — |
| 4 | BANGKOK BLAZE | 30.0 | 2.6% | 2.4% | -0.2% | -0.10 | S | Same trip | — |
| 3 | DOES LEMONADE | 30.0 | 2.6% | 1.8% | -0.8% | -1.22 | C | Rising figsTrouble lastSame trip | — |