← RaceDay
ALB R3 · 2026-10-04
Bet now
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find ALB R3 · 2026-10-04 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Pace unknown — not enough call1/e1
Pressure unknown. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#3DA EDGE OF GRAYUU
- C2#6CQ COYAME JESSYUU
- C3#10HONEY BUNNYUU
- C4#2EYE AM A DREAMUU
- C5#8STEVIES BOY BLUUU
- C6#1J Y JAAZIELUU
- C7#4BIG CRUSH BBUU
- C8#5FLASHIN THE IVORYUU
- C9#9ZERO ZERO SIETEUU
- C10#7TRIGGEREDUU
A · Likely — expected flow
No dedicated early. Crawl likely. One-run closers may never get a target.
Helps — · hurts —
B · Pressure — duel / honest
A surprise early type appears. The crawl map is wrong.
Helps — · hurts —
C · Chaos — collapse
Chaos: the map fails and the race becomes a scramble. No dedicated closer on the file.
Helps — · hurts —
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | DA EDGE OF GRAYGARCIA NOE JR | 2.5 | U | Barn changeTop last figSame trip2026-09-26 ALB 1f 11.60 H MT ft 2/10; 2026-09-15 FRN 1f 12.20 B MT ft bullet 1/12 · barn: change vs GONZALES JAMES J III | sJesBurnR-G2 → Alw 37200b | VALLES RODOLFO G | Favorite |
| 6 | CQ COYAME JESSYZAMORA FRANCISCO | 3.5 | U | 2nd off layoffSame trip2026-09-08 FRN 1f 12.60 Bg MT ft 4/9; 2026-05-14 ALB 1f 12.00 B MT ft 3/24 · barn: same as last | sDbyTrl 10000 → Alw 37200b | MCQUEEN LAUREN | field |
| 10 | HONEY BUNNYANDRADE OSCAR JR | 4.5 | U | 2nd off layoffSame trip2026-08-14 ALB 1f 12.20 H MT ft 6/18; 2026-05-27 ALB 1f 12.00 H MT ft 4/13 · barn: same as last | OC15000 → Alw 37200b | HERNANDEZ LEOVIGILDO JR | field |
| 2 | EYE AM A DREAMBECERRA SERGIO JR | 8.0 | U | Rising figs2nd off layoffSame trip2026-03-16 SUN 1f 11.20 B MT ft bullet 1/4; 2025-12-14 ALB 1f 12.20 H MT ft 6/16 · barn: same as last | fAlw37946n3x → Alw 37200b | GOMEZ-BARRAZA DAVID M | primed |
| 8 | STEVIES BOY BLUMEDRANO GABRIEL | 8.0 | U | Rising figs3rd start cycleSame trip2026-07-24 ALB 1f 12.20 H MT ft 10/28; 2026-06-21 ALB 1.5f 17.60 H MT ft 2/2 · barn: same as last | sAlw39600b → Alw 37200b | AMPARAN ALBERTO | primed |
| 1 | J Y JAAZIELFLORES JAMES A | 10.0 | U | Rising figs3rd start cycleSame trip2026-07-22 ALB 1f 12.00 H MT ft 10/13; 2026-06-02 ALB 1f 13.00 H MT ft 17/17 · barn: same as last | sClm15000 → Alw 37200b | GONZALES JOEL J | primed |
| 4 | BIG CRUSH BBNIETO-SAENZ JORGE | 12.0 | U | Same trip2026-05-13 ALB 1f 12.60 B MT ft 13/21; 2026-04-07 SRP 1.5f 18.00 H MT ft 5/5 · barn: same as last | Alw33600b → Alw 37200b | MARTINEZ EDWIN A | field |
| 5 | FLASHIN THE IVORYRAMOS CHRISTIAN | 20.0 | U | Rising figs3rd start cycleSame trip2026-06-25 ALB 1f 11.40 H MT ft bullet 1/33; 2026-06-11 ALB 1.4f 15.40 Hg MT ft 42/120 · barn: same as last | sAlw39700b → Alw 37200b | DOMINGUEZ-GARCIA MARIO | primed |
| 9 | ZERO ZERO SIETECHAVEZ BRYAN | 20.0 | U | 2nd off layoffSame trip2026-08-15 ALB 1f 12.00 H MT ft 3/29; 2026-07-23 ALB 1f 12.20 H MT ft 17/41 · barn: same as last | sAlw39600b → Alw 37200b | ALDAVAZ HERMENGILDO | field |
| 7 | TRIGGEREDVALENZUELA LUIS A | 20.0 | U | Rising figsSame trip2026-09-13 ALB 1.5f 17.20 Hg MT ft 1/2; 2026-08-11 FRN 1f 12.80 B MT ft 10/11 · barn: same as last | sAlw39700n4l → Alw 37200b | MCARTHUR DONNA | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
PLAY passPass — no tote needed
- RACEALB R3 · 2026-10-04 · Dirt 400y · Alw 37200b
- SHAPEPace unknown across all ten starters; speed bias + outside bias favors an early type from posts 7-10, but no style reads — crawl and chaos equally likely
- CHALKFavorite#3 DA EDGE OF GRAY · usable but short · top fig, G2 class, barn change, but 2.5 ML in a blind-pace field with no overlay room
- LEANWinner call#3 DA EDGE OF GRAY · chalk — top fig, class relief from sJesBurnR-G2, new barn
- PRIMED#8 STEVIES BOY BLU (rising figs 81→86, 3rd start cycle, outside post fits bias, trainer 3rd-off-layoff 25.7% w / 1.12 ROI); #2 EYE AM A DREAM (rising figs 56→94, 2nd off layoff); #1 J Y JAAZIEL (rising figs 87→93, 3rd start cycle); #5 FLASHIN THE IVORY (rising figs 73→86, 3rd start cycle)
- PRICEnone — no non-chalk horse shows a positive model edge; #8 is the strongest primed case at 8-1 ML but edge is -0.001; sheet rec is PASS
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS — four primed horses exist but none produce a positive overlay; the only overlay is chalk #3; no price ticket available
- KILL#8 fires but we have no ticket; a surprise early type from the outer posts steals it on the speed/outside bias before anyone can respond
- MISSINGlive tote (essential — #8 at 10-1+ would reopen the question), official scratches, weather, rider changes post-ingest
Why
Dirt 400-yard QH allowance at Albuquerque, ten starters with all pace styles unknown, which makes this a high-volatility sprint where the bias favors early speed and outside posts but the map is completely blind. DA EDGE OF GRAY (ML 2.5) is chalk with the top fig in the field, a barn change, and a legitimate G2 class edge, but at 2.5 it is priced as a near-certainty in a race where the shape is unreadable. STEVIES BOY BLU (#8, post 8) is the one primed horse with a usable path—three starts deep in the cycle, rising figs (81→86), outside post that fits the bias, and a trainer who hits 25.7% win / 51.4% ITM 3rd-off-layoff at a 1.12 ROI, but the model shows no overlay at 8-1 ML. ``` ```
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printPrice / ready board
Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.
Ready, not overlaid
#2 EYE AM A DREAMML 8.0Rising figs2nd off layoffSame trip
#8 STEVIES BOY BLUML 8.0Rising figs3rd start cycleSame trip
#1 J Y JAAZIELML 10.0Rising figs3rd start cycleSame trip
#5 FLASHIN THE IVORYML 20.0Rising figs3rd start cycleSame trip
Full field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | DA EDGE OF GRAY | 2.5 | 23.4% | 26.1% | +2.7% | 0.64 | U | favoriteBarn changeTop last figSame trip | — |
| 6 | CQ COYAME JESSY | 3.5 | 18.2% | 18.3% | +0.2% | 0.23 | U | 2nd off layoffSame trip | — |
| 10 | HONEY BUNNY | 4.5 | 14.9% | 14.2% | -0.7% | -0.00 | U | 2nd off layoffSame trip | — |
| 2 | EYE AM A DREAM | 8.0 | 9.1% | 9.0% | -0.1% | 0.17 | U | Rising figs2nd off layoffSame trip | — |
| 8 | STEVIES BOY BLU | 8.0 | 9.1% | 8.9% | -0.1% | 0.13 | U | Rising figs3rd start cycleSame trip | — |
| 1 | J Y JAAZIEL | 10.0 | 7.4% | 7.6% | +0.1% | 0.27 | U | Rising figs3rd start cycleSame trip | — |
| 4 | BIG CRUSH BB | 12.0 | 6.3% | 6.0% | -0.3% | 0.00 | U | Same trip | — |
| 5 | FLASHIN THE IVORY | 20.0 | 3.9% | 3.4% | -0.5% | -0.35 | U | Rising figs3rd start cycleSame trip | — |
| 9 | ZERO ZERO SIETE | 20.0 | 3.9% | 3.4% | -0.5% | -0.36 | U | 2nd off layoffSame trip | — |
| 7 | TRIGGERED | 20.0 | 3.9% | 3.1% | -0.8% | -0.74 | U | Rising figsSame trip | — |