KEE R8 · 2026-10-10
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Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Two-speed duel risk (#11 vs #4)
Pressure high. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#11PRINCE OF POWEREP
- C2#2ZATS THE ONEP
- C3#4BOLD STRENGTHEP
- C4#1THAILANDP
- C5#9ITS MY LIFES
- C6#10B SUDDS
- C7#3DOROTEOC
- C8#8STEEZEP
- C9#5AMERICAN PROMISES
- C10#6CORONA DE OROC
- C11#7BREAK OUTS
Honest pace among #11 PRINCE OF POWER and #4 BOLD STRENGTH. Ability decides if they do not empty.
Helps #2 ZATS THE ONE, #1 THAILAND, #8 STEEZE, #9 ITS MY LIFE, #10 B SUDD, #5 AMERICAN PROMISE, #7 BREAK OUT · hurts #11 PRINCE OF POWER, #4 BOLD STRENGTH
Pressure: #11 PRINCE OF POWER and #4 BOLD STRENGTH hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.
Helps #2 ZATS THE ONE, #1 THAILAND, #8 STEEZE, #9 ITS MY LIFE, #10 B SUDD, #5 AMERICAN PROMISE, #7 BREAK OUT · hurts #11 PRINCE OF POWER, #4 BOLD STRENGTH
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#9 ITS MY LIFE, #10 B SUDD, #3 DOROTEO, #5 AMERICAN PROMISE, #6 CORONA DE ORO, #7 BREAK OUT).
Helps #9 ITS MY LIFE, #10 B SUDD, #3 DOROTEO, #5 AMERICAN PROMISE, #6 CORONA DE ORO, #7 BREAK OUT · hurts #11 PRINCE OF POWER, #4 BOLD STRENGTH
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | BOLD STRENGTHORTIZ IRAD JR | 2.5 | EP | Rising figs3rd start cycle2026-10-03 CD 4f 48.20 B MT gd 20/79; 2026-09-25 CD 4f 48.00 B MT ft 14/69 · barn: same as last | OC80000n2x → OClm 80000n2x | COX BRAD H | Favorite |
| 1 | THAILANDPRAT FLAVIEN | 4.0 | P | Rising figs2026-10-04 KEE 5f 62.40 B MT ft 11/22; 2026-09-28 KEE 5f 61.60 B MT ft 3/6 · barn: same as last | OC125000n1x → OClm 80000n2x | WARD WESLEY A | field |
| 8 | STEEZEALVARADO JUNIOR | 6.0 | P | Rising figsSame trip2026-09-30 KEE 4f 49.20 B MT ft 13/18; 2026-09-23 KEE 4f 48.80 B MT ft 21/32 · barn: same as last | OC62500n2x → OClm 80000n2x | MOTT RILEY | field |
| 6 | CORONA DE OROHERNANDEZ B J JR | 6.0 | C | Sharp workSame trip2026-10-05 CD 4f 46.80 B MT ft bullet 1/20; 2026-09-18 CD 4f 47.00 B MT ft bullet 1/67 · barn: same as last | RHiltnMemL500k → OClm 80000n2x | STEWART DALLAS | field |
| 2 | ZATS THE ONEARRIETA FRANCISCO | 8.0 | P | Sharp workTop last paceSame trip2026-10-03 KEE 4f 47.60 B MT ft bullet 1/60; 2026-09-26 CD 5f 60.00 B MT ft 4/49 · barn: same as last | OC62500n2x → OClm 80000n2x | DAMATO PHILIP | field |
| 9 | ITS MY LIFESAEZ LUIS | 10.0 | S | Rising figsClass dropTop last figSame trip2026-10-02 CD 4f 49.80 B MT my 45/64; 2026-09-23 CD 5f 61.60 B MT ft 8/9 · barn: same as last | Alw119505n1x → OClm 80000n2x | ARNOLD GEORGE R II | primed |
| 3 | DOROTEOORTIZ JOSE L | 10.0 | C | Rising figs2nd off layoffHidden paceBarn changeSame trip2026-10-03 CD 4f 48.60 B MT my 24/79; 2026-09-05 TP 4f 48.80 B MT ft 12/91 · barn: change vs MAKER MICHAEL J | OC80000n2xc → OClm 80000n2x | SHARP JOE | primed |
| 11 | PRINCE OF POWERGAFFALIONE TYLER | 15.0 | EP | Trouble last2026-09-23 CDT 4f 51.40 B MT ft 16/18; 2026-09-18 CDT 4f 50.60 B MT ft 7/9 · barn: same as last | AckAck-G3 → OClm 80000n2x | JACOBSON DAVID | field |
| 7 | BREAK OUTMACHADO LUAN | 12.0 | S | 3rd start cycleClass dropSharp work2026-10-01 KEE 3f 37.40 B MT ft 1/2; 2026-09-18 CNL 4f 49.20 B MT ft 10/16 · barn: same as last | Alw70800n1x → OClm 80000n2x | CAMPBELL MICHAEL | primed |
| 5 | AMERICAN PROMISEASMUSSEN KEITH J | 20.0 | S | —2026-10-02 KEE 4f 50.40 B MT ft 81/85; 2026-09-16 ELP 4f 50.80 B MT ft 20/25 · barn: same as last | OC80000n2x → OClm 80000n2x | ASMUSSEN STEVEN M | field |
| 10 | B SUDDCEDILLO ABEL | 30.0 | S | Rising figs2026-10-01 CDT 4f 49.60 B MT ft 6/13; 2026-09-24 CDT 4f 52.20 B MT ft 8/9 · barn: same as last | OC80000n2x → OClm 80000n2x | VON HEMEL DONNIE K | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEKEE R8 · 2026-10-10 · D 1540y · OClm 80000n2x
- SHAPETwo-speed duel (#11 vs #4) sets up stalkers and closers; honest fractions likely
- CHALKFavorite#4 BOLD STRENGTH · solid but short · best figs, Cox/Ortiz, rising cycle — just 2.5-1 with no overlay
- LEANWinner call#4 BOLD STRENGTH · most likely winner if he clears the duel; chalk
- PRIMED#9 ITS MY LIFE (rising figs, class drop, top fig in field), #3 DOROTEO (rising figs, 2nd off layoff, LP 97 hidden, barn change), #7 BREAK OUT (3rd start cycle, class drop, sharp work)
- PRICEno overlay — all primed horses are inside the non-chalk overlay threshold per ingested sheet
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS
- KILL#11 breaks clean and wire-to-wires a weak duel; live tote compresses all prices below usable
- MISSINGlive tote, official scratches, weather/track variant, rider changes post-ingest
Why
Dirt sprint optional-claiming $80k at Keeneland, 11-horse field, moderate-to-high volatility given the duel-prone pace map and wide class range. Two EP types (#11 PRINCE OF POWER, #4 BOLD STRENGTH) project a speed duel that sets up the mid-pack and stalkers; chalk #4 BOLD STRENGTH is solid on talent but likely to face honest fractions from outside post 11. #3 DOROTEO (2nd off layoff, rising figs, LP 97 hidden behind a 5th-place finish two back, barn change to Sharp) is the most stacked primed horse with a closer's path straight into scenarios A and B if the duel materializes.
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printPrice / ready board
Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.
Ready, not overlaid
Full field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | BOLD STRENGTH | 2.5 | 22.3% | 24.6% | +2.4% | 0.58 | EP | favoriteRising figs3rd start cycle | — |
| 1 | THAILAND | 4.0 | 15.6% | 16.2% | +0.6% | 0.32 | P | Rising figs | — |
| 8 | STEEZE | 6.0 | 11.1% | 10.6% | -0.6% | -0.04 | P | Rising figsSame trip | — |
| 6 | CORONA DE ORO | 6.0 | 11.1% | 9.4% | -1.8% | -0.52 | C | Sharp workSame trip | — |
| 2 | ZATS THE ONE | 8.0 | 8.7% | 9.0% | +0.4% | 0.34 | P | Sharp workTop last paceSame trip | — |
| 9 | ITS MY LIFE | 10.0 | 7.1% | 7.7% | +0.6% | 0.50 | S | Rising figsClass dropTop last figSame trip | — |
| 3 | DOROTEO | 10.0 | 7.1% | 7.2% | +0.1% | 0.22 | C | Rising figs2nd off layoffHidden paceBarn changeSame trip | — |
| 11 | PRINCE OF POWER | 15.0 | 4.9% | 5.6% | +0.7% | 0.71 | EP | Trouble last | — |
| 7 | BREAK OUT | 12.0 | 6.0% | 5.0% | -1.0% | -0.58 | S | 3rd start cycleClass dropSharp work | — |
| 5 | AMERICAN PROMISE | 20.0 | 3.7% | 2.7% | -1.0% | -1.12 | S | — | |
| 10 | B SUDD | 30.0 | 2.5% | 2.2% | -0.3% | -0.41 | S | Rising figs | — |