IND R6 · 2026-09-28
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find IND R6 · 2026-09-28 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
No dedicated early — closers need collapse
Pressure moderate. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#7RED CLAY RUNAWAYUU
- C2#5MO RAMBOUU
- C3#6HES SPUN TO RUNUU
- C4#4CHIEF OF CHANGEUU
- C5#3COMEONWITHITC
- C6#8NORDIC PRINCEC
- C7#2MY PAL PATRONC
- C8#1TRICKED YOUC
No dedicated early. Crawl likely. One-run closers may never get a target.
Helps — · hurts —
A surprise early type appears. The crawl map is wrong.
Helps #3 COMEONWITHIT, #8 NORDIC PRINCE, #2 MY PAL PATRON, #1 TRICKED YOU · hurts —
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#3 COMEONWITHIT, #8 NORDIC PRINCE, #2 MY PAL PATRON, #1 TRICKED YOU).
Helps #3 COMEONWITHIT, #8 NORDIC PRINCE, #2 MY PAL PATRON, #1 TRICKED YOU · hurts —
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TRICKED YOUSHEEHY DANNY | 2.0 | C | 2nd off layoffSame trip2026-09-16 IND 4f 50.00 B MT ft 11/24; 2026-08-14 CDT 3f 37.40 Bg MT ft 4/8 · barn: same as last | sMdSpWt → Md Sp Wt | LAUER MICHAEL | Favorite |
| 4 | CHIEF OF CHANGEPEDROZA MARCELINO | 4.0 | U | Same trip2026-08-26 IND 4f 49.20 Bg MT ft 10/20; 2026-08-19 IND 4f 52.80 B MT ft 47/52 · barn: same as last | sMdSpWt → Md Sp Wt | GARCIA GENARO | field |
| 2 | MY PAL PATRONDE LA CRUZ FERNANDO | 5.0 | C | Rising figsTop last fig2026-08-04 IND 4f 47.00 B MT ft bullet 1/40; 2026-07-04 IND 4f 47.80 B MT ft 2/17 · barn: same as last | sMdSpWt → Md Sp Wt | EGGLESTON TIM | field |
| 7 | RED CLAY RUNAWAYBEALMEAR JOSEPH C | 6.0 | U | Top last pace2026-09-19 IND 4f 49.00 B MT ft 7/19; 2026-08-28 IND 4f 47.60 B MT ft 4/52 · barn: same as last | sMdSpWt → Md Sp Wt | MATTHEWS RANDY | field |
| 8 | NORDIC PRINCEMENDOZA AMIR | 5.0 | C | Same trip2026-08-06 IND 3f 37.00 Bg MT ft bullet 1/9; 2026-07-27 IND 5f 61.40 B MT ft bullet 1/5 · barn: same as last | sMdSpWt → Md Sp Wt | HARAN JOHN | field |
| 5 | MO RAMBOMURRILL MITCHELL | 6.0 | U | Sharp work2026-09-15 IND 4f 47.00 Bg MT ft bullet 1/55; 2026-08-28 IND 4f 48.80 Bg MT ft 12/52 · barn: BAILEY JUSTIN (no last-line barn) | — → Md Sp Wt | BAILEY JUSTIN | field |
| 6 | HES SPUN TO RUNSANJUR SANTO | 15.0 | U | —2026-09-23 IND 3f 39.20 B MT ft 15/19; 2026-09-11 IND 3f 39.40 B MT ft 5/6 · barn: same as last | sMdSpWt → Md Sp Wt | DURAN ANTONIO | field |
| 3 | COMEONWITHITCRISPIN ALEXANDER | 20.0 | C | —2026-09-23 IND 4f 51.20 B MT ft 37/46; 2026-08-14 IND 4f 49.80 B MT my 3/6 · barn: same as last | sMdSpWt → Md Sp Wt | FOSDICK STEVE | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEIND R6 · 2026-09-28 · Dirt 1760y Md Sp Wt
- SHAPENo early speed — crawl expected; all closers need something to chase
- CHALKFavorite#1 TRICKED YOU · solid-but-short · 2nd off layoff, best signal, lone positive model edge; nothing live to beat it
- LEANWinner call#1 TRICKED YOU · sheet's winner call
- PRIMEDnone (chalk is the only horse with 2+ flags)
- PRICEno price (zero non-chalk overlays)
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS
- KILLSurprise early type scrambles the crawl map; #2 MY PAL PATRON's top fig fires first time routing at a price
- MISSINGlive tote, official scratches, weather, rider changes
Why
Dirt route maiden special at IND, eight-runner field with no dedicated early speed and all four pace-assigned horses coded as closers — high volatility, crawl scenario the most likely shape. Chalk #1 TRICKED YOU (2-1) is 2nd off the layoff with a steady route trip last out and the model's only positive overlay, making it the functional standout in a field that offers nothing else with stacked signals. No non-chalk horse clears two ready flags with a pace path; #2 MY PAL PATRON shows rising figs (57 over 52) and top field fig but is route-debutant and has no overlay. ``` ```
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printFull field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TRICKED YOU | 2.0 | 26.4% | 28.9% | +2.5% | 0.60 | C | favorite2nd off layoffSame trip | — |
| 4 | CHIEF OF CHANGE | 4.0 | 15.8% | 15.4% | -0.5% | 0.12 | U | Same trip | — |
| 2 | MY PAL PATRON | 5.0 | 13.2% | 13.9% | +0.7% | 0.46 | C | Rising figsTop last fig | — |
| 7 | RED CLAY RUNAWAY | 6.0 | 11.3% | 12.6% | +1.2% | 0.65 | U | Top last pace | — |
| 8 | NORDIC PRINCE | 5.0 | 13.2% | 12.0% | -1.2% | -0.16 | C | Same trip | — |
| 5 | MO RAMBO | 6.0 | 11.3% | 10.7% | -0.7% | 0.00 | U | Sharp work | — |
| 6 | HES SPUN TO RUN | 15.0 | 5.0% | 3.4% | -1.6% | -1.31 | U | — | |
| 3 | COMEONWITHIT | 20.0 | 3.8% | 3.2% | -0.5% | -0.37 | C | — |