MNR R3 · 2026-09-29
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find MNR R3 · 2026-09-29 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Wall of early / pressers (#1 #3 #7 #4 #10)
Pressure extreme. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#1LITTLE BIT OF THATE
- C2#3WATERWORKSEP
- C3#7DEL REY DOLLYEP
- C4#4GO GO STAREP
- C5#10SLANDEROUSEP
- C6#5ROCK STAR PARKINGP
- C7#8LOADED ONCE MOREP
- C8#9MACIS WORLDS
- C9#2MEAN TO MES
- C10#6GOLDEN CHARMC
Honest pace among #1 LITTLE BIT OF THAT and #3 WATERWORKS and #7 DEL REY DOLLY and #4 GO GO STAR and #10 SLANDEROUS. Ability decides if they do not empty.
Helps #5 ROCK STAR PARKING, #8 LOADED ONCE MORE, #9 MACIS WORLD, #2 MEAN TO ME · hurts #1 LITTLE BIT OF THAT, #3 WATERWORKS, #7 DEL REY DOLLY, #4 GO GO STAR, #10 SLANDEROUS
Pressure: #1 LITTLE BIT OF THAT and #3 WATERWORKS and #7 DEL REY DOLLY and #4 GO GO STAR and #10 SLANDEROUS hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.
Helps #5 ROCK STAR PARKING, #8 LOADED ONCE MORE, #9 MACIS WORLD, #2 MEAN TO ME · hurts #1 LITTLE BIT OF THAT, #3 WATERWORKS, #7 DEL REY DOLLY, #4 GO GO STAR, #10 SLANDEROUS
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#9 MACIS WORLD, #2 MEAN TO ME, #6 GOLDEN CHARM).
Helps #9 MACIS WORLD, #2 MEAN TO ME, #6 GOLDEN CHARM · hurts #1 LITTLE BIT OF THAT, #3 WATERWORKS, #7 DEL REY DOLLY, #4 GO GO STAR, #10 SLANDEROUS
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | LOADED ONCE MORELEON JOSE A | 2.0 | P | Barn changeSame trip2025-11-24 MVR 4f 48.60 B MT ft 6/20; 2025-11-13 MVR 4f 50.60 B MT my 12/21 · barn: change vs BERNARDINI JAY P | fClm7500c → Clm 7500 | SILVA JUAN PABLO | Favorite |
| 5 | ROCK STAR PARKINGGARCIA F | 4.0 | P | Same trip2026-04-08 MNR 3f 36.40 B MT ft bullet 1/24; 2026-03-07 MVR 4f 50.40 B MT my 6/17 · barn: same as last | fClm7500 → Clm 7500 | SILVA JUAN PABLO | field |
| 3 | WATERWORKSARROYO N JR | 7.0 | EP | Led lastTop last figSame trip2026-09-20 MNR 4f 50.00 B MT ft 5/9; 2026-04-15 MNR 4f 51.00 B MT ft 13/14 · barn: same as last | fROC 20-40 → Clm 7500 | CUTTINO MARION L | overlay |
| 10 | SLANDEROUSTAPARA BRANDON | 5.0 | EP | Class dropSame trip2026-04-24 CT 3f 40.80 B MT ft 14/14; 2026-03-14 CT 4f 46.20 B MT ft bullet 1/30 · barn: same as last | fAlw19200n1x → Clm 7500 | BERNARDINI JAY P | field |
| 9 | MACIS WORLDYARANGA Y | 8.0 | S | Rising figsClass dropSame trip2026-07-29 MNR 4f 51.20 B MT ft 23/27; 2026-03-24 MNR 4f 51.00 B MT fz 2/4 · barn: same as last | fAlw4000s → Clm 7500 | SHAFER GABE | primed |
| 7 | DEL REY DOLLYBRACHO AUGUSTIN | 10.0 | EP | 3rd start cycleClass dropSame trip2026-03-25 MNR 3f 36.60 B MT ft 2/22; 2025-04-25 CT 4f 49.40 B MT ft 5/29 · barn: same as last | fAlw4000s → Clm 7500 | EWELL DEVAN SR | primed |
| 1 | LITTLE BIT OF THATBATISTA LUIS ALBERTO | 12.0 | E | Same trip2026-07-27 MNR 4f 51.20 B MT ft 2/3; 2026-06-24 MNR 3f 38.20 B MT ft 2/3 · barn: same as last | fClm7500b → Clm 7500 | KNUDSEN KENT | field |
| 4 | GO GO STARWEATHERLY BAILEY | 15.0 | EP | Led lastSame trip2026-09-15 MNR 3f 36.40 B MT ft 2/6; 2026-01-04 TAM 4f 48.80 B MT gd 2/16 · barn: same as last | fClm4000n3x → Clm 7500 | MURPHY SCOTT | field |
| 2 | MEAN TO MEGILBERT KYLE | 15.0 | S | Rising figsSame trip2025-12-29 GP 3f 37.60 B MT ft 1/3; 2025-12-03 GP 4f 49.40 B MT ft 8/12 · barn: same as last | fOC10000 → Clm 7500 | MURPHY SCOTT | field |
| 6 | GOLDEN CHARMGONZALEZ KEVIN | 20.0 | C | Hidden paceClass dropSame trip2025-11-21 LRL 4f 51.00 B MT gd 31/44; 2025-10-01 LRL 4f 49.00 B MT ft 11/18 · barn: same as last | fAlw4000s → Clm 7500 | EWELL DEVAN SR | primed |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEMNR R3 · 2026-09-29 · D 1210y · Clm 7500
- SHAPEWall of pressers sets up a pace meltdown; stalkers and the lone closer inherit if fractions honest or collapse
- CHALKFavorite#8 LOADED ONCE MORE · usable but short / mildly opposable — declining figs, post 8 in a 0%-wins-post-8+ bias, pressing style into a duel it may not survive
- LEANWinner call#9 MACIS WORLD · rising figs, class drop, stalker path in A and B
- PRIMED#9 MACIS WORLD (rising_figs, class_drop, same_trip); #7 DEL REY DOLLY (third_start_cycle, class_drop — pace path damaged by post 7 and EP style into the duel); #6 GOLDEN CHARM (hidden_pace LP 85, class_drop — C-only path, B/C only)
- PRICE#3 WATERWORKS edge 0.029 (only model overlay on the sheet, not chalk)
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS — #9 MACIS WORLD is the LEAN but is not a model overlay (edge 0.008, overlay=false); #3 WATERWORKS is the only overlay but is EP style going into a five-horse speed duel from post 3, C-path risk high, and the "led last / set pace; weakened" pattern last out raises bounce concern; no non-chalk horse clears the price + path + ready threshold together
- KILLPace fails to materialize (lone speed clears), bias holds hard and early speed survives the duel, or #8 rate-controls from post 8 and gets a soft lead
- MISSINGLive tote, official scratches, weather/track condition update, rider changes
Why
Dirt sprint, Clm 7500, 10-horse field at MNR — moderate-to-high volatility given a wall of early/pressing speed and a meaningful bias toward early speed and inside posts. The pace map is extreme pressure with five horses projected first call or close (#1, #3, #4, #7, #10), making scenarios A and B both favor the tactical stalker/closer side; chalk #8 LOADED ONCE MORE presses from post 8 into a speed bias that hates that post (0% wins from posts 8+), and its figs are drifting down (75→73→70), making it usable but short and mildly opposable on pace mismatch and post. #9 MACIS WORLD is the primed non-chalk: rising figs (61→68), class drop from ALW into Clm 7500, stalker style with a path in A and B as the pace combusts, and posts 9 carries the bias penalty but the shape compensates.
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printPrice / ready board
Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.
Price overlays
Ready, not overlaid
Full field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | LOADED ONCE MORE | 2.0 | 26.1% | 25.8% | -0.3% | 0.04 | P | favoriteBarn changeSame trip | — |
| 5 | ROCK STAR PARKING | 4.0 | 15.7% | 14.2% | -1.4% | -0.30 | P | Same trip | — |
| 3 | WATERWORKS | 7.0 | 9.8% | 12.7% | +2.9% | 1.13 | EP | Led lastTop last figSame trip | — |
| 10 | SLANDEROUS | 5.0 | 13.1% | 11.6% | -1.5% | -0.39 | EP | Class dropSame trip | — |
| 9 | MACIS WORLD | 8.0 | 8.7% | 9.5% | +0.8% | 0.45 | S | Rising figsClass dropSame trip | — |
| 7 | DEL REY DOLLY | 10.0 | 7.1% | 8.1% | +1.0% | 0.59 | EP | 3rd start cycleClass dropSame trip | — |
| 1 | LITTLE BIT OF THAT | 12.0 | 6.0% | 6.0% | -0.0% | 0.08 | E | Same trip | — |
| 4 | GO GO STAR | 15.0 | 4.9% | 4.8% | -0.1% | 0.01 | EP | Led lastSame trip | — |
| 2 | MEAN TO ME | 15.0 | 4.9% | 4.7% | -0.2% | -0.10 | S | Rising figsSame trip | — |
| 6 | GOLDEN CHARM | 20.0 | 3.7% | 2.5% | -1.2% | -1.51 | C | Hidden paceClass dropSame trip | — |