PID R8 · 2026-09-28
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find PID R8 · 2026-09-28 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Lone speed #1 APICTURESWORTH
Pressure moderate. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#1APICTURESWORTHE
- C2#7KATHLYNS PHALANXP
- C3#3TOO MUCH FUNP
- C4#2LADY OF LORDSC
- C5#9RED HAIRED GALC
- C6#11GOLDEN DOGECOINC
- C7#4LILLESANDC
- C8#6GUSS GALC
- C9#8CHANNEL ME INC
- C10#10STARCRYS
- C11#12STEADY FLOC
- C12#5QUITE CONTINENTALC
#1 APICTURESWORTH controls. Closers need a melt that does not come.
Helps #1 APICTURESWORTH · hurts #2 LADY OF LORDS, #9 RED HAIRED GAL, #11 GOLDEN DOGECOIN, #4 LILLESAND, #6 GUSS GAL, #8 CHANNEL ME IN, #10 STARCRY, #12 STEADY FLO, #5 QUITE CONTINENTAL
Someone presses #1 APICTURESWORTH. Soft-lead thesis dies.
Helps #7 KATHLYNS PHALANX, #3 TOO MUCH FUN, #10 STARCRY · hurts #1 APICTURESWORTH
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#2 LADY OF LORDS, #9 RED HAIRED GAL, #11 GOLDEN DOGECOIN, #4 LILLESAND, #6 GUSS GAL, #8 CHANNEL ME IN, #10 STARCRY, #12 STEADY FLO, #5 QUITE CONTINENTAL).
Helps #2 LADY OF LORDS, #9 RED HAIRED GAL, #11 GOLDEN DOGECOIN, #4 LILLESAND, #6 GUSS GAL, #8 CHANNEL ME IN, #10 STARCRY, #12 STEADY FLO, #5 QUITE CONTINENTAL · hurts #1 APICTURESWORTH
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | TOO MUCH FUNALLEN M | 3.0 | P | Rising figsLed lastTop last paceSame trip2026-08-07 PID 4f 53.80 B MT ft 8/12; 2026-07-03 SPC 4f 52.00 B MT ft 2/2 · barn: same as last | fClm6250n2l → Clm 6250n2l | FENNESSY JOHN | Favorite |
| 2 | LADY OF LORDSMARTINEZ GADDIEL A | 4.0 | C | Rising figs3rd start cycleLed lastSame trip2026-08-07 PEN 5f 62.00 B MT ft 1/1; 2026-07-30 PEN 4f 47.00 B MT ft 3/9 · barn: same as last | fMd16000 → Clm 6250n2l | KULP BRANDON L | primed |
| 1 | APICTURESWORTHDIAZ SUNDAY JR | 3.5 | E | Rising figsTag dropTop last figSame trip2026-08-28 CT 6f 77.80 B MT ft 1/1; 2026-05-02 CT 3f 36.00 B MT ft 3/28 · barn: same as last | fClm16000n2l → Clm 6250n2l | FIGGINS OLLIE L III | field |
| 6 | GUSS GALROJAS MARTINA | 4.5 | C | —2026-05-18 PID 3f 37.40 B MT ft 7/7; 2026-04-10 KEE 4f 49.80 B MT ft 35/59 · barn: same as last | fClm6250n2l → Clm 6250n2l | PAPPADA MICHAEL C | field |
| 11 | GOLDEN DOGECOINGALLARDO ANTONIO A | 6.0 | C | —2026-09-03 PID 4f 49.80 B MT ft 6/13; 2026-08-26 PID 5f 59.80 B MT ft 2/2 · barn: same as last | fClm6250n2l → Clm 6250n2l | KINTZ S MATTHEW | field |
| 7 | KATHLYNS PHALANXKINGSLEY TAYLOR | 8.0 | P | Rising figsSame trip2026-06-05 PID 4f 47.40 B MT ft 2/14; 2026-05-27 PID 4f 48.20 B MT ft 5/9 · barn: same as last | fClm6250n2l → Clm 6250n2l | CARR-ROZANTZ CATHY | field |
| 12 | STEADY FLODELGADO DAVID | 10.0 | C | Rising figsSame trip2026-05-22 PID 4f 49.80 B MT ft 23/27; 2026-03-10 TAM 4f 48.40 B MT ft 4/35 · barn: same as last | fClm6250n2l → Clm 6250n2l | SPANABEL KELLY R | field |
| 8 | CHANNEL ME INAYALA ADDIEL J | 12.0 | C | Same trip2026-09-11 PID 4f 49.20 B MT ft 13/20; 2026-05-28 PID 5f 63.00 B MT ft 5/7 · barn: same as last | fClm6250n2l → Clm 6250n2l | MORRELL JUSTIN R | field |
| 4 | LILLESANDRODRIGUEZ ISRAEL O | 15.0 | C | Same trip2026-08-13 PID 4f 51.00 B MT ft 14/15; 2026-05-18 PID 4f 49.60 B MT ft 23/24 · barn: same as last | fClm6250n2l → Clm 6250n2l | PAPPADA MICHAEL C | field |
| 9 | RED HAIRED GALSEVERINO VICTOR | 15.0 | C | Same trip2026-05-16 PRX 4f 50.00 B MT ft 29/37; 2026-03-28 PRX 4f 47.00 B MT ft bullet 1/51 · barn: same as last | fClm6250n2l → Clm 6250n2l | BAEZ RALPH N | field |
| 10 | STARCRYGONZALEZ ALEX | 20.0 | S | Rising figs3rd start cycleSame trip2026-08-09 PID 4f 49.80 B MT ft 5/7; 2026-07-31 PID 3f 36.20 B MT ft 2/5 · barn: same as last | fClm6250n2l → Clm 6250n2l | MCKINLEY MARY R | primed |
| 5 | QUITE CONTINENTALMONTANEZ ROSARIO | 20.0 | C | 3rd start cycleSame trip2026-09-21 PID 4f 50.20 B MT ft 9/15; 2026-09-09 PID 3f 36.60 B MT ft 1/2 · barn: same as last | fClm6250n2l → Clm 6250n2l | DAVIS SCOOTER | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEPID R8 · 2026-09-28 · Dirt 1830y Clm 6250n2l
- SHAPELone speed #1 APICTURESWORTH from the rail; bias strongly favors early inside; 10 closers need pace they may not get
- CHALKFavorite#3 TOO MUCH FUN · short · best figures and presser role gives a path in Scenario B, but 3-1 is not a price in a 12-horse claimer
- LEANWinner call#3 TOO MUCH FUN · chalk, best cycle, top LP last out, same trip, post 3 suits the inside bias
- PRIMED#2 LADY OF LORDS (rising figs 64→68, third-start cycle, led last, class drop from Md16k); #10 STARCRY (rising figs, third-start cycle — but figs top at 50, trainer 0-for-everything at routes, discard as win threat)
- PRICE#2 LADY OF LORDS · edge 0.025 · needs 5-1 minimum; below that, pass
- PLAYPrice ticket#2 LADY OF LORDS · win · minimum 5-1 · PASS if board is shorter
- KILLTurf-to-dirt switch misfires; #1 APICTURESWORTH controls wire-to-wire on the bias and the lone-speed lone-presser scenario never opens a gap for closers; #2's last dirt line is a walkoff scratch
- MISSINGLive tote, official scratches, weather/track variant, rider changes after ingest
Why
Dirt route claiming field of 12 at Presque Isle with lone speed, inside bias, and closers needing pace that may never materialize — moderate-to-high volatility given the 12-horse field and a track that favors early speed heavily (67% E winners, 0% wins from posts 8+). #1 APICTURESWORTH controls from the rail in Scenario A; #3 TOO MUCH FUN (chalk, post 3, presser) has the best figure and form but needs either a duel or a clean press trip to fire, and at 3-1 it is short; #2 LADY OF LORDS is the primed closer with rising figs (64→68), third-start cycle, and a trainer who hits 29% third off the layoff with positive ROI — path opens only if fractions empty in B/C, but post 2 gives a clean inside stalking lane even in Scenario A if #1 softens. #2 LADY OF LORDS has two clean ready flags (rising figs + third-start cycle), dropped from maiden $16k into a $6,250 claimer, ran on the lead last at PEN turf and now switches to PID dirt route with a barn that shows 30.5% in claiming and 27.4% in routes — the key concern is the turf-to-dirt switch, but the March 2026 dirt line (walked off) is a blank, not a collapse, and the LP of 75 last out shows late energy.
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
PLAY is a look. Stamp the board so after official we can grade an action, not a morning-line wish.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printPrice / ready board
Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.
Price overlays
Ready, not overlaid
Full field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | TOO MUCH FUN | 3.0 | 16.7% | 19.1% | +2.4% | 0.88 | P | favoriteRising figsLed lastTop last paceSame trip | — |
| 2 | LADY OF LORDS | 4.0 | 13.4% | 15.9% | +2.5% | 1.03 | C | Rising figs3rd start cycleLed lastSame trip | — |
| 1 | APICTURESWORTH | 3.5 | 14.9% | 13.4% | -1.4% | -0.07 | E | Rising figsTag dropTop last figSame trip | — |
| 6 | GUSS GAL | 4.5 | 12.2% | 11.6% | -0.6% | 0.15 | C | — | |
| 11 | GOLDEN DOGECOIN | 6.0 | 9.5% | 9.4% | -0.1% | 0.28 | C | — | |
| 7 | KATHLYNS PHALANX | 8.0 | 7.4% | 8.7% | +1.3% | 0.96 | P | Rising figsSame trip | — |
| 12 | STEADY FLO | 10.0 | 6.1% | 5.2% | -0.9% | -0.27 | C | Rising figsSame trip | — |
| 8 | CHANNEL ME IN | 12.0 | 5.1% | 5.0% | -0.1% | 0.25 | C | Same trip | — |
| 4 | LILLESAND | 15.0 | 4.2% | 3.9% | -0.3% | 0.01 | C | Same trip | — |
| 9 | RED HAIRED GAL | 15.0 | 4.2% | 3.8% | -0.4% | -0.04 | C | Same trip | — |
| 10 | STARCRY | 20.0 | 3.2% | 2.3% | -0.9% | -1.02 | S | Rising figs3rd start cycleSame trip | — |
| 5 | QUITE CONTINENTAL | 20.0 | 3.2% | 1.7% | -1.5% | -2.16 | C | 3rd start cycleSame trip | — |