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MNR R4 · 2026-10-11

PASSD1760y1 readyPLAY passRace Simulator →MC Exotics →Expert handicap ↓Results →After the races
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Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find MNR R4 · 2026-10-11 on their board.

Expert handicap

LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.

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Pace map

Two-speed duel risk (#1 vs #8)

Pressure high. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.

  1. C1#1GOOD HOLIDAYEP
  2. C2#5POWER PARTYS
  3. C3#3BLUMOON FIREP
  4. C4#4FACE OF SHADOWSS
  5. C5#6SUMMER FOREVERC
  6. C6#8ROUND IN CIRCLESEP
  7. C7#7MY ANGEL DOESC
  8. C8#2SECOND BESTC
A · Likely — expected flow

Honest pace among #1 GOOD HOLIDAY and #8 ROUND IN CIRCLES. Ability decides if they do not empty.

Helps #3 BLUMOON FIRE, #5 POWER PARTY, #4 FACE OF SHADOWS · hurts #1 GOOD HOLIDAY, #8 ROUND IN CIRCLES

B · Pressure — duel / honest

Pressure: #1 GOOD HOLIDAY and #8 ROUND IN CIRCLES hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.

Helps #3 BLUMOON FIRE, #5 POWER PARTY, #4 FACE OF SHADOWS · hurts #1 GOOD HOLIDAY, #8 ROUND IN CIRCLES

C · Chaos — collapse

Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#5 POWER PARTY, #4 FACE OF SHADOWS, #6 SUMMER FOREVER, #7 MY ANGEL DOES, #2 SECOND BEST).

Helps #5 POWER PARTY, #4 FACE OF SHADOWS, #6 SUMMER FOREVER, #7 MY ANGEL DOES, #2 SECOND BEST · hurts #1 GOOD HOLIDAY, #8 ROUND IN CIRCLES

Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.

#HorseMLStyleReadyClassBarnRole
5POWER PARTYBATISTA LUIS ALBERTO2.0STag drop2026-06-11 TDN 5f 62.80 B MT ft bullet 1/9; 2026-05-26 TDN 4f 48.60 B MT ft 6/29 · barn: same as lastfClm7500n2l → Clm 4000n2xROMERO OSCARFavorite
6SUMMER FOREVEROLIVEROS CHARLE3.0CTop last paceSame trip2026-10-05 PID 4f 52.20 B MT ft 4/4; 2026-07-31 PID 4f 52.60 B MT ft 20/21 · barn: same as lastfClm4000n2x → Clm 4000n2xFENNESSY JOHNfield
3BLUMOON FIRENEGRON LUIS3.5PRising figsLed lastTop last fig2026-07-10 CNL 3f 35.60 B MT ft bullet 1/11; 2026-05-31 GP 3f 36.80 B MT ft 12/33 · barn: same as lastfMd4000 → Clm 4000n2xBERNARDINI JAY Pfield
1GOOD HOLIDAYTAPARA LUIS6.0EPRising figsClass drop2026-04-21 MNR 4f 49.40 Bg MT ft 10/16; 2026-04-04 MNR 3f 38.40 B D MT sy 3/11 · barn: same as lastfsAlw20160n3l → Clm 4000n2xMARTINEZ TOMASprimed
4FACE OF SHADOWSLEON JOSE A8.0STag drop2026-05-26 MNR 4f 48.80 B MT ft 5/23; 2026-05-10 MNR 4f 49.40 B D MT my 3/10 · barn: same as lastfClm15000n2x → Clm 4000n2xGOTERA JUAN CARLOSfield
2SECOND BESTATHERTON JONATHON R10.0CTag dropSame trip2026-07-03 MNR 4f 50.00 B MT ft 3/5; 2026-05-28 PRX 4f 50.00 B MT ft 13/19 · barn: same as lastfClm10000n2x → Clm 4000n2xPESSANHA NEYfield
7MY ANGEL DOESGOMEZ ALEJANDRO15.0CTag drop2026-07-08 MNR 4f 49.60 B MT ft 6/18; 2026-06-17 MNR 4f 50.00 B MT ft 18/29 · barn: same as lastfClm10000n2x → Clm 4000n2xGOMEZ ALEJANDROfield
8ROUND IN CIRCLESBARRIOS RICARDO20.0EPRising figs2026-04-07 MNR 4f 50.00 B MT ft 24/37; 2025-04-02 EVD 4f 52.60 Bg MT ft 48/51 · barn: same as lastfClm4000n2x → Clm 4000n2xFLORES CHRISTIfield

From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.

PLAY passPass — no tote needed
  1. RACEMNR R4 · 2026-10-11 · Dirt 1760y · Clm 4000n2x
  2. SHAPETwo-speed duel (#1/#8); honest-to-hot pace; stalkers/pressers favored in A and B
  3. CHALKFavorite#5 POWER PARTY · solid · best speed/pace figures, class drop, clean stalking trip off the duel; just too short to play
  4. LEANWinner call#5 POWER PARTY
  5. PRIMED#1 GOOD HOLIDAY (rising figs, class drop) — path exists in A/B at rail; route record and zero model edge limit conviction
  6. PRICEnone (no non-chalk overlay clears; sheet rec PASS)
  7. PLAYPrice ticketPASS
  8. KILL#5 bounces off Sept 24 failed effort; #1 loops wide and wastes the drop; pace collapses early and closers inherit
  9. MISSINGlive tote, official scratches, weather/track variant day-of, rider changes

Why

Dirt route, $4,000 claiming N2X at Mountaineer, eight horses, moderate-to-high volatility given a deep class drop field and figure ceilings in the low-to-mid 60s. Shape is a two-speed duel (#1 GOOD HOLIDAY vs #8 ROUND IN CIRCLES) that should cook the front and set up stalkers, with chalk #5 POWER PARTY (ML 2) the best-placed beneficiary from the middle of the pack — solid favorite, no overlay. Sheet-flagged primed #1 GOOD HOLIDAY has rising figs and a steep drop from allowance company, draws the rail, and has an A/B path as pace-pressuring EP, but its route record is poor (6.25% wins, -1.51 ROI) and the model shows zero edge at 6-1 ML.

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Tote field

Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.

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Practice ticket

Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.

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Price / ready board

Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.

Ready, not overlaid

#1 GOOD HOLIDAYML 6.0Rising figsClass drop

Full field

#HorseML Mkt% Model% Edge Signal StyleSheet Result
5POWER PARTY2.026.4%29.7%+3.2%0.82SfavoriteTag drop—
6SUMMER FOREVER3.019.8%21.8%+1.9%0.74CTop last paceSame trip—
3BLUMOON FIRE3.517.6%16.8%-0.8%0.17PRising figsLed lastTop last fig—
1GOOD HOLIDAY6.011.3%11.4%+0.0%0.38EPRising figsClass drop—
4FACE OF SHADOWS8.08.8%7.6%-1.3%-0.25STag drop—
2SECOND BEST10.07.2%5.8%-1.4%-0.48CTag dropSame trip—
7MY ANGEL DOES15.05.0%4.6%-0.4%0.05CTag drop—
8ROUND IN CIRCLES20.03.8%2.4%-1.4%-1.43EPRising figs—