closebeat
Start free
← RaceDay

LRL R2 · 2026-09-27

PASSD1760yPLAY passRace Simulator →MC Exotics →Expert handicap ↓Results →After the races
Bet now

Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find LRL R2 · 2026-09-27 on their board.

Expert handicap

LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.

Sign in to run

Pace map

Lone speed #2 VENETO

Pressure moderate. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.

  1. C1#2VENETOEP
  2. C2#4PAYNTED LIONS
  3. C3#1MAGNIFICENT RAGSC
  4. C4#7COCO NO LOCOC
  5. C5#3UNCLE GREYC
  6. C6#6FEISTY NOTIONP
  7. C7#5FURIOUS GEORGEC
A · Likely — expected flow

#2 VENETO controls. Closers need a melt that does not come.

Helps #2 VENETO · hurts #4 PAYNTED LION, #1 MAGNIFICENT RAGS, #7 COCO NO LOCO, #3 UNCLE GREY, #5 FURIOUS GEORGE

B · Pressure — duel / honest

Someone presses #2 VENETO. Soft-lead thesis dies.

Helps #6 FEISTY NOTION, #4 PAYNTED LION · hurts #2 VENETO

C · Chaos — collapse

Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#4 PAYNTED LION, #1 MAGNIFICENT RAGS, #7 COCO NO LOCO, #3 UNCLE GREY, #5 FURIOUS GEORGE).

Helps #4 PAYNTED LION, #1 MAGNIFICENT RAGS, #7 COCO NO LOCO, #3 UNCLE GREY, #5 FURIOUS GEORGE · hurts #2 VENETO

Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.

#HorseMLStyleReadyClassBarnRole
2VENETOBRICENO LEANDRO M1.2EPTag drop2026-09-20 LRL 4f 48.80 H MT ft 13/84; 2026-07-22 LRL 4f 49.00 B MT my bullet 1/4 · barn: same as lastClm12500n2l → Clm 7500n2lCORRALES JOSEFavorite
1MAGNIFICENT RAGSBARBOSA JEIRON5.0CSame trip2026-07-03 CT 5f 61.00 B MT ft 1/2; 2026-05-27 MNR 4f 49.80 B MT ft 8/10 · barn: same as lastOC25000 → Clm 7500n2lJONES MICHAEL E JRfield
7COCO NO LOCOKINGSLEY TAYLOR5.0CRising figsTag dropSame trip2026-06-26 FAI 4f 49.00 B MT ft 6/19; 2026-05-26 DEL 3f 37.60 Bg MT ft 4/6 · barn: same as lastClm16000n2l → Clm 7500n2lGALLIGAN GERARDfield
5FURIOUS GEORGEBURNHAM MATILDA6.0CRising figsTop last fig2026-09-20 LRL 4f 48.40 B MT ft 9/84; 2026-08-26 LRL 4f 49.00 B MT ft 10/32 · barn: same as lastMd5000 → Clm 7500n2lDILODOVICO DAMON Rfield
4PAYNTED LIONBATISTA JOSE A6.0STag drop2026-09-12 DEL 3f 37.20 B MT ft 8/22; 2026-09-05 DEL 4f 51.60 B MT ft 63/70 · barn: same as lastClm8000n2l → Clm 7500n2lBAILON NESVIL HERNANfield
6FEISTY NOTIONEBOW WARREN III10.0PRising figsTag drop2026-07-16 CNL 3f 36.60 B MT ft bullet 1/4; 2026-07-04 CNL 5f 59.80 B MT ft bullet 1/8 · barn: same as lastClm16000n2l → Clm 7500n2lWILLIAMS GARY L JRfield
3UNCLE GREYCORUJO LEONARDO15.0CRising figsTop last paceSame trip2026-08-16 LRL 4f 48.80 H MT ft 2/69; 2026-08-09 LRL 4f 49.00 B MT ft 24/85 · barn: same as lastClm5000b → Clm 7500n2lVICK TIMOTHY Mfield

From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.

PLAY passPass — no tote needed
  1. RACELRL R2 · 2026-09-27 · Dirt 1760y · Clm 7500n2l
  2. SHAPELone speed (#2 VENETO) into a wall of closers; Scenario A is the dominant flow — no presser forces a duel
  3. CHALKFavorite#2 VENETO · ML 1.2 · solid — class drop from n2l at $12,500 is a send move, lone speed, EP style, prior win gate fig 77, and the pace map is clean
  4. LEANWinner call#2 VENETO · controls solo, likely never headed
  5. PRIMEDnone (no non-chalk horse clears 2+ flags + overlay)
  6. PRICEno non-chalk overlay
  7. PLAYPrice ticketPASS
  8. KILLA presser materializes at the break and hooks VENETO into a duel it can't survive (Scenario B); the 09-11 reared-at-start line repeats
  9. MISSINGlive tote, official scratches, weather/track variant, rider changes post-ingest

Why

Dirt route, bottom-level $7,500 claiming (n2l), seven-horse field — moderate volatility given cheap form and a lone-speed map.

#2 VENETO is the only pace presence, drawing post 2 in a field of closers on a class drop that reads "send," making it a near-even chalk on the morning line.

No non-chalk horse has both a price overlay and a primed signal; #7 COCO NO LOCO carries two ready flags (rising figs, tag drop) and has a route-to-route trip match, but the model shows no overlay and the path is C-only against lone speed that may never get pressed.

Tote field

Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.

Sign in to stamp the board

Practice ticket

Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.

Sign in to stamp a board print

Full field

#HorseML Mkt% Model% Edge Signal StyleSheet Result
2VENETO1.237.0%39.1%+2.0%0.37EPfavoriteTag drop—
1MAGNIFICENT RAGS5.013.6%13.6%+0.1%0.18CSame trip—
7COCO NO LOCO5.013.6%13.6%-0.0%0.16CRising figsTag dropSame trip—
5FURIOUS GEORGE6.011.6%11.8%+0.2%0.22CRising figsTop last fig—
4PAYNTED LION6.011.6%11.6%-0.1%0.13STag drop—
6FEISTY NOTION10.07.4%5.4%-2.0%-1.13PRising figsTag drop—
3UNCLE GREY15.05.1%5.0%-0.1%0.08CRising figsTop last paceSame trip—