closebeat
Start free
← RaceDay

CT R7 · 2026-10-10

WATCHD990y1 price overlay(s)4 readyPLAY lookRace Simulator →MC Exotics →Expert handicap ↓Results →After the races
Bet now

Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find CT R7 · 2026-10-10 on their board.

Expert handicap

LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.

Sign in to run

Pace map

Wall of early / pressers (#8 #9 #5 #7 #4 #10)

Pressure extreme. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.

  1. C1#8MAGGIES GIRLE
  2. C2#9COAL COUNTRYEP
  3. C3#5CAPPUCCINO CRUNCHE
  4. C4#7GOLDEN CIRCLESEP
  5. C5#4THELASTSAYEP
  6. C6#10NAVY BANDEP
  7. C7#3PARTY TIME FOR MES
  8. C8#6CANDY TRICKSS
  9. C9#1HERES A QUARTERS
  10. C10#2DIXIE YODELERC
A · Likely — expected flow

Honest pace among #8 MAGGIES GIRL and #9 COAL COUNTRY and #5 CAPPUCCINO CRUNCH and #7 GOLDEN CIRCLES and #4 THELASTSAY and #10 NAVY BAND. Ability decides if they do not empty.

Helps #3 PARTY TIME FOR ME, #6 CANDY TRICKS, #1 HERES A QUARTER · hurts #8 MAGGIES GIRL, #9 COAL COUNTRY, #5 CAPPUCCINO CRUNCH, #7 GOLDEN CIRCLES, #4 THELASTSAY, #10 NAVY BAND

B · Pressure — duel / honest

Pressure: #8 MAGGIES GIRL and #9 COAL COUNTRY and #5 CAPPUCCINO CRUNCH and #7 GOLDEN CIRCLES and #4 THELASTSAY and #10 NAVY BAND hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.

Helps #3 PARTY TIME FOR ME, #6 CANDY TRICKS, #1 HERES A QUARTER · hurts #8 MAGGIES GIRL, #9 COAL COUNTRY, #5 CAPPUCCINO CRUNCH, #7 GOLDEN CIRCLES, #4 THELASTSAY, #10 NAVY BAND

C · Chaos — collapse

Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#3 PARTY TIME FOR ME, #6 CANDY TRICKS, #1 HERES A QUARTER, #2 DIXIE YODELER).

Helps #3 PARTY TIME FOR ME, #6 CANDY TRICKS, #1 HERES A QUARTER, #2 DIXIE YODELER · hurts #8 MAGGIES GIRL, #9 COAL COUNTRY, #5 CAPPUCCINO CRUNCH, #7 GOLDEN CIRCLES, #4 THELASTSAY, #10 NAVY BAND

Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.

#HorseMLStyleReadyClassBarnRole
4THELASTSAYSANTAELLA MOISES1.4EPSame trip2026-02-20 ELL 4f 50.20 B MT ft 3/10; 2026-01-09 ELL 4f 51.80 B MT ft 5/8 · barn: same as lastfsAutumn50k → 1STBtBrCls75kBROWN RONNEY WFavorite
8MAGGIES GIRLREYNOLDS L C3.0ERising figs2nd off layoffLed lastSharp workTop last paceSame trip2026-10-02 CT 3f 35.40 B MT ft bullet 1/17; 2026-09-21 CT 4f 48.00 B MT ft 1/2 · barn: same as lastfsAutumn50k → 1STBtBrCls75kGRAMS TIMOTHY Cprimed
10NAVY BANDBOCACHICA ARNALDO6.0EPRising figs3rd start cycleSame trip2026-08-12 CT 3f 37.40 B MT ft 7/10; 2026-07-23 CT 3f 36.20 B MT ft 3/7 · barn: same as lastfAlw34100n2x → 1STBtBrCls75kRUNCO JEFF Cprimed
3PARTY TIME FOR MELOPEZ CARLOS EDUARDO8.0SRising figsSame trip2024-11-27 HTF 4f 50.00 Bg MT ft 4/6; 2024-10-26 HTF 4f 50.40 B MT ft 2/4 · barn: same as lastfsAutumn50k → 1STBtBrCls75kGRIGSBY ANTHONYfield
5CAPPUCCINO CRUNCHHO WESLEY12.0ERising figsSame trip2026-09-19 CT 4f 48.80 B MT ft bullet 1/19; 2026-09-05 CT 4f 48.20 Bg MT ft 6/27 · barn: same as lastfsAlw35300n3l → 1STBtBrCls75kCONTRERAS JAVIERfield
7GOLDEN CIRCLESHIRALDO CHRISTIAN15.0EP3rd start cycleSame trip2026-09-29 CT 4f 51.80 B MT ft 6/7; 2026-07-14 CT 4f 49.40 B MT ft 3/5 · barn: same as lastfsAutumn50k → 1STBtBrCls75kBOGGS JOANNAfield
9COAL COUNTRYDIAZ SUNDAY JR15.0EPSame trip2026-02-19 CT 4f 52.80 Bg MT wf 25/26; 2026-02-14 CT 4f 50.20 B MT ft 17/28 · barn: same as lastfOC10000 → 1STBtBrCls75kSHANLEY TYLER Sfield
6CANDY TRICKSACOSTA J D15.0SRising figs2nd off layoffSame trip2026-08-25 CT 3f 36.20 B MT ft 4/10; 2026-07-21 CT 3f 37.20 B MT ft 5/15 · barn: same as lastfAlw34100n2x → 1STBtBrCls75kSIGLER RONALD Gprimed
1HERES A QUARTERDAVIS JACQUELINE A20.0SSame trip2026-01-17 CT 4f 48.20 Bg MT ft 4/32; 2026-01-09 CT 3f 36.80 B MT ft 3/22 · barn: same as lastfOC10000 → 1STBtBrCls75kATKINS MICHAEL Gfield
2DIXIE YODELERBOCACHICA ABNEL J20.0CRising figs3rd start cycleSame trip2025-08-27 CT 4f 54.80 B MT ft 10/10; 2025-08-16 CT 3f 37.60 B MT ft 8/20 · barn: same as lastfAlw34100n1x → 1STBtBrCls75kDAVIS RUSSELL E IIIprimed

From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.

PLAY lookLook — stamp tote to make this an action grade
  1. RACECT R7 · 2026-10-10 · Dirt 990y · 1ST Black-Type (75k)
  2. SHAPEWall of speed (6 E/EP types) · extreme pressure · inside-rail bias favors posts 1-3; outer speed posts handicapped · stalkers/closers inherit in B/C
  3. CHALKFavorite#4 THELASTSAY · solid but short (1.4 ML) · best figs, post 4, clean pace path — rightful winner, automatic pass at near-even
  4. LEANWinner call#4 THELASTSAY · most likely winner
  5. PRIMED#8 MAGGIES GIRL (rising figs, 2nd off layoff, top E1, bullet work, same trip); #10 NAVY BAND (rising figs, 3rd start cycle — figs 66→74→78, but post 10 and class jump limit confidence); #6 CANDY TRICKS (rising figs, 2nd off layoff — but low signal, negative zPace, no overlay)
  6. PRICE#8 MAGGIES GIRL edge 0.022 · ML 3 · minimum acceptable 3-1
  7. PLAYPrice ticket#8 MAGGIES GIRL · win · floor 3-1 (pass if board goes below)
  8. KILLChalk breaks clean and clears early — MAGGIES GIRL's duel history becomes irrelevant if she's pressed from post 8 into kickback and the rest of the speed collapses around her rather than in front; post 10 NAVY BAND or another presser hooks her before the turn
  9. MISSINGLive tote, official scratches, weather, rider changes after ingest

Why

CT R7 is a 990y dirt sprint for first-time black-type winners at the $75k level — a wall of early pace into an inside-rail bias creates extreme pressure volatility.

Six speed/presser types (#8, #9, #5, #7, #4, #10) project to an honest-to-meltdown pace, and the inside rail bias plus 57.9% posts 1-3 win rate do nothing to help the speed-loaded outer posts; chalk #4 THELASTSAY (1.4 ML) owns the best figs (82-84 range) and a clean pace path from post 4, but is an automatic pass at near even-money despite being the rightful LEAN.

#8 MAGGIES GIRL is the one primed price horse with a credible path: rising figs (78→80→82), 2nd off a 139-day layoff, top E1 in the field at 96, a bullet work 8 days out, and she already dueled at this exact trip and distance in the Autumn 50k — if the pace duel softens the other speed, her gate-to-wire profile from post 8 means she either clears or hangs right with the winner.

```
```

Tote field

Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.

PLAY is a look. Stamp the board so after official we can grade an action, not a morning-line wish.

Sign in to stamp the board

Practice ticket

Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.

Sign in to stamp a board print

Price / ready board

Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.

Price overlays

#8 MAGGIES GIRL+2.2%ML 3.0Rising figs2nd off layoffLed lastSharp workTop last paceSame trip
Sign in to bet

Ready, not overlaid

#10 NAVY BANDML 6.0Rising figs3rd start cycleSame trip
#6 CANDY TRICKSML 15.0Rising figs2nd off layoffSame trip
#2 DIXIE YODELERML 20.0Rising figs3rd start cycleSame trip

Full field

#HorseML Mkt% Model% Edge Signal StyleSheet Result
4THELASTSAY1.432.5%36.3%+3.8%0.92EPfavoriteSame trip—
8MAGGIES GIRL3.019.5%21.7%+2.2%0.90ERising figs2nd off layoffLed lastSharp workTop last paceSame trip—
10NAVY BAND6.011.2%10.9%-0.3%0.38EPRising figs3rd start cycleSame trip—
3PARTY TIME FOR ME8.08.7%8.5%-0.2%0.39SRising figsSame trip—
5CAPPUCCINO CRUNCH12.06.0%4.8%-1.2%-0.43ERising figsSame trip—
7GOLDEN CIRCLES15.04.9%4.3%-0.6%-0.06EP3rd start cycleSame trip—
9COAL COUNTRY15.04.9%4.3%-0.6%-0.08EPSame trip—
6CANDY TRICKS15.04.9%3.7%-1.2%-0.63SRising figs2nd off layoffSame trip—
1HERES A QUARTER20.03.7%2.8%-0.9%-0.67SSame trip—
2DIXIE YODELER20.03.7%2.8%-1.0%-0.71CRising figs3rd start cycleSame trip—