Bet now

Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find DEL R5 · 2026-09-30 on their board.

Expert handicap

LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.

Sign in to run

Pace map

Wall of early / pressers (#7 #6 #3 #2 #8 #5)

Pressure extreme. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.

  1. C1#7MAGICNTHEMOONLIGHTE
  2. C2#6DOUBLE EDGE SWORDE
  3. C3#3JUST FOR THE MONEYE
  4. C4#2HEAVEN STREETE
  5. C5#8FLOAT ONEP
  6. C6#5NEWYEARSBLOCKPARTYEP
  7. C7#4LADDIE DANCES
  8. C8#9TRIPLE PASSS
  9. C9#1UNIWINNERC
A · Likely — expected flow

Honest pace among #7 MAGICNTHEMOONLIGHT and #6 DOUBLE EDGE SWORD and #3 JUST FOR THE MONEY and #2 HEAVEN STREET and #8 FLOAT ON and #5 NEWYEARSBLOCKPARTY. Ability decides if they do not empty.

Helps #4 LADDIE DANCE, #9 TRIPLE PASS · hurts #7 MAGICNTHEMOONLIGHT, #6 DOUBLE EDGE SWORD, #3 JUST FOR THE MONEY, #2 HEAVEN STREET, #8 FLOAT ON, #5 NEWYEARSBLOCKPARTY

B · Pressure — duel / honest

Pressure: #7 MAGICNTHEMOONLIGHT and #6 DOUBLE EDGE SWORD and #3 JUST FOR THE MONEY and #2 HEAVEN STREET and #8 FLOAT ON and #5 NEWYEARSBLOCKPARTY hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.

Helps #4 LADDIE DANCE, #9 TRIPLE PASS · hurts #7 MAGICNTHEMOONLIGHT, #6 DOUBLE EDGE SWORD, #3 JUST FOR THE MONEY, #2 HEAVEN STREET, #8 FLOAT ON, #5 NEWYEARSBLOCKPARTY

C · Chaos — collapse

Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#4 LADDIE DANCE, #9 TRIPLE PASS, #1 UNIWINNER).

Helps #4 LADDIE DANCE, #9 TRIPLE PASS, #1 UNIWINNER · hurts #7 MAGICNTHEMOONLIGHT, #6 DOUBLE EDGE SWORD, #3 JUST FOR THE MONEY, #2 HEAVEN STREET, #8 FLOAT ON, #5 NEWYEARSBLOCKPARTY

Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.

#HorseMLStyleReadyClassBarnRole
6DOUBLE EDGE SWORDLOPEZ PASCACIO2.5EClass dropLed lastSame trip2026-08-15 DEL 4f 50.40 B MT ft 35/67; 2026-06-24 DEL 4f 49.60 B MT ft 7/20 · barn: same as lastAlw5000s → OClm 10000BRINKMAN BRETTFavorite
9TRIPLE PASSFERNANDEZ MARVIN4.0STop last figSame trip2026-09-05 DEL 4f 50.80 B MT ft 44/70; 2026-08-25 DEL 3f 37.60 B MT ft 2/10 · barn: same as lastOC12500 → OClm 10000COLLINS JOHNfield
5NEWYEARSBLOCKPARTYRODRIGUEZ JAMIE4.0EPRising figsSame trip2026-01-23 TAM 4f 51.60 B MT ft 28/29; 2025-12-21 TAM 4f 50.60 B MT ft 55/80 · barn: same as lastOC8000 → OClm 10000POOLE JEFFREY Afield
7MAGICNTHEMOONLIGHTMEJIAS KLEINER A6.0ELed lastTop last paceSame trip2025-11-19 PRX 4f 49.60 B MT my bullet 1/4; 2025-09-13 PRX 5f 60.80 B MT ft 3/8 · barn: same as lastOC10000 → OClm 10000PEREZ RUPERTO Afield
2HEAVEN STREETCRUZ ANGEL6.0ELed lastSame trip2026-09-19 PEN 4f 48.00 B MT ft 4/31; 2026-09-11 PEN 4f 48.60 B MT ft 2/15 · barn: same as lastOC10000 → OClm 10000KREISER TIMOTHY Cfield
3JUST FOR THE MONEYRIOS JESUS M8.0ERising figsTrouble lastSame trip2026-09-25 DEL 4f 49.80 B MT ft 25/47; 2026-09-05 DEL 4f 49.60 B MT ft 17/70 · barn: same as lastOC12500 → OClm 10000NAMBO CESARprimed
8FLOAT ONBATISTA JOSE A12.0EPLed lastSame trip2026-05-07 DEL 4f 50.60 B MT ft 4/8; 2026-03-01 TAM 4f 48.60 B MT ft 10/110 · barn: same as lastOC12500 → OClm 10000ARCE JOSUEfield
4LADDIE DANCEBURNHAM MATILDA12.0STrouble lastSame trip2026-08-16 LRL 3f 37.20 B MT ft 9/31; 2026-08-02 LRL 3f 37.40 B MT ft 14/22 · barn: same as lastOC12500 → OClm 10000PERRI GINAfield
1UNIWINNERRODRIGUEZ RONALDO20.0CRising figsTrouble lastSame trip2026-09-25 DEL 4f 49.40 B MT ft 14/47; 2026-08-22 DEL 4f 52.40 B MT gd 26/30 · barn: same as lastClm5000n2y → OClm 10000NAMBO CESARprimed

From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.

PLAY passPass — no tote needed
  1. RACEDEL R5 · 2026-09-30 · Dirt 1210y · OClm 10000
  2. SHAPEWall of six speed types projected up front; extreme pace pressure strongly favors #9 TRIPLE PASS and #4 LADDIE DANCE sitting off the carnage
  3. CHALKFavorite#6 DOUBLE EDGE SWORD · short · drops to tag with best baseline fig but enters a six-way duel at 2.5 ML — short for the risk
  4. LEANWinner call#9 TRIPLE PASS · top fig 87, stalker with a clean path in A and B
  5. PRIMED#3 JUST FOR THE MONEY (rising figs +22, trouble last — but E style into a duel hurts it, not a pace beneficiary); #1 UNIWINNER (rising figs, trouble last — C-only, class up from Clm5000, signal deeply negative, C-scenario only)
  6. PRICEnone (no non-chalk overlays confirmed; sheet rec PASS)
  7. PLAYPrice ticketPASS
  8. KILLSpeed bias stat (71.4% E winners) suggests one of the speed horses steals clear rather than collapsing — if #6 or #7 gets a clean rail trip and the duel never materializes, closers are stranded
  9. MISSINGLive tote, official scratches post-ingest, weather/track condition, rider changes

Why

Dirt sprint claiming at DEL, wall of six early/presser types into a speed-favoring track, extreme pace pressure sets up the stalkers and lone closer. Chalk #6 DOUBLE EDGE SWORD (2.5 ML) is the class dropper with the best fig baseline and top-3 E1, but at 2.5 it is short and faces a duel it may not survive — usable but short, not opposable on form alone. #3 JUST FOR THE MONEY is primed (rising figs +22, trouble last "altered course; game") and drew early call in the projected order, but its pace path is actually harmful — it is E style into this duel, not a beneficiary; #9 TRIPLE PASS (S, 4 ML) has the top fig in the field (87), two-path path in A and B as a stalker, and benefits directly from the expected meltdown, but model edge is flat (0.010, overlay=false) and no price overlay is confirmed.

Tote field

Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.

Sign in to stamp the board

Practice ticket

Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.

Sign in to stamp a board print

Price / ready board

Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.

Ready, not overlaid

#3 JUST FOR THE MONEYML 8.0Rising figsTrouble lastSame trip
#1 UNIWINNERML 20.0Rising figsTrouble lastSame trip

Full field

#HorseML Mkt% Model% Edge Signal StyleSheet Result
6DOUBLE EDGE SWORD2.522.3%22.1%-0.1%0.20EfavoriteClass dropLed lastSame trip—
9TRIPLE PASS4.015.6%16.6%+1.0%0.47STop last figSame trip—
5NEWYEARSBLOCKPARTY4.015.6%16.4%+0.9%0.43EPRising figsSame trip—
7MAGICNTHEMOONLIGHT6.011.1%13.0%+1.9%0.84ELed lastTop last paceSame trip—
2HEAVEN STREET6.011.1%9.8%-1.3%-0.29ELed lastSame trip—
3JUST FOR THE MONEY8.08.7%8.9%+0.3%0.35ERising figsTrouble lastSame trip—
8FLOAT ON12.06.0%6.0%+0.0%0.23EPLed lastSame trip—
4LADDIE DANCE12.06.0%4.6%-1.3%-0.80STrouble lastSame trip—
1UNIWINNER20.03.7%2.5%-1.3%-1.44CRising figsTrouble lastSame trip—