PRX R6 · 2026-09-29
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find PRX R6 · 2026-09-29 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Wall of early / pressers (#10 #5 #9)
Pressure high. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#10BLOODY COLORS WAVEE
- C2#5PROBLEMATICAE
- C3#9GOLDEN PHILLYEP
- C4#2SHUDABEENACOWGIRLP
- C5#6DONT TELL TAMMOS
- C6#4SOCIETY BALLP
- C7#3GIAS FUEGOC
- C8#1SOLEMN OATHC
- C9#8SOFSTERC
- C10#7DOWNANDDIRTYDONNAC
Honest pace among #10 BLOODY COLORS WAVE and #5 PROBLEMATICA and #9 GOLDEN PHILLY. Ability decides if they do not empty.
Helps #2 SHUDABEENACOWGIRL, #4 SOCIETY BALL, #6 DONT TELL TAMMO · hurts #10 BLOODY COLORS WAVE, #5 PROBLEMATICA, #9 GOLDEN PHILLY
Pressure: #10 BLOODY COLORS WAVE and #5 PROBLEMATICA and #9 GOLDEN PHILLY hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.
Helps #2 SHUDABEENACOWGIRL, #4 SOCIETY BALL, #6 DONT TELL TAMMO · hurts #10 BLOODY COLORS WAVE, #5 PROBLEMATICA, #9 GOLDEN PHILLY
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#6 DONT TELL TAMMO, #3 GIAS FUEGO, #1 SOLEMN OATH, #8 SOFSTER, #7 DOWNANDDIRTYDONNA).
Helps #6 DONT TELL TAMMO, #3 GIAS FUEGO, #1 SOLEMN OATH, #8 SOFSTER, #7 DOWNANDDIRTYDONNA · hurts #10 BLOODY COLORS WAVE, #5 PROBLEMATICA, #9 GOLDEN PHILLY
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | BLOODY COLORS WAVEHARGROVE CAMILA | 3.0 | E | 2nd off layoffTag dropLed lastBarn changeTop last figSame trip2026-08-22 PRX 4f 49.60 B MT ft 32/64; 2026-08-15 PRX 4f 48.60 B MT ft 12/65 · barn: change vs PINO MICHAEL V | fClm7500n1yc → Clm 5000n2y | SOTO- MARTINEZ ELLIOTT | Favorite |
| 5 | PROBLEMATICALOPEZ PASCACIO | 4.0 | E | Rising figs3rd start cycleLed lastSame trip2026-08-16 MTH 4f 48.40 B MT ft 11/109; 2026-07-22 MTH 4f 50.80 B MT ft 19/24 · barn: same as last | fClm5000b → Clm 5000n2y | GOMEZ POMPEYO | primed |
| 8 | SOFSTEROCASIO LUIS M | 3.5 | C | Rising figsTag dropSame trip2026-08-02 MTH 4f 48.40 B MT ft 5/91; 2026-06-21 MTH 4f 50.60 B MT ft 70/95 · barn: same as last | fClm10000 → Clm 5000n2y | RAMIREZ SILVINO | field |
| 6 | DONT TELL TAMMORUIZ ELISEO | 4.5 | S | Rising figsTrouble lastSame trip2026-06-14 MTH 4f 51.60 B MT ft 63/73; 2026-06-07 MTH 3f 36.00 B MT ft 2/62 · barn: same as last | fClm5000b → Clm 5000n2y | POTTS WAYNE | primed |
| 4 | SOCIETY BALLSANCHEZ MAGGLIO | 5.0 | P | Rising figsSame trip2026-09-19 PRX 4f 48.40 B MT ft 4/29; 2026-08-10 PRX 4f 47.40 B MT ft 2/52 · barn: same as last | fClm5000n1y → Clm 5000n2y | MOORE MICHAEL M | field |
| 9 | GOLDEN PHILLYTORRES BRYAN L | 10.0 | EP | Rising figsSame trip2026-04-29 PRX 4f 47.00 B MT ft bullet 1/39; 2026-01-17 PRX 4f 51.40 B MT ft 36/42 · barn: same as last | fClm5000n1y → Clm 5000n2y | PEREZ RUPERTO A | field |
| 1 | SOLEMN OATHAGUILAR JEAN | 8.0 | C | 3rd start cycleSame trip2026-08-11 PRX 4f 52.00 B MT ft 40/41; 2026-08-05 PRX 4f 53.60 B MT ft 28/29 · barn: same as last | fClm5000n2y → Clm 5000n2y | RODRIGUEZ MIGUEL A | field |
| 3 | GIAS FUEGOHERMAN NOEL | 15.0 | C | Rising figsSame trip2026-02-04 PRX 4f 51.40 B MT ft 99/106; 2025-03-29 PRX 4f 50.20 B MT ft 44/61 · barn: same as last | fClm5000n2y → Clm 5000n2y | DIAZ JORGE | field |
| 2 | SHUDABEENACOWGIRLCASTILLO A | 15.0 | P | Trouble lastSame trip2025-12-18 PRX 4f 50.60 B MT ft 53/99; 2025-10-28 PRX 3f 36.00 B MT ft 1/3 · barn: same as last | fClm5000n2y → Clm 5000n2y | GALLIMORE TREVOR | field |
| 7 | DOWNANDDIRTYDONNAORELLANA SEBASTIAN | 20.0 | C | Rising figsSame trip2026-09-04 PRX 4f 51.60 B MT gd 19/19; 2026-05-27 DEL 4f 51.40 B MT gd 26/27 · barn: same as last | fClm5000n3l → Clm 5000n2y | GALLIMORE TREVOR | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEPRX R6 · 2026-09-29 · Dirt 1320y · Clm 5000n2y
- SHAPEWall of early speed (#10 #5 #9) sets honest/duel pace; stalkers and closers best positioned in A and B; Posts 8+ show 0% winners in bias sample
- CHALKFavorite#10 BLOODY COLORS WAVE · usable but short · top fig and class drop but post 10 with no bias support, faces two other front-runners, 2nd off layoff price already thin at ML 3
- LEANWinner call#6 DONT TELL TAMMO · primed stalker, rising figs, trouble last, clean path behind the duel from post 6
- PRIMED#5 PROBLEMATICA (rising figs 52→74, 3rd start cycle, led last — but still a speed horse facing the duel); #6 DONT TELL TAMMO (rising figs, trouble last, stalker path in A and B)
- PRICE#5 PROBLEMATICA edge 0.020 at ML 4 (only model overlay outside chalk; marginal)
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS — #5 edge is slim (0.020) and the horse is a front-runner heading into the same duel that should hurt it; no non-chalk horse clears a confident price threshold
- KILL#10 clears cleanly from post 10 on a speed-favoring surface shift; duel does not materialize; #6 loses ground wide
- MISSINGLive tote, official scratches, weather/track condition update, rider changes
Why
Dirt sprint at $5k claiming level against n2y restrictions, field of 10, moderate-to-high volatility given the wall of early speed and a deep closer contingent. Three horses pressing for the lead (#10, #5, #9) from wide posts 5, 9, and 10 sets up an honest-to-duel pace that should flatten the front end and leave the race to stalkers and closers — chalk #10 BLOODY COLORS WAVE (ML 3) owns the top fig but ships to a speed duel from post 10 with a negative pace bias on that post, making it usable but short. #6 DONT TELL TAMMO (ML 4.5, primed: rising figs 64→74, trouble last "steady rally; just up," stalker style) sits right behind the anticipated duel from post 6 with a clean inside-out path in scenarios A and B. ``` ```
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printPrice / ready board
Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.
Price overlays
Ready, not overlaid
Full field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | BLOODY COLORS WAVE | 3.0 | 17.9% | 21.6% | +3.7% | 1.01 | E | favorite2nd off layoffTag dropLed lastBarn changeTop last figSame trip | — |
| 5 | PROBLEMATICA | 4.0 | 14.3% | 16.4% | +2.0% | 0.79 | E | Rising figs3rd start cycleLed lastSame trip | — |
| 8 | SOFSTER | 3.5 | 15.9% | 13.7% | -2.2% | -0.34 | C | Rising figsTag dropSame trip | — |
| 6 | DONT TELL TAMMO | 4.5 | 13.0% | 13.4% | +0.4% | 0.37 | S | Rising figsTrouble lastSame trip | — |
| 4 | SOCIETY BALL | 5.0 | 11.9% | 10.8% | -1.2% | -0.15 | P | Rising figsSame trip | — |
| 9 | GOLDEN PHILLY | 10.0 | 6.5% | 7.3% | +0.8% | 0.70 | EP | Rising figsSame trip | — |
| 1 | SOLEMN OATH | 8.0 | 8.0% | 7.0% | -1.0% | -0.26 | C | 3rd start cycleSame trip | — |
| 3 | GIAS FUEGO | 15.0 | 4.5% | 3.7% | -0.7% | -0.47 | C | Rising figsSame trip | — |
| 2 | SHUDABEENACOWGIRL | 15.0 | 4.5% | 3.7% | -0.8% | -0.56 | P | Trouble lastSame trip | — |
| 7 | DOWNANDDIRTYDONNA | 20.0 | 3.4% | 2.4% | -1.0% | -1.09 | C | Rising figsSame trip | — |