PID R4 · 2026-09-30
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find PID R4 · 2026-09-30 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Wall of early / pressers (#4 #3 #2 #1 #7)
Pressure extreme. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#4FADETHENOISEEP
- C2#3STRAIGHTOUTADUTTONE
- C3#2WHERE YOU WASE
- C4#1CALL ME LATEREP
- C5#7WROTE IN STONEEP
- C6#5MINISTER FOR MAGICP
- C7#6SPAN OF CONTROLS
Honest pace among #4 FADETHENOISE and #3 STRAIGHTOUTADUTTON and #2 WHERE YOU WAS and #1 CALL ME LATER and #7 WROTE IN STONE. Ability decides if they do not empty.
Helps #5 MINISTER FOR MAGIC, #6 SPAN OF CONTROL · hurts #4 FADETHENOISE, #3 STRAIGHTOUTADUTTON, #2 WHERE YOU WAS, #1 CALL ME LATER, #7 WROTE IN STONE
Pressure: #4 FADETHENOISE and #3 STRAIGHTOUTADUTTON and #2 WHERE YOU WAS and #1 CALL ME LATER and #7 WROTE IN STONE hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.
Helps #5 MINISTER FOR MAGIC, #6 SPAN OF CONTROL · hurts #4 FADETHENOISE, #3 STRAIGHTOUTADUTTON, #2 WHERE YOU WAS, #1 CALL ME LATER, #7 WROTE IN STONE
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#6 SPAN OF CONTROL).
Helps #6 SPAN OF CONTROL · hurts #4 FADETHENOISE, #3 STRAIGHTOUTADUTTON, #2 WHERE YOU WAS, #1 CALL ME LATER, #7 WROTE IN STONE
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CALL ME LATERAYALA ADDIEL J | 2.0 | EP | Rising figsClass dropLed lastSame trip2026-07-30 PID 4f 46.60 B MT ft bullet 1/10; 2026-06-12 PID 4f 47.60 B MT ft 3/11 · barn: same as last | Alw33165n1x → OClm 10000 | RUSSELL RANDALL | Favorite |
| 4 | FADETHENOISEMARTINEZ GADDIEL A | 2.5 | EP | Top last figSame trip2026-07-14 PEN 4f 48.00 B MT ft 7/12; 2026-05-02 PEN 4f 48.40 B MT ft 7/21 · barn: same as last | OC10000 → OClm 10000 | KULP BRANDON L | Favorite |
| 3 | STRAIGHTOUTADUTTONDELGADO DAVID | 3.0 | E | Same trip2026-07-10 PID 4f 53.40 B MT ft 5/6; 2026-06-03 PID 5f 60.00 B MT ft bullet 1/4 · barn: same as last | Clm8500 → OClm 10000 | RUSSELL RANDALL | field |
| 6 | SPAN OF CONTROLALLEN M | 4.5 | S | Rising figsClass dropSame trip2026-09-11 PID 4f 49.20 B MT ft 13/20; 2026-06-04 PID 4f 48.60 B MT ft 10/17 · barn: same as last | Alw6250s → OClm 10000 | FENNESSY JOHN | primed |
| 2 | WHERE YOU WASGALLARDO ANTONIO A | 6.0 | E | Rising figsHidden paceSame trip2026-08-27 PID 4f 48.60 B MT ft 6/13; 2026-06-26 PID 5f 61.20 B MT ft 4/6 · barn: same as last | sOC12500b → OClm 10000 | GIRTEN TIM | primed |
| 5 | MINISTER FOR MAGICROJAS MARTINA | 10.0 | P | Barn changeSame trip2026-07-01 TDN 5f 61.40 B MT ft 1/2; 2026-06-23 TDN 5f 61.20 B MT ft 1/2 · barn: change vs MEYERS SHANE | Clm8000bc → OClm 10000 | BARRON RORY | field |
| 7 | WROTE IN STONEALENCAR WALBER | 10.0 | EP | Same trip2026-08-27 PID 3f 38.20 B MT ft 6/6; 2026-07-30 PID 4f 49.40 Bg MT ft 7/10 · barn: same as last | Clm5000b → OClm 10000 | FENNESSY JOHN | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEPID R4 · 2026-09-30 · Dirt 1210y · OClm 10000
- SHAPEWall of five early/pressers; extreme duel expected; stalker/closer shape only resolves in chaos; no non-chalk price overlay exists
- CHALKFavorite#1 CALL ME LATER (2-1) and #4 FADETHENOISE (2.5-1) — both chalk, both EP into each other; usable-but-short co-favorites; neither opposable on shape alone but PLAY-ineligible
- LEANWinner call#1 CALL ME LATER · rising figs (74→79→80), class drop from Alw33165n1x, led last, post 1 on inside-rail bias, TJ 3-0-2/5 ROI 3.36; most likely winner in the chaos
- PRIMED#6 SPAN OF CONTROL (rising figs, class drop, same trip — but C-only path; barn cold 46-90d away); #2 WHERE YOU WAS (rising figs, hidden pace LP 86 — but zForm -0.50, no positive overlay)
- PRICEno price (no non-chalk horse carries a positive model edge)
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS
- KILL#4 FADETHENOISE clears cleanly from post 4 and steals a soft pace; or #6 SPAN OF CONTROL's duel fully materializes and she closes over a spent field at 4.5-1
- MISSINGlive tote, official scratches, weather/surface condition, rider changes
Why
Dirt sprint claiming at Presque Isle, a wall of five early/pressers into a speed-bias inside-rail track makes this an extreme duel setup with the only shape relief going to the two rear-packers. Both co-favorites (#1 CALL ME LATER at 2-1, #4 FADETHENOISE at 5-2) are EP types likely to hook each other from posts 1 and 4 in a field that figures to melt from the front; neither is opposable on merit alone, but both are chalk and automatic PLAY passes. #6 SPAN OF CONTROL (primed: rising figs 79→82, class drop from Alw6250s, posted LP 84 last out) is a stalker who only wins in the C-chaos scenario where the duel empties the speed — that's a C-only path, not a win bet — and the model edge is negative with a cold barn (Fennessy 46-90 days away: 4.2% win, ROI -1.79); no non-chalk horse has a positive model overlay. ``` ```
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printPrice / ready board
Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.
Ready, not overlaid
Full field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CALL ME LATER | 2.0 | 24.2% | 25.5% | +1.3% | 0.50 | EP | favoriteRising figsClass dropLed lastSame trip | — |
| 4 | FADETHENOISE | 2.5 | 20.8% | 24.7% | +4.0% | 0.99 | EP | favoriteTop last figSame trip | — |
| 3 | STRAIGHTOUTADUTTON | 3.0 | 18.2% | 17.3% | -0.9% | 0.10 | E | Same trip | — |
| 6 | SPAN OF CONTROL | 4.5 | 13.2% | 12.7% | -0.5% | 0.13 | S | Rising figsClass dropSame trip | — |
| 2 | WHERE YOU WAS | 6.0 | 10.4% | 10.0% | -0.4% | 0.14 | E | Rising figsHidden paceSame trip | — |
| 5 | MINISTER FOR MAGIC | 10.0 | 6.6% | 5.5% | -1.1% | -0.44 | P | Barn changeSame trip | — |
| 7 | WROTE IN STONE | 10.0 | 6.6% | 4.3% | -2.3% | -1.43 | EP | Same trip | — |