CT R5 · 2026-10-09
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find CT R5 · 2026-10-09 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
No dedicated early — closers need collapse
Pressure moderate. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#2GOLDEN EMPRESSS
- C2#4PRIVATE EXPRESSS
- C3#3STELLAS CANDYS
- C4#6FAR AWAY EYESC
- C5#8TIZ A MONSTERC
- C6#7SILENT SAMC
- C7#5UTOPIAN HAZEC
- C8#1ANGELS ARE BOWLINGC
No dedicated early. Crawl likely. One-run closers may never get a target.
Helps #2 GOLDEN EMPRESS, #4 PRIVATE EXPRESS, #3 STELLAS CANDY · hurts —
A surprise early type appears. The crawl map is wrong.
Helps #2 GOLDEN EMPRESS, #4 PRIVATE EXPRESS, #3 STELLAS CANDY · hurts —
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#2 GOLDEN EMPRESS, #4 PRIVATE EXPRESS, #3 STELLAS CANDY, #6 FAR AWAY EYES, #8 TIZ A MONSTER, #7 SILENT SAM, #5 UTOPIAN HAZE, #1 ANGELS ARE BOWLING).
Helps #2 GOLDEN EMPRESS, #4 PRIVATE EXPRESS, #3 STELLAS CANDY, #6 FAR AWAY EYES, #8 TIZ A MONSTER, #7 SILENT SAM, #5 UTOPIAN HAZE, #1 ANGELS ARE BOWLING · hurts —
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | FAR AWAY EYESDIAZ SUNDAY JR | 2.5 | C | Trouble lastBarn changeTop last fig2026-08-21 CNL 3f 35.40 B MT ft bullet 1/8; 2026-06-20 CNL 4f 51.40 B MT ft 34/38 · barn: change vs CASEY JAMES M | fMd16000 → Md Sp Wt | FIGGINS OLLIE L III | Favorite |
| 7 | SILENT SAMLOPEZ ANTONIO | 3.0 | C | Same trip2026-07-04 CT 4f 52.20 B MT ft 14/17; 2026-06-05 CT 4f 52.60 B MT ft 28/29 · barn: same as last | fsMdSpWt → Md Sp Wt | CARLISLE JOHN C | field |
| 2 | GOLDEN EMPRESSBOCACHICA ARNALDO | 3.5 | S | Same trip2026-09-02 CT 3f 37.40 B MT ft 2/3; 2026-08-07 CT 4f 49.20 Bg MT wf 7/14 · barn: same as last | fsMdSpWt → Md Sp Wt | VIANDS STACEY R | field |
| 1 | ANGELS ARE BOWLINGDAVIS JACQUELINE A | 4.0 | C | Rising figsSame trip2026-07-23 CT 3f 37.80 B MT ft 6/7; 2026-07-02 CT 4f 49.00 Bg MT ft 5/7 · barn: same as last | fsMdSpWt → Md Sp Wt | HAMLIN KATHLEEN E | field |
| 4 | PRIVATE EXPRESSLOPEZ CARLOS EDUARDO | 6.0 | S | Rising figsTrouble lastLed lastTop last paceSame trip2026-07-11 CT 4f 48.60 B MT ft 8/26; 2026-06-19 CT 4f 51.20 B MT ft 21/22 · barn: same as last | fsMd12500 → Md Sp Wt | SANDOVAL MICHAEL | primed |
| 3 | STELLAS CANDYJORGE JULIO | 10.0 | S | Rising figsSame trip2026-04-29 CT 3f 38.20 B MT ft 7/8; 2026-02-06 CT 3f 37.60 B MT ft 16/31 · barn: same as last | fsMd12500 → Md Sp Wt | O'NEILL TONYA M | field |
| 8 | TIZ A MONSTERRODRIGUEZ V | 20.0 | C | Rising figsTrouble lastSame trip2026-08-19 CT 4f 51.20 B MT ft 10/15; 2026-04-25 CT 3f 37.60 B MT ft 21/32 · barn: same as last | fsMd12500 → Md Sp Wt | WILHELM TABITHA M | primed |
| 5 | UTOPIAN HAZEMAWING M A | 30.0 | C | Same trip2026-09-15 CT 4f 51.00 Bg MT ft 9/9; 2026-04-28 CT 3f 38.80 B MT ft 11/13 · barn: same as last | fsMd12500 → Md Sp Wt | WILHELM TABITHA M | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACECT R5 · 2026-10-09 · Dirt 1430y · Md Sp Wt
- SHAPENo early speed; crawl likely; stalkers in A/B; closers need a target that may never materialize
- CHALKFavorite#6 FAR AWAY EYES · opposable · class up turf clm→dirt MSW, surface switch ROI -1.11, stumbled-fig on turf does not transfer cleanly
- LEANWinner call#6 FAR AWAY EYES · top fig in a weak field survives the class question by default in a race with no other reliable stopper
- PRIMED#4 PRIVATE EXPRESS (rising figs, trouble last, top e1, stalker path in A); #8 TIZ A MONSTER (rising figs +25, trouble last, but 20-1 and no overlay)
- PRICEnone — no non-chalk overlay per sheet
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS
- KILLA first-timer or hidden early type sets honest fractions and collapses the stalkers; FAR AWAY EYES fires on dirt first try and the class hike was already priced in at 2.5
- MISSINGlive tote, official scratches, weather, rider changes
Why
CT R5 is a dirt sprint maiden special weight at 1430y, a field of eight with no dedicated early speed and a sheet-flagged no-pace crawl map that flattens closers and favors whatever stalker can manufacture fractions. The shape is a wall of closers with zero committed early types, meaning a slow crawl is the expected scenario that paradoxically helps the stalkers (#2, #4, #3) who can press a soft pace—chalk #6 FAR AWAY EYES is a closer stepping up from turf maiden claimers to open dirt MSW, a class hike that the surface history (Turf to Dirt 30st, 13% w, ROI -1.11) argues against, and the stumbled-start turf fig of 63 is the top number in a weak field but was earned on going she may not repeat. #4 PRIVATE EXPRESS is primed with rising figs (59, up 8), trouble last (bump, vieing inside), the top e1 in the field at 88, and a stalker path that fits the A-scenario crawl perfectly at a listed 6-1 morning line—but the model shows no overlay (edge +0.008 is negligible and overlay=false), and the class move goes the wrong direction (up from fsMd12500 to MSW). ``` ```
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printPrice / ready board
Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.
Ready, not overlaid
Full field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | FAR AWAY EYES | 2.5 | 22.5% | 25.2% | +2.7% | 0.66 | C | favoriteTrouble lastBarn changeTop last fig | — |
| 7 | SILENT SAM | 3.0 | 19.7% | 18.2% | -1.5% | -0.12 | C | Same trip | — |
| 2 | GOLDEN EMPRESS | 3.5 | 17.5% | 17.0% | -0.5% | 0.09 | S | Same trip | — |
| 1 | ANGELS ARE BOWLING | 4.0 | 15.7% | 15.0% | -0.7% | 0.01 | C | Rising figsSame trip | — |
| 4 | PRIVATE EXPRESS | 6.0 | 11.2% | 12.0% | +0.8% | 0.48 | S | Rising figsTrouble lastLed lastTop last paceSame trip | — |
| 3 | STELLAS CANDY | 10.0 | 7.1% | 7.2% | +0.1% | 0.25 | S | Rising figsSame trip | — |
| 8 | TIZ A MONSTER | 20.0 | 3.7% | 3.7% | -0.0% | 0.17 | C | Rising figsTrouble lastSame trip | — |
| 5 | UTOPIAN HAZE | 30.0 | 2.5% | 1.6% | -0.9% | -1.53 | C | Same trip | — |