PID R1 · 2026-09-29
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find PID R1 · 2026-09-29 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Lone speed #5 PANCHO SLIPS AWAY
Pressure moderate. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#5PANCHO SLIPS AWAYE
- C2#3RANSOM MONEYP
- C3#1VALID SENSES
- C4#2BET ON BRETS
- C5#4YOUREAWIZARD HARRYC
#5 PANCHO SLIPS AWAY controls. Closers need a melt that does not come.
Helps #5 PANCHO SLIPS AWAY · hurts #1 VALID SENSE, #2 BET ON BRET, #4 YOUREAWIZARD HARRY
Someone presses #5 PANCHO SLIPS AWAY. Soft-lead thesis dies.
Helps #3 RANSOM MONEY, #1 VALID SENSE, #2 BET ON BRET · hurts #5 PANCHO SLIPS AWAY
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#1 VALID SENSE, #2 BET ON BRET, #4 YOUREAWIZARD HARRY).
Helps #1 VALID SENSE, #2 BET ON BRET, #4 YOUREAWIZARD HARRY · hurts #5 PANCHO SLIPS AWAY
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | YOUREAWIZARD HARRYKINGSLEY TAYLOR | 2.5 | C | Rising figsClass dropTop last fig2026-09-10 PID 3f 35.20 B MT ft 3/13; 2026-08-06 PID 3f 36.20 B MT ft bullet 1/4 · barn: same as last | sAlw32920n1x → Clm 6250b | RICE KEVIN | Favorite |
| 5 | PANCHO SLIPS AWAYMARTINEZ GADDIEL A | 3.0 | E | Rising figsTag dropLed lastSharp workTop last paceSame trip2026-09-20 PID 4f 50.80 B MT ft 1/3; 2026-09-11 PID 4f 49.80 B MT ft 18/20 · barn: same as last | Clm12500b → Clm 6250b | RICE KEVIN | field |
| 1 | VALID SENSEGALLARDO ANTONIO A | 4.0 | S | Rising figs3rd start cycleSame trip2026-08-10 BTP 3f 39.80 B MT ft 1/1; 2026-07-18 BTP 4f 50.00 B MT ft 10/14 · barn: same as last | Clm6250b → Clm 6250b | ANDRADE PABLO | primed |
| 3 | RANSOM MONEYDELGADO DAVID | 3.5 | P | Rising figsLed lastSame trip2026-08-18 PID 4f 49.00 B MT ft 11/21; 2026-05-13 PID 4f 50.80 B MT gd 8/10 · barn: same as last | Clm6250b → Clm 6250b | SCHABER DEBBIE | field |
| 2 | BET ON BRETMONTANEZ ROSARIO | 7.0 | S | Rising figsSame trip2026-05-21 PID 4f 49.80 B MT ft 23/29; 2026-05-12 PID 4f 52.00 B MT ft 30/30 · barn: same as last | Clm6250b → Clm 6250b | PAPPADA MICHAEL C | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEPID R1 · 2026-09-29 · Dirt 1430y Clm 6250b
- SHAPELone speed #5, rail/speed bias favors early; chalk is a closer needing a duel that may not materialize
- CHALKFavorite#4 YOUREAWIZARD HARRY · short (2.5) · opposable — style C with no pace path in Scenario A; only lives in a meltdown
- LEANWinner call#5 PANCHO SLIPS AWAY · lone speed, class drop, inside-out pace map sets him up cleanest
- PRIMED#1 VALID SENSE (rising figs, 3rd start cycle, inside post vs rail bias) — path exists only in B/C
- PRICEnone — no non-chalk overlays; all horses either chalk or negative edge
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS
- KILL#3 RANSOM MONEY presses hard and hooks #5 into a duel, collapsing both and handing it to the closers
- MISSINGlive tote, official scratches, weather/track condition at post time, rider changes
Why
Dirt sprint at PID, cheap claiming ($6,250) with a five-horse field — moderate volatility given the small, evenly-matched group. Lone speed #5 PANCHO SLIPS AWAY owns the map in Scenario A, but chalk is #4 YOUREAWIZARD HARRY (ML 2.5), a closer whose best path is a collapse that may not come. Primed #1 VALID SENSE (rising figs 63→70, third start of cycle, inside post 1 matching the rail bias) has a stalking path in Scenario B and a legitimate shot if any pressure develops on the leader, but carries no model overlay and the sheet rec is PASS.
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printPrice / ready board
Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.
Ready, not overlaid
Full field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | YOUREAWIZARD HARRY | 2.5 | 26.4% | 28.3% | +1.9% | 0.31 | C | favoriteRising figsClass dropTop last fig | — |
| 5 | PANCHO SLIPS AWAY | 3.0 | 23.1% | 24.2% | +1.1% | 0.22 | E | Rising figsTag dropLed lastSharp workTop last paceSame trip | — |
| 1 | VALID SENSE | 4.0 | 18.5% | 18.2% | -0.3% | -0.03 | S | Rising figs3rd start cycleSame trip | — |
| 3 | RANSOM MONEY | 3.5 | 20.5% | 17.8% | -2.7% | -0.53 | P | Rising figsLed lastSame trip | — |
| 2 | BET ON BRET | 7.0 | 11.5% | 11.5% | -0.0% | 0.03 | S | Rising figsSame trip | — |