LS R5 · 2026-10-10
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Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Pace unknown — not enough call1/e1
Pressure unknown. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#3VALIANT MAGIC MIKEUU
- C2#6MR JET FEESUU
- C3#9PANTHER PURSUITUU
- C4#5LIL FERRARI WAGONUU
- C5#2KISS MY NINE ELEVENUU
- C6#7GET FASTERUU
- C7#10VIVA AN IDEAUU
- C8#8CORONA SLIMUU
- C9#12KJ NINE ELEVENUU
- C10#1ZENDEYAUU
- C11#4ARRIBBAUU
- C12#11AJ CHARMING ACEUU
No dedicated early. Crawl likely. One-run closers may never get a target.
Helps — · hurts —
A surprise early type appears. The crawl map is wrong.
Helps — · hurts —
Chaos: the map fails and the race becomes a scramble. No dedicated closer on the file.
Helps — · hurts —
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | VALIANT MAGIC MIKERAMIREZ JR JR | 2.0 | U | 2nd off layoffSame trip2026-09-01 LS 1.5f 17.80 Bg MT ft 1/2; 2026-08-04 RET 1f 12.60 B MT ft 7/7 · barn: same as last | FutTrl10000 → Alw 16000n1x | COX SHAE L | Favorite |
| 6 | MR JET FEESAGUILAR CLAUDIO PONCE | 2.5 | U | Same trip2026-06-12 LAD 1f 12.40 B MT ft 1/2; 2026-02-18 RET 1.1f 13.80 Hg MT ft 7/67 · barn: same as last | FutTrl10000 → Alw 16000n1x | GUERRA JIMMY JR | Favorite |
| 9 | PANTHER PURSUITPULIDO JUAN | 4.5 | U | Barn changeSame trip2026-09-01 RP 1f 12.60 Hg MT ft 2/25; 2026-08-05 DRT 1f 12.60 Hg MT ft 10/14 · barn: change vs VANE JED H | sFutTrl15000 → Alw 16000n1x | REED KASH | field |
| 5 | LIL FERRARI WAGONRAMIREZ FROYLAN TELLEZ | 8.0 | U | Trouble lastSame trip2026-03-27 RET 1f 12.80 Bg MT ft 12/27; 2026-02-20 RET 1f 12.60 Bg MT ft 13/21 · barn: same as last | FutTrl10000 → Alw 16000n1x | TELLEZ BRITTANY N | field |
| 2 | KISS MY NINE ELEVENDOMINGUEZ JONATHAN | 10.0 | U | Trouble lastBarn changeSame trip2026-09-27 RP 1f 13.00 H MT ft 3/3; 2026-03-03 RP 1f 12.40 H MT ft 4/27 · barn: change vs BROOM ELFERRELAUREANO EVEZ | FutTrl5000 → Alw 16000n1x | VARGAS MARLA DAYANA | field |
| 7 | GET FASTERVIVANCO LUIS L | 12.0 | U | Rising figsBarn changeSame trip2026-03-25 RET 1.1f 13.80 Hg MT ft 11/116; 2026-02-11 RET 1f 12.20 Bg MT ft bullet 1/24 · barn: change vs LOPEZ JOSE U | FutTrl10000 → Alw 16000n1x | OLAVESON BEN | field |
| 10 | VIVA AN IDEAURIETA VICTOR MANUEL JR | 12.0 | U | 2nd off layoffSame trip2026-09-01 LS 1f 12.80 Bg MT ft 21/28; 2026-03-14 LAD 1f 13.40 Bg MT ft 34/40 · barn: same as last | FutTrl10000 → Alw 16000n1x | RODRIGUEZ RAUL JR | field |
| 8 | CORONA SLIMMARTINEZ OLIVER E | 15.0 | U | Rising figsTop last figSame trip2026-05-21 HOU 1f 12.80 Bg MT sy 5/9; 2026-04-15 HOU 1f 11.80 B MT ft 2/23 · barn: same as last | Alw16000n2l → Alw 16000n1x | SANCHEZ ANGEL | field |
| 12 | KJ NINE ELEVENDOMINGUEZ JONATHAN | 20.0 | U | Rising figsBarn changeSame trip2026-09-30 RP 1f 13.00 H MT ft 10/10; 2026-05-17 RP 1f 13.00 H MT ft 11/18 · barn: change vs DOMINGUEZ LUIS A | Alw11000n2l → Alw 16000n1x | VARGAS MARLA DAYANA | field |
| 1 | ZENDEYARIVERA ALI | 20.0 | U | Rising figsSame trip2026-02-23 LAD 1f 13.60 Bg MT ft 16/20; 2026-02-14 LAD 1f 13.40 Bg MT ft 49/52 · barn: same as last | FutTrl10000 → Alw 16000n1x | GONZALEZ GILBERTO | field |
| 4 | ARRIBBAVERA ELIAZAR T | 20.0 | U | Rising figsSame trip2026-02-21 RET 1f 12.60 B MT ft 7/17; 2026-02-04 RET 1.1f 13.60 Hg MT ft 7/68 · barn: same as last | MdSpWt → Alw 16000n1x | CAMACHO JOSE DOLORES | field |
| 11 | AJ CHARMING ACEURIETA VICTOR MANUEL JR | 20.0 | U | Trouble lastSame trip2026-06-19 RET 1f 13.00 Bg MT ft 17/19; 2026-02-18 RET 1.1f 14.00 Hg MT ft 28/67 · barn: same as last | FutTrl10000 → Alw 16000n1x | GUERRA JIMMY JR | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACELS R5 · 2026-10-10 · Dirt 400y · Alw 16000n1x
- SHAPEPace entirely unknown (all U styles); inside rail bias dominant; outside post horses face structural penalty
- CHALKFavorite#3 VALIANT MAGIC MIKE (2-1) · short · 2nd-off-layoff angle is real but model shows no edge and post 3 is inside-adjacent; #6 MR JET FEES (5-2) · opposable · fig decline last out (89→79), zForm negative, sprint ITM ROI -2.00 at this barn
- LEANWinner call#3 VALIANT MAGIC MIKE · best combo of inside post, class level, and a live 2nd-off-layoff cycle
- PRIMEDnone (ingest confirms none; #8 CORONA SLIM has rising figs + top fig but draws post 8 into a rail-bias race — flags present, path compromised)
- PRICEno price — zero non-chalk overlays in the field
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS
- KILLBias is 30-day sample (77 runs); a surprise early type from posts 1–3 steamrolls the field; #8's last fig (88) is real and if bias is overstated at a longer 400y distance, the inside edge shrinks
- MISSINGlive tote, official scratches, weather, rider changes
Why
Dirt 400y QH sprint, Alw 16000n1x, 12-horse field — pace map is all unknowns and the bias screams inside rail, making this a volatile scramble where post position matters more than style. Both chalks (#3 VALIANT MAGIC MIKE at 2-1, #6 MR JET FEES at 5-2) hail from the same FutTrl10000 condition and draw middle posts in a race where 60% of winners come from posts 1–3; #8 CORONA SLIM carries the field's top last fig (88), has three rising lines (87→88 after the 21 disaster), and won the last clean effort — but draws post 8 against a rail bias that has crushed outside horses. No horse in this field has a non-chalk model overlay, and the one horse with a pace path plus a live ready case (#8) is fighting the bias from a brutal post. ``` ```
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printFull field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | VALIANT MAGIC MIKE | 2.0 | 23.6% | 22.6% | -1.0% | -0.13 | U | favorite2nd off layoffSame trip | — |
| 6 | MR JET FEES | 2.5 | 20.3% | 21.6% | +1.4% | 0.30 | U | favoriteSame trip | — |
| 9 | PANTHER PURSUIT | 4.5 | 12.9% | 12.5% | -0.4% | -0.07 | U | Barn changeSame trip | — |
| 5 | LIL FERRARI WAGON | 8.0 | 7.9% | 8.0% | +0.1% | 0.11 | U | Trouble lastSame trip | — |
| 2 | KISS MY NINE ELEVEN | 10.0 | 6.4% | 6.2% | -0.3% | -0.13 | U | Trouble lastBarn changeSame trip | — |
| 7 | GET FASTER | 12.0 | 5.5% | 6.1% | +0.7% | 0.50 | U | Rising figsBarn changeSame trip | — |
| 10 | VIVA AN IDEA | 12.0 | 5.5% | 5.4% | -0.1% | -0.01 | U | 2nd off layoffSame trip | — |
| 8 | CORONA SLIM | 15.0 | 4.4% | 4.7% | +0.3% | 0.28 | U | Rising figsTop last figSame trip | — |
| 12 | KJ NINE ELEVEN | 20.0 | 3.4% | 3.6% | +0.2% | 0.33 | U | Rising figsBarn changeSame trip | — |
| 1 | ZENDEYA | 20.0 | 3.4% | 3.6% | +0.2% | 0.27 | U | Rising figsSame trip | — |
| 4 | ARRIBBA | 20.0 | 3.4% | 2.9% | -0.5% | -0.61 | U | Rising figsSame trip | — |
| 11 | AJ CHARMING ACE | 20.0 | 3.4% | 2.7% | -0.7% | -0.83 | U | Trouble lastSame trip | — |