KEE R5 · 2026-10-09

PASST1760y1 readyPLAY passRace Simulator →MC Exotics →Expert handicap ↓Results →After the races

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Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find KEE R5 · 2026-10-09 on their board.

Expert handicap

LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.

Pace map

No dedicated early — closers need collapse

Pressure moderate. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.

C1#11OSCAR CHEERUU
C2#8ROGUE METEORUU
C3#2ARSENAL STARUU
C4#6MO WAYUU
C5#5COL FRANK SLADEUU
C6#1LUCKYLOUNUU
C7#10GANDY DANCERUU
C8#15CENTER FIELDERUU
C9#9LAGOSUU
C10#3INDIGO MOP
C11#13MAHOGANY DREAMC
C12#7UNCLE ANTHONYUU
C13#4CASTLE PINESC
C14#12APOTHEONS
C15#14EIGHT HUNDREDC

A · Likely — expected flow

No dedicated early. Crawl likely. One-run closers may never get a target.

Helps #3 INDIGO MO, #12 APOTHEON · hurts —

B · Pressure — duel / honest

A surprise early type appears. The crawl map is wrong.

Helps #3 INDIGO MO, #12 APOTHEON · hurts —

C · Chaos — collapse

Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#13 MAHOGANY DREAM, #4 CASTLE PINES, #12 APOTHEON, #14 EIGHT HUNDRED).

Helps #13 MAHOGANY DREAM, #4 CASTLE PINES, #12 APOTHEON, #14 EIGHT HUNDRED · hurts —

Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.

#	Horse	ML	Style	Ready	Class	Barn	Role
8	ROGUE METEORGUTIERREZ MARIO	3.5	U	—2026-10-03 KEE 4f 47.80 B MT ft 6/60; 2026-09-26 ELP 5f 62.80 B MT ft 12/14 · barn: same as last	MdSpWt → Md Sp Wt	LYNCH BRIAN A	Favorite
11	OSCAR CHEERORTIZ JOSE L	4.5	U	Top last pace2026-10-01 CD 4f 50.40 B MT ft 33/44; 2026-09-24 CD 4f 49.20 B MT ft 22/33 · barn: same as last	MdSpWt → Md Sp Wt	CASSE MARK	field
4	CASTLE PINESMORALES EDGAR	6.0	C	Rising figs3rd start cycleSharp work2026-10-04 CD 3f 35.80 B MT ft bullet 1/31; 2026-09-27 CD 4f 49.00 B MT ft 51/104 · barn: same as last	MdSpWt → Md Sp Wt	SWEEZEY J KENT	primed
2	ARSENAL STARORTIZ IRAD JR	6.0	U	—2026-09-26 KEE 5f 62.60 B MT ft 14/15; 2026-09-19 KEE 4f 49.40 B MT ft 38/59 · barn: same as last	MdSpWt → Md Sp Wt	WARD WESLEY A	field
7	UNCLE ANTHONYSAEZ LUIS	6.0	U	Trouble lastSame trip2026-10-03 CD 3f 36.80 B MT my 5/14; 2026-09-26 CD 4f 48.20 B MT ft 28/155 · barn: same as last	MdSpWt → Md Sp Wt	ARNOLD GEORGE R II	field
13	MAHOGANY DREAMLOVEBERRY JARETH	10.0	C	Rising figsTop last fig2026-10-03 ELP 4f 50.20 B MT gd 5/5; 2026-09-24 ELP 4f 47.60 B MT ft bullet 1/12 · barn: same as last	MdSpWt → Md Sp Wt	GOODWIN NIK G	field
6	MO WAYGAFFALIONE TYLER	8.0	U	—2026-09-30 TP 4f 49.60 B MT ft 21/42; 2026-09-23 TP 5f 62.60 B MT ft 13/21 · barn: WALSH BRENDAN P (no last-line barn)	— → Md Sp Wt	WALSH BRENDAN P	field
5	COL FRANK SLADEVELAZQUEZ J R	12.0	U	—2026-10-03 CD 5f 60.00 B MT gd 5/30; 2026-09-25 CD 5f 59.60 Bg MT ft 4/14 · barn: MOTT RILEY (no last-line barn)	— → Md Sp Wt	MOTT RILEY	field
1	LUCKYLOUNTORRES CRISTIAN A	15.0	U	—2026-10-04 KEE 4f 48.80 Bg MT ft 28/70; 2026-09-26 KEE 5f 61.60 B MT ft 8/15 · barn: BRISSET RODOLPHE (no last-line barn)	— → Md Sp Wt	BRISSET RODOLPHE	field
12	APOTHEONALVARADO JUNIOR	15.0	S	—2026-10-05 CD 4f 48.40 B MT ft 7/20; 2026-09-20 CD 4f 51.60 B MT ft 96/100 · barn: same as last	MdSpWt → Md Sp Wt	MOTT WILLIAM I	field
3	INDIGO MOCANNON DECLAN	15.0	P	Same trip2026-10-02 KEE 4f 47.80 B MT ft 9/85; 2026-09-18 CNL 4f 47.80 B MT ft 2/16 · barn: same as last	MdSpWt → Md Sp Wt	CAMPBELL MICHAEL	field
14	EIGHT HUNDREDNICHOLLS MIA	20.0	C	Rising figs2026-10-03 TTC 4f 51.60 B MT ft 12/20; 2026-09-19 TTC 5f 61.00 B MT ft 3/14 · barn: same as last	MdSpWt → Md Sp Wt	HAMILTON JAYDEN	field
10	GANDY DANCERBESCHIZZA ADAM	30.0	U	—2026-10-02 TTC 4f 50.80 B MT ft 22/38; 2026-09-22 TTC 3f 36.00 Bg MT ft bullet 1/6 · barn: WOJCZYNSKI JUSTIN (no last-line barn)	— → Md Sp Wt	WOJCZYNSKI JUSTIN	field
15	CENTER FIELDERMEEKS MICAH	30.0	U	—2026-10-06 TTC 4f 50.40 Bg MT ft 14/17; 2026-09-19 DTT 4f 49.20 Bg MT gd bullet 1/5 · barn: SALVADOR DEIVYS (no last-line barn)	— → Md Sp Wt	SALVADOR DEIVYS	field
9	LAGOSSHEEHY DANNY	20.0	U	Led last2026-10-03 TP 5f 60.80 B MT ft 8/37; 2026-09-26 TP 5f 61.80 B MT ft 10/20 · barn: same as last	Moc50000 → Md Sp Wt	MAKER MICHAEL J	field

From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.

PLAY passPass — no tote needed

RACEKEE R5 · 2026-10-09 · Turf 1760y · Md Sp Wt · $110,000 · field 15
SHAPENo dedicated early; crawl likely; stalkers/pressers favored; moderate-to-high volatility (debut-heavy field)
CHALKFavorite#8 ROGUE METEOR · usable but short · solid signal/zSpeed, sprint-to-route key is positive, but negative ROI on turf categories and no ready flags; fair LEAN, not a price play
LEANWinner call#8 ROGUE METEOR · best overall signal in a field full of unknowns
PRIMED#4 CASTLE PINES [rising_figs 62→72, third_start_cycle, bullet work CD 1/31] — two computed flags; note barn route key is poor; C-scenario path only
PRICENo non-chalk overlays (sheet rec: PASS)
PLAYPrice ticketPASS — no qualifying price horse; only overlay is the favorite
KILLOff-turf switch eliminates the entire shape read; a debut type (MO WAY/Walsh, COL FRANK SLADE/Mott Riley) shows unexpected pace and collapses the crawl map; CASTLE PINES route barn key (-1.48 ROI) is a persistent negative
MISSINGLive tote, official scratches, going condition (firm vs soft changes late-kick weight), rider intent on 7 debut runners

Why

Turf route maiden special weight at Keeneland, 15-runner field, crawl-likely pace map with no dedicated early type — a volatile, shape-ambiguous spot where trip and late energy matter most.

The shape projects a slow pace that could compress the field and reward a presser or stalker with a tactical trip; chalk #8 ROGUE METEOR (3.5 ML) is **usable but short** — solid signal and a positive sprint-to-route class key, but no overlay flag and a negative turf ROI across the stat categories, so it is a lean, not a ticket.

#4 CASTLE PINES (ML 6) is primed with rising figs (62→72), third start of the cycle, and a bullet work (CD 3f bullet 1/31 on 10/4), and its closer style has a path in Scenario C if fractions quicken — but the barn's route key (6.5% w, ROI -1.48) and the crawl-favoring Scenario A are headwinds; note there are **no non-chalk price overlays** on the sheet.

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Tote field

Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.

Practice ticket

Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.

Price / ready board

Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.

Ready, not overlaid

#4 CASTLE PINESML 6.0Rising figs3rd start cycleSharp work

Full field

#	Horse	ML	Mkt%	Model%	Edge	Signal	Style	Sheet	Result
8	ROGUE METEOR	3.5	15.2%	16.8%	+1.6%	0.63	U	favorite	—
11	OSCAR CHEER	4.5	12.5%	14.2%	+1.8%	0.75	U	Top last pace	—
4	CASTLE PINES	6.0	9.8%	10.6%	+0.8%	0.54	C	Rising figs3rd start cycleSharp work	—
2	ARSENAL STAR	6.0	9.8%	9.4%	-0.4%	0.06	U		—
7	UNCLE ANTHONY	6.0	9.8%	9.0%	-0.8%	-0.10	U	Trouble lastSame trip	—
13	MAHOGANY DREAM	10.0	6.2%	7.3%	+1.1%	0.86	C	Rising figsTop last fig	—
6	MO WAY	8.0	7.6%	7.2%	-0.4%	-0.00	U		—
5	COL FRANK SLADE	12.0	5.3%	5.0%	-0.3%	-0.00	U		—
1	LUCKYLOUN	15.0	4.3%	4.1%	-0.2%	-0.00	U		—
12	APOTHEON	15.0	4.3%	3.6%	-0.7%	-0.48	S		—
3	INDIGO MO	15.0	4.3%	3.5%	-0.8%	-0.60	P	Same trip	—
14	EIGHT HUNDRED	20.0	3.3%	3.0%	-0.2%	-0.09	C	Rising figs	—
10	GANDY DANCER	30.0	2.2%	2.1%	-0.1%	-0.00	U		—
15	CENTER FIELDER	30.0	2.2%	2.1%	-0.1%	-0.00	U		—
9	LAGOS	20.0	3.3%	2.1%	-1.2%	-1.56	U	Led last	—