closebeat
Start free
← RaceDay

KEE R2 · 2026-10-10

PASSD1540yPLAY passRace Simulator →MC Exotics →Expert handicap ↓Results →After the races
Bet now

Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find KEE R2 · 2026-10-10 on their board.

Expert handicap

LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.

Sign in to run

Pace map

No dedicated early — closers need collapse

Pressure moderate. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.

  1. C1#7TAKE THAT GIRLUU
  2. C2#9AMAVIDAP
  3. C3#12BABY CHANTALUU
  4. C4#6COHERENTUU
  5. C5#5NORTH SOUTH GALUU
  6. C6#11KEFKAUU
  7. C7#10DOLLY PUU
  8. C8#4BRIDEC
  9. C9#1R RUTH OF MY LIFEUU
  10. C10#3OPALITE DUSTC
  11. C11#2LILYS REVENGEC
  12. C12#8MAPLE RIDGEC
A · Likely — expected flow

No dedicated early. Crawl likely. One-run closers may never get a target.

Helps #9 AMAVIDA · hurts —

B · Pressure — duel / honest

A surprise early type appears. The crawl map is wrong.

Helps #9 AMAVIDA · hurts —

C · Chaos — collapse

Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#4 BRIDE, #3 OPALITE DUST, #2 LILYS REVENGE, #8 MAPLE RIDGE).

Helps #4 BRIDE, #3 OPALITE DUST, #2 LILYS REVENGE, #8 MAPLE RIDGE · hurts —

Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.

#HorseMLStyleReadyClassBarnRole
8MAPLE RIDGEORTIZ JOSE L3.0C2nd off layoffMSW → MCL2026-10-03 KEE 5f 63.00 B MT ft 27/40; 2026-09-26 ELP 4f 48.60 B MT ft 6/33 · barn: same as lastfMdSpWt → Md 30000ASMUSSEN STEVEN MFavorite
1R RUTH OF MY LIFEORTIZ IRAD JR4.0UTrouble lastMSW → MCLSharp workSame trip2026-10-02 ELP 4f 48.00 B MT sy bullet 1/6; 2026-09-25 ELP 4f 48.40 B MT ft 9/56 · barn: same as lastfMdSpWt → Md 30000SHARP JOEfield
10DOLLY PGAFFALIONE TYLER5.0UMSW → MCL2026-10-02 KEE 4f 49.40 B MT ft 64/85; 2026-09-25 TP 4f 49.00 B MT ft 12/31 · barn: same as lastfMdSpWt → Md 30000WALSH BRENDAN Pfield
11KEFKAMACHADO LUAN6.0USharp workSame trip2026-10-04 KEE 3f 37.40 B MT ft 4/7; 2026-09-26 TP 4f 47.20 B MT ft bullet 1/97 · barn: same as lastfMd40000 → Md 30000WEST ETHAN Wfield
6COHERENTCONCEPCION AXEL8.0U—2026-10-02 TP 4f 49.20 Bg MT ft 18/39; 2026-09-26 TP 4f 48.40 B MT ft 17/97 · barn: WALDEN WILLIAM (no last-line barn)— → Md 30000WALDEN WILLIAMfield
12BABY CHANTALFUENMAYOR LUIS10.0UMSW → MCLTop last figSame trip2026-10-02 CDT 4f 49.20 B MT ft 12/22; 2026-09-13 CDT 4f 47.80 B MT ft 9/42 · barn: same as lastfMdSpWt → Md 30000MUNOZ CARLOSfield
4BRIDETORRES JAIME A12.0CLed last2026-10-02 CD 4f 47.80 B MT my 8/64; 2026-09-06 CD 4f 49.20 B MT ft 34/63 · barn: same as lastfMd30000 → Md 30000VANCE THOMAS Dfield
2LILYS REVENGEVELAZQUEZ J R10.0CTrouble lastMSW → MCL2026-09-29 CDT 4f 49.00 B MT ft 8/14; 2026-09-22 CDT 4f 47.20 B MT ft bullet 1/13 · barn: same as lastfMdSpWt → Md 30000WEAVER GEORGEfield
3OPALITE DUSTPAULY SUMMER20.0CMSW → MCLSame trip2026-10-01 TP 4f 49.00 B MT ft 4/18; 2026-09-23 TP 4f 48.80 B MT ft 8/37 · barn: same as lastfMdSpWt → Md 30000MOGER ED JRfield
9AMAVIDAGRAHAM J20.0PLed lastTop last pace2026-10-03 KEE 4f 49.20 B MT ft 29/60; 2026-09-25 CNL 4f 49.00 B MT ft 6/13 · barn: same as lastfMoc50000 → Md 30000DESORMEAUX J KEITHfield
5NORTH SOUTH GALCEDILLO ABEL30.0U—2026-09-30 CDT 5f 62.60 B MT ft 2/3; 2026-09-23 CDT 4f 50.20 Bg MT ft 9/18 · barn: TAYLOR BRENT (no last-line barn)— → Md 30000TAYLOR BRENTfield
7TAKE THAT GIRLMORALES EDGAR30.0USame trip2026-10-01 TTC 4f 49.80 B MT ft 14/28; 2026-09-24 TTC 4f 48.80 B MT ft 3/17 · barn: same as lastfMoc50000 → Md 30000ENNIS JOHNfield

From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.

PLAY passPass — no tote needed
  1. RACEKEE R2 · 2026-10-10 · Dirt 1540y · Md 30000
  2. SHAPENo dedicated early; crawl likely; stalker/presser with tactical speed benefits in A; closers need a pace collapse they may never get
  3. CHALKFavorite#8 MAPLE RIDGE · short · 2nd-off-layoff Asmussen dropper fits the spot but 3-1 ML with 0.002 edge is not a ticket
  4. LEANWinner call#8 MAPLE RIDGE · most likely winner on class, cycle, and works
  5. PRIMEDnone (no non-chalk horse reaches 2+ ready flags with a clear pace path)
  6. PRICEno price (zero non-chalk overlays; sheet rec PASS)
  7. PLAYPrice ticketPASS
  8. KILLA surprise early type steals a lone lead and the crawl map collapses; #12 BABY CHANTAL's top fig converts at a long price
  9. MISSINGlive tote, official scratches, weather/track condition, rider changes post-ingest

Why

Dirt sprint MCL at Keeneland, 12-horse field, all-speed styles unknown or closer — moderate-to-high volatility in a pace-light maiden claimer with multiple firsters and MSW droppers.

No dedicated early type projects; the map screams crawl or modest pace, which suits a stalker/presser with tactical speed — #8 MAPLE RIDGE (2nd off layoff, MSW→MCL, Asmussen, solid works) is the class dropper with the clearest profile, but at 3-1 ML it is chalk with a near-zero model edge and no overlay signal.

No horse reaches the 2+ primed threshold as a non-chalk: #12 BABY CHANTAL has the top last figure (63), same trip, and MSW→MCL angle but the Munoz barn is historically brutal in this spot (5.62% win / ROI -0.96 in MCL), and no price overlay is flagged on the sheet.

Tote field

Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.

Sign in to stamp the board

Practice ticket

Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.

Sign in to stamp a board print

Full field

#HorseML Mkt% Model% Edge Signal StyleSheet Result
8MAPLE RIDGE3.019.4%19.6%+0.2%0.03Cfavorite2nd off layoffMSW → MCL—
1R RUTH OF MY LIFE4.015.5%14.7%-0.9%-0.25UTrouble lastMSW → MCLSharp workSame trip—
10DOLLY P5.012.9%13.0%+0.0%-0.01UMSW → MCL—
11KEFKA6.011.1%10.3%-0.7%-0.30USharp workSame trip—
6COHERENT8.08.6%8.7%+0.1%-0.00U—
12BABY CHANTAL10.07.1%8.4%+1.3%0.66UMSW → MCLTop last figSame trip—
4BRIDE12.06.0%6.9%+0.9%0.56CLed last—
2LILYS REVENGE10.07.1%5.8%-1.3%-0.84CTrouble lastMSW → MCL—
3OPALITE DUST20.03.7%4.2%+0.5%0.45CMSW → MCLSame trip—
9AMAVIDA20.03.7%3.6%-0.1%-0.15PLed lastTop last pace—
5NORTH SOUTH GAL30.02.5%2.5%+0.0%-0.00U—
7TAKE THAT GIRL30.02.5%2.4%-0.1%-0.15USame trip—