TUP R7 · 2026-01-15

PASSD1430y1 readyRace Simulator →MC Exotics →Expert handicap ↓Results →After the races

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Expert handicap

LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.

Pace map

Two-speed duel risk (#2 vs #1)

Pressure high. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.

C1#2FAST CHAZE
C2#1FROSTEDBIRDEP
C3#9GODSENDP
C4#12GENERAL THAYERP
C5#6PESOP
C6#3SHACKLEFORD STRONGS
C7#11EL DIAMANTE NEGROS
C8#5CROSS THE CAUSEWAYS
C9#8HAIL STATEC
C10#10SILVER DASHC
C11#7BIG TICKETS
C12#4JULLIAN IN PARISC

A · Likely — expected flow

Honest pace among #2 FAST CHAZ and #1 FROSTEDBIRD. Ability decides if they do not empty.

Helps #9 GODSEND, #12 GENERAL THAYER, #6 PESO, #3 SHACKLEFORD STRONG, #11 EL DIAMANTE NEGRO, #5 CROSS THE CAUSEWAY, #7 BIG TICKET · hurts #2 FAST CHAZ, #1 FROSTEDBIRD

B · Pressure — duel / honest

Pressure: #2 FAST CHAZ and #1 FROSTEDBIRD hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.

Helps #9 GODSEND, #12 GENERAL THAYER, #6 PESO, #3 SHACKLEFORD STRONG, #11 EL DIAMANTE NEGRO, #5 CROSS THE CAUSEWAY, #7 BIG TICKET · hurts #2 FAST CHAZ, #1 FROSTEDBIRD

C · Chaos — collapse

Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#3 SHACKLEFORD STRONG, #11 EL DIAMANTE NEGRO, #5 CROSS THE CAUSEWAY, #8 HAIL STATE, #10 SILVER DASH, #7 BIG TICKET, #4 JULLIAN IN PARIS).

Helps #3 SHACKLEFORD STRONG, #11 EL DIAMANTE NEGRO, #5 CROSS THE CAUSEWAY, #8 HAIL STATE, #10 SILVER DASH, #7 BIG TICKET, #4 JULLIAN IN PARIS · hurts #2 FAST CHAZ, #1 FROSTEDBIRD

Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.

#	Horse	ML	Style	Ready	Class	Barn	Role
3	SHACKLEFORD STRONGRODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO	3.0	S	Same trip2025-12-23 TUP 3f 39.80 H MT ft 21/21; 2025-10-10 HAW 4f 50.40 B MT ft 15/18 · barn: same as last	OC16000n1x → Clm 6250b	RODRIGUEZ HUGO	Favorite
9	GODSENDMCGREGOR KIAMAN	4.0	P	Tag dropBarn changeSame trip2025-09-27 ALB 5f 61.60 H MT ft 8/11; 2025-08-16 RP 5f 62.80 H MT ft 22/33 · barn: change vs CHAMBERS MIKE	Clm8000bc → Clm 6250b	ROSALES JORGE	field
10	SILVER DASHVERGARA D P	6.0	C	2nd off layoffTag dropSame trip2025-12-18 TUP 4f 48.80 H MT ft 29/52; 2025-12-08 TUP 5f 61.00 H MT ft 15/28 · barn: same as last	Clm8000b → Clm 6250b	MARTINEZ ESTEBAN	field
11	EL DIAMANTE NEGROCORBETT G W	8.0	S	Hidden paceClass dropSame trip2025-06-01 EMD 4f 48.40 B MT ft 18/38; 2025-04-27 SA 3f 36.00 H MT ft 4/29 · barn: same as last	Alw5000s → Clm 6250b	TUBBS SCOTT	primed
4	JULLIAN IN PARISENRIQUEZ I D	8.0	C	Rising figsTag drop2026-01-07 TUP 5f 59.60 H MT ft 4/25; 2025-12-30 TUP 5f 60.80 H MT ft 7/13 · barn: same as last	Clm8000n3l → Clm 6250b	LUCARELLI FRANK	field
1	FROSTEDBIRDAMERICANO MANUEL	8.0	EP	—2026-01-11 TUP 5f 62.20 H MT ft 11/14; 2025-12-29 TUP 5f 61.20 Hg MT ft 4/19 · barn: same as last	OC16000n1x → Clm 6250b	ANDERSON GONZALO	field
2	FAST CHAZCRUZ ALEX M	12.0	E	Tag dropLed lastBarn change2025-11-02 TUP 5f 62.40 H MT ft 8/8; 2025-10-26 TUP 4f 48.80 H MT ft 4/10 · barn: change vs ROSALES JORGE	Clm8000b → Clm 6250b	GUILLEN ISAURO M	field
5	CROSS THE CAUSEWAYLEAHEY HANNAH	12.0	S	Tag drop2025-11-06 TUP 4f 47.40 H MT ft 18/61; 2025-10-30 TUP 4f 51.80 H MT ft 76/77 · barn: same as last	Clm8000b → Clm 6250b	ESSEX CHARLES	field
6	PESOMONTALVO C	15.0	P	2nd off layoffTag dropTop last paceSame trip2026-01-06 TUP 4f 48.60 H MT ft 19/32; 2025-11-28 TUP 5f 60.00 H MT ft bullet 1/11 · barn: same as last	Clm10000b → Clm 6250b	PEERY DEBBIE	field
7	BIG TICKETPARRIS SACHIN	15.0	S	Tag dropBarn changeTop last figSame trip2026-01-07 TUP 4f 47.80 H MT ft 11/43; 2025-11-29 TUP 3f 36.80 H MT ft 10/21 · barn: change vs ANDERSON WENDY	Clm7500c → Clm 6250b	LAING SHERRY	field
12	GENERAL THAYERTIMENTWA TALLIYAH	15.0	P	3rd start cycleBarn changeSame trip2025-11-10 TUP 3f 37.60 H MT ft 13/17; 2025-10-26 TUP 3f 36.60 H MT ft 4/10 · barn: change vs WHEELER TRAVIS	Clm4000bc → Clm 6250b	WOOLLEY BENNIE L JR	field
8	HAIL STATENUNNALLY BLAKE	20.0	C	Same trip2025-10-26 ARP 4f 52.80 B MT ft 8/10; 2025-10-17 ARP 4f 49.00 B MT ft bullet 1/5 · barn: same as last	Clm4000b → Clm 6250b	LAVANWAY DAYSON	field

From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.

Tote field

Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.

Practice ticket

Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.

Price / ready board

Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.

Ready, not overlaid

#11 EL DIAMANTE NEGROML 8.0Hidden paceClass dropSame trip

Full field

#	Horse	ML	Mkt%	Model%	Edge	Signal	Style	Sheet	Result
3	SHACKLEFORD STRONG	3.0	19.0%	23.7%	+4.7%	1.04	S	favoriteSame trip	8
9	GODSEND	4.0	15.2%	15.8%	+0.6%	0.31	P	Tag dropBarn changeSame trip	WIN
10	SILVER DASH	6.0	10.9%	10.2%	-0.7%	-0.10	C	2nd off layoffTag dropSame trip	7
11	EL DIAMANTE NEGRO	8.0	8.4%	8.1%	-0.4%	-0.02	S	Hidden paceClass dropSame trip	3
4	JULLIAN IN PARIS	8.0	8.4%	7.5%	-1.0%	-0.33	C	Rising figsTag drop	9
1	FROSTEDBIRD	8.0	8.4%	6.3%	-2.1%	-0.99	EP		6
2	FAST CHAZ	12.0	5.8%	5.7%	-0.1%	0.09	E	Tag dropLed lastBarn change	12
5	CROSS THE CAUSEWAY	12.0	5.8%	5.2%	-0.6%	-0.30	S	Tag drop	5
6	PESO	15.0	4.8%	5.0%	+0.2%	0.34	P	2nd off layoffTag dropTop last paceSame trip	4
7	BIG TICKET	15.0	4.8%	4.7%	-0.0%	0.13	S	Tag dropBarn changeTop last figSame trip	10
12	GENERAL THAYER	15.0	4.8%	4.3%	-0.4%	-0.19	P	3rd start cycleBarn changeSame trip	11
8	HAIL STATE	20.0	3.6%	3.5%	-0.1%	0.03	C	Same trip	2