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LS R6 · 2026-10-01
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Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find LS R6 · 2026-10-01 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Pace unknown — not enough call1/e1
Pressure unknown. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#4CANDY IN MY ARMSUU
- C2#12LETHAL WINDUU
- C3#8REVENANT MARKUU
- C4#5Y IT EARPUU
- C5#9A FLYINGDYNAMITE 123UU
- C6#11MEMOIREUU
- C7#6DEFIANT COWBOYUU
- C8#2WARP SPEEDUU
- C9#1JMG SPECIAL DULCEUU
- C10#3JUSTA PERFECT COWBOYUU
- C11#7BULLET PROOFFUU
- C12#10GETTIN AWAY WITH ITUU
A · Likely — expected flow
No dedicated early. Crawl likely. One-run closers may never get a target.
Helps — · hurts —
B · Pressure — duel / honest
A surprise early type appears. The crawl map is wrong.
Helps — · hurts —
C · Chaos — collapse
Chaos: the map fails and the race becomes a scramble. No dedicated closer on the file.
Helps — · hurts —
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | CANDY IN MY ARMSRIVERA ALI | 1.8 | U | Same trip2026-09-23 LS 1f 13.60 B MT ft 25/28; 2026-07-22 ALB 1f 11.80 H MT ft 6/13 · barn: same as last | FutTrl10000 → Md Sp Wt | STINEBAUGH JOHN A | Favorite |
| 12 | LETHAL WINDMEDRANO GABRIEL | 2.0 | U | Rising figsSame trip2026-04-05 SUN 1f 12.00 Hg MT ft 9/38; 2026-03-24 SUN 1f 11.80 Hg MT ft 3/19 · barn: same as last | FutTrl10000 → Md Sp Wt | GILES WESLEY T | Favorite |
| 8 | REVENANT MARKPULIDO JUAN | 2.5 | U | —2026-09-02 RP 1f 12.60 Hg MT ft 5/23; 2026-08-06 DRT 1f 12.20 Hg MT ft bullet 1/12 · barn: REED KASH (no last-line barn) | — → Md Sp Wt | REED KASH | Favorite |
| 5 | Y IT EARPRAMIREZ RAUL JR | 4.5 | U | Trouble lastTop last figSame trip2026-09-02 LS 1f 13.20 B MT ft 30/34; 2026-06-12 ALB 1f 11.80 H MT ft 8/32 · barn: same as last | FutTrl10000 → Md Sp Wt | JUNGERS MARC E | field |
| 9 | A FLYINGDYNAMITE 123DELGADO MARIO | 6.0 | U | Rising figsSharp workSame trip2026-09-21 LS 1f 11.60 B MT ft bullet 1/7; 2026-07-19 ALB 1.5f 17.00 Hg MT ft 3/5 · barn: same as last | Trial → Md Sp Wt | JOINER JUSTIN W | field |
| 11 | MEMOIREGARCIA DANIEL X | 12.0 | U | Same trip2026-09-08 LS 1f 13.80 B MT ft 22/22; 2026-07-18 ALB 1f 11.60 H MT ft 4/57 · barn: same as last | fMdSpWt → Md Sp Wt | VAZQUEZ JUAN L | field |
| 6 | DEFIANT COWBOYNAVARRETE EUGENIO ALBERTO | 15.0 | U | Rising figsSame trip2026-06-11 ALB 1.4f 15.40 Hg MT ft 31/120; 2026-05-02 ALB 1f 12.20 B MT ft 13/16 · barn: same as last | FutTrl10000 → Md Sp Wt | WOOD S TREY | field |
| 2 | WARP SPEEDGILES FRANCISCO | 15.0 | U | Rising figsSame trip2026-05-12 HOU 1f 11.80 B MT ft 2/20; 2026-04-22 HOU 1.1f 14.20 Bg MT sy 15/21 · barn: same as last | FutTrl10000 → Md Sp Wt | BOLEN BRADLEY | field |
| 1 | JMG SPECIAL DULCEURIETA VICTOR MANUEL JR | 20.0 | U | Rising figsTrouble lastSame trip2026-09-15 LS 1f 13.40 B MT ft 15/15; 2026-02-12 RP 1.1f 14.20 Hg MT ft 64/119 · barn: same as last | fMdSpWt → Md Sp Wt | RODRIGUEZ RAUL JR | primed |
| 3 | JUSTA PERFECT COWBOYMARTINEZ OLIVER E | 20.0 | U | Rising figs2nd off layoffSame trip2026-04-23 HOU 1f 13.00 Bg MT ft 13/20; 2026-03-26 HOU 1.1f 14.40 Bg MT ft 22/28 · barn: same as last | MdSpWt → Md Sp Wt | FLORES MANUEL | primed |
| 7 | BULLET PROOFFMEDINA ALEJANDRO | 20.0 | U | Rising figsSame trip2026-04-25 HOU 1f 12.20 B MT ft 6/33; 2026-03-10 LAD 1f 12.20 Bg MT ft 31/60 · barn: same as last | FutTrl9000 → Md Sp Wt | GONZALEZ GILBERTO | field |
| 10 | GETTIN AWAY WITH ITRAMIREZ JR JR | 20.0 | U | Rising figsSame trip2026-09-01 LS 1f 11.80 B MT ft 4/28; 2026-03-18 HOU 1f 11.80 Bg MT ft 5/26 · barn: same as last | MdSpWt → Md Sp Wt | COX SHAE L | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
PLAY passPass — no tote needed
- RACELS R6 · 2026-10-01 · Dirt 350y · Md Sp Wt
- SHAPEPace fully unknown (all U); 12-horse maiden sprint at 350y — single-break volatility, no scenario tree available
- CHALKFavorite#4 CANDY IN MY ARMS (1.8) — short but has the most consistent fig band (84–87) and same-trip experience; #12 LETHAL WIND (2.0) has a troubling fig drop from 103 to 87; #8 REVENANT MARK (2.5) has zero PPs
- LEANWinner call#4 CANDY IN MY ARMS — best fig consistency, experienced at the trip, trainer firing at this meet
- PRIMED#1 JMG SPECIAL DULCE (rising figs +12, trouble last); #3 JUSTA PERFECT COWBOY (rising figs, 2nd off layoff) — both flagged but peak figs 80 and 78 are well below chalk ceiling, no pace path confirmed
- PRICEnone — no non-chalk overlays on the brief; sheet rec is PASS
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS — LEAN is chalk, no non-chalk overlay exists, pace map is blind, and #5 Y IT EARP (top fig 91 in field, trouble last at 4.5) is interesting but model shows no overlay and works are soft
- KILLAny pace path information (first-call positions) would reopen this; a live tote showing #5 or a primed horse drifting to 8-1+ would change the price calculus
- MISSINGLive tote, official scratches, pace styles (all U — critical in a 350y sprint), weather, rider changes
Why
Dirt 350y maiden special weight at Lone Star, 12-horse field with all pace styles unknown — high volatility, short-field quarter-horse sprint where the whole race is decided in under 18 seconds and one break can decide it. Shape is unknowable from the brief (all U styles, no call1/e1 data), making this a pace-blind race; the chalk trio (#4 CANDY IN MY ARMS at 1.8, #12 LETHAL WIND at 2.0, #8 REVENANT MARK at 2.5) absorbs most of the market but #12's fig regression (103→87) and #8's complete absence of PPs make both vulnerable. #3 JUSTA PERFECT COWBOY is primed (rising figs, 2nd off layoff) but has posted only "no menace" finishes and a peak fig of 78, well below the chalk's ceiling, and no pace path exists to build a case.
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printPrice / ready board
Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.
Ready, not overlaid
#1 JMG SPECIAL DULCEML 20.0Rising figsTrouble lastSame trip
#3 JUSTA PERFECT COWBOYML 20.0Rising figs2nd off layoffSame trip
Full field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | CANDY IN MY ARMS | 1.8 | 21.1% | 22.8% | +1.7% | 0.55 | U | favoriteSame trip | — |
| 12 | LETHAL WIND | 2.0 | 19.7% | 20.9% | +1.2% | 0.49 | U | favoriteRising figsSame trip | — |
| 8 | REVENANT MARK | 2.5 | 16.9% | 15.9% | -1.0% | 0.00 | U | favorite | — |
| 5 | Y IT EARP | 4.5 | 10.7% | 11.2% | +0.4% | 0.40 | U | Trouble lastTop last figSame trip | — |
| 9 | A FLYINGDYNAMITE 123 | 6.0 | 8.4% | 8.5% | +0.1% | 0.29 | U | Rising figsSharp workSame trip | — |
| 11 | MEMOIRE | 12.0 | 4.5% | 4.1% | -0.5% | -0.17 | U | Same trip | — |
| 6 | DEFIANT COWBOY | 15.0 | 3.7% | 3.6% | -0.1% | 0.11 | U | Rising figsSame trip | — |
| 2 | WARP SPEED | 15.0 | 3.7% | 3.5% | -0.2% | 0.05 | U | Rising figsSame trip | — |
| 1 | JMG SPECIAL DULCE | 20.0 | 2.8% | 2.8% | -0.0% | 0.21 | U | Rising figsTrouble lastSame trip | — |
| 3 | JUSTA PERFECT COWBOY | 20.0 | 2.8% | 2.3% | -0.5% | -0.50 | U | Rising figs2nd off layoffSame trip | — |
| 7 | BULLET PROOFF | 20.0 | 2.8% | 2.2% | -0.6% | -0.65 | U | Rising figsSame trip | — |
| 10 | GETTIN AWAY WITH IT | 20.0 | 2.8% | 2.2% | -0.6% | -0.77 | U | Rising figsSame trip | — |