DEL R1 · 2026-10-09
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find DEL R1 · 2026-10-09 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Wall of early / pressers (#3 #7 #5)
Pressure high. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#3NIGHT OF MAGICE
- C2#7AMERICAS POINTEP
- C3#5ONE LAST BULLETEP
- C4#2GEOSTOBLAMEC
- C5#1LINOS FIREC
- C6#6POWER WRENCHC
- C7#4ITSALLJUSTADREAMC
Honest pace among #3 NIGHT OF MAGIC and #7 AMERICAS POINT and #5 ONE LAST BULLET. Ability decides if they do not empty.
Helps #3 NIGHT OF MAGIC, #7 AMERICAS POINT, #5 ONE LAST BULLET · hurts #3 NIGHT OF MAGIC, #7 AMERICAS POINT, #5 ONE LAST BULLET
Pressure: #3 NIGHT OF MAGIC and #7 AMERICAS POINT and #5 ONE LAST BULLET hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.
Helps #2 GEOSTOBLAME, #1 LINOS FIRE, #6 POWER WRENCH, #4 ITSALLJUSTADREAM · hurts #3 NIGHT OF MAGIC, #7 AMERICAS POINT, #5 ONE LAST BULLET
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#2 GEOSTOBLAME, #1 LINOS FIRE, #6 POWER WRENCH, #4 ITSALLJUSTADREAM).
Helps #2 GEOSTOBLAME, #1 LINOS FIRE, #6 POWER WRENCH, #4 ITSALLJUSTADREAM · hurts #3 NIGHT OF MAGIC, #7 AMERICAS POINT, #5 ONE LAST BULLET
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | GEOSTOBLAMEROSARIO EMANUEL | 1.2 | C | Rising figsBarn changeSame trip2026-10-03 PRX 4f 47.60 Bg MT ft 12/55; 2026-09-16 PRX 4f 48.00 B MT ft 7/28 · barn: change vs PLETCHER TODD A | OC45000 → OClm 16000 | NESS JAMIE | Favorite |
| 3 | NIGHT OF MAGICCHEMINAUD VINCENT | 3.0 | E | Rising figsLed lastTop last figTop last pace2026-08-28 CNL 4f 52.80 B MT ft 12/12; 2026-07-25 CNL 3f 37.00 B MT ft 10/14 · barn: same as last | OC16000 → OClm 16000 | MCGOEY MONICA | overlay |
| 1 | LINOS FIRECORUJO WILFREDO | 5.0 | C | Rising figsSame trip2026-10-03 LRL 4f 50.40 B MT gd 21/31; 2026-09-20 LRL 3f 38.00 B MT ft 15/30 · barn: same as last | OC16000 → OClm 16000 | HARTING CHRIS R | field |
| 7 | AMERICAS POINTRAMOS JATNIEL | 6.0 | EP | Rising figs2nd off layoffSame trip2026-09-12 DEL 4f 50.40 B MT ft 32/54; 2026-09-05 DEL 4f 49.00 B MT ft 6/70 · barn: same as last | Md16000 → OClm 16000 | ROBERTSON MCLEAN | primed |
| 6 | POWER WRENCHRIOS JESUS M | 12.0 | C | 3rd start cycleSame trip2026-08-29 DEL 4f 50.80 B MT ft 25/40; 2026-08-19 DEL 4f 51.20 B MT ft 31/33 · barn: same as last | OC20000 → OClm 16000 | DYE STEVEN | field |
| 5 | ONE LAST BULLETLUNA PAUL A | 10.0 | EP | —2026-09-11 DEL 4f 48.00 B MT ft bullet 1/11; 2026-08-08 DEL 4f 48.80 B MT ft 9/71 · barn: same as last | OC25000 → OClm 16000 | SHAW CHRISTOPHER T | field |
| 4 | ITSALLJUSTADREAMGOMEZ JOSE ANTONIO | 12.0 | C | Same trip2026-10-01 MTH 4f 51.60 B MT ft 26/27; 2026-08-15 MTH 4f 49.00 B MT ft 13/30 · barn: same as last | sOC15000n1x → OClm 16000 | HUSTON RORY K | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEDEL R1 · 2026-10-09 · Dirt 1760y · OClm 16000
- SHAPEThree-way speed duel projected (#3 #7 #5); rail bias + duel scenario sets up closers; pace collapse likely
- CHALKFavorite#2 GEOSTOBLAME · short (1.2 ML) · massive class drop from OC45K, inside post, rising figs, bias fits — solid chalk, not opposable on shape
- LEANWinner call#2 GEOSTOBLAME · class drop is real, post 2 on a rail-biased track, C style inherits any duel
- PRIMED#7 AMERICAS POINT (rising figs +13, 2nd off layoff, route-to-route) — pace path exists in B but last fig (68) is well below field top
- PRICE#3 NIGHT OF MAGIC (ML 3, edge 0.062, ingest overlay) — top last fig (87), E style means it *leads* the duel rather than surviving it; overlay is real but pace role is the kill risk
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS — the only model overlay is #3 NIGHT OF MAGIC, whose pace role puts it in the duel it must survive, not escape; #7 is primed but not an overlay; chalk is not a play
- KILLRail bias fails, chalk fires on turf form that does not transfer to dirt, duel never materializes and #3 leads wire-to-wire
- MISSINGLive tote, official scratches post-ingest, weather/track variant, rider changes
Why
Dirt route at Delaware, OC claiming ($16K), seven starters — moderate volatility given a clear speed bias and a wall of early pace that may cannibalize itself. Three speed types (#3, #7, #5) project to a heated early fraction, strongly favoring the closers; chalk #2 GEOSTOBLAME is a massive class dropper (OC45K → OC16K) coming off turf, style C from post 2 with a rising fig — short at 1.2 ML but the shape and inside rail bias both line up for it. #7 AMERICAS POINT (6 ML) is the ingest-flagged primed horse — rising figs (+13), 2nd off layoff, pace path in A/B as an EP who can sit second and inherit the duel — but its last fig (68) sits well below the chalk and the model edge is negative, so it is underneath at best, not a stand-alone overlay.
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printPrice / ready board
Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.
Price overlays
Ready, not overlaid
Full field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | GEOSTOBLAME | 1.2 | 36.1% | 37.4% | +1.3% | 0.61 | C | favoriteRising figsBarn changeSame trip | — |
| 3 | NIGHT OF MAGIC | 3.0 | 19.9% | 26.1% | +6.2% | 1.56 | E | Rising figsLed lastTop last figTop last pace | — |
| 1 | LINOS FIRE | 5.0 | 13.2% | 13.3% | +0.1% | 0.50 | C | Rising figsSame trip | — |
| 7 | AMERICAS POINT | 6.0 | 11.3% | 8.7% | -2.6% | -0.58 | EP | Rising figs2nd off layoffSame trip | — |
| 6 | POWER WRENCH | 12.0 | 6.1% | 5.5% | -0.6% | 0.04 | C | 3rd start cycleSame trip | — |
| 5 | ONE LAST BULLET | 10.0 | 7.2% | 4.8% | -2.4% | -1.14 | EP | — | |
| 4 | ITSALLJUSTADREAM | 12.0 | 6.1% | 4.2% | -1.9% | -1.00 | C | Same trip | — |