EVD R4 · 2026-10-02
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find EVD R4 · 2026-10-02 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Pace unknown — not enough call1/e1
Pressure unknown. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#6ROYS LEAVING YOUUU
- C2#3SHEZA INNOCENT GIRLUU
- C3#7LAZARUSUU
- C4#9BRODYS LEAVIN UUU
- C5#8SCOOTERS WILD IVORYUU
- C6#2ALLON ALLON P3UU
- C7#1JESSA FLYIN EAGLEUU
- C8#4HEZ TOASTEDUU
- C9#5NECKEL BUXUU
No dedicated early. Crawl likely. One-run closers may never get a target.
Helps — · hurts —
A surprise early type appears. The crawl map is wrong.
Helps — · hurts —
Chaos: the map fails and the race becomes a scramble. No dedicated closer on the file.
Helps — · hurts —
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | ROYS LEAVING YOUHERNANDEZ RENE | 2.5 | U | Trouble lastClass dropSame trip2026-04-10 DED 1f 12.60 Bg MT ft 75/112; 2026-04-06 DED 1f 12.60 Bg MT ft 35/46 · barn: same as last | sAlw24000n2l → Clm 20000n2l | HODA DANNY | Favorite |
| 3 | SHEZA INNOCENT GIRLLUNA UBALDO | 3.5 | U | 3rd start cycleClass dropSame trip2026-05-06 DED 1f 12.40 Bg MT ft 8/16; 2026-04-22 DED 1f 12.00 B MT ft 5/25 · barn: same as last | fsAlw24000n2l → Clm 20000n2l | TREJO MARTIN | primed |
| 7 | LAZARUSMARTINEZ EDDI EMANUEL | 4.0 | U | Trouble lastTag dropSame trip2026-04-07 DED 1f 12.20 Bg MT ft 14/67; 2026-02-13 LAD 1f 12.20 Bg MT ft 22/114 · barn: same as last | sClm50000n2l → Clm 20000n2l | MARTINEZ LUIS R JR | field |
| 9 | BRODYS LEAVIN URANSOM B | 5.0 | U | Rising figsTrouble lastClass dropSame trip2026-04-07 DED 1f 12.40 Bg MT ft 30/67; 2026-03-18 LAD 1f 12.60 Bg MT ft 50/61 · barn: same as last | sAlw24000n2l → Clm 20000n2l | RHODES DUSTIN | primed |
| 8 | SCOOTERS WILD IVORYVARGAS FEDERICO | 8.0 | U | Same trip2026-09-04 DED 1f 12.60 B MT ft 9/14; 2026-05-19 DED 1f 12.00 B MT ft 3/18 · barn: same as last | sFutTrl12000 → Clm 20000n2l | HAYWOOD VANN | field |
| 2 | ALLON ALLON P3CABRERA ROLANDO | 10.0 | U | Trouble lastClass dropSame trip2026-09-08 DED 1f 12.80 Bg MT ft 15/17; 2026-04-07 DED 1f 12.80 Bg MT ft 49/67 · barn: same as last | Alw18125n2l → Clm 20000n2l | JOURDAN PRESTON | primed |
| 1 | JESSA FLYIN EAGLEEDISON RANDY JR | 10.0 | U | Rising figsSame trip2026-04-03 RET 1f 13.20 Bg MT ft 44/62; 2026-03-25 RET 1.1f 14.20 Hg MT ft 57/116 · barn: same as last | sClm10000n2l → Clm 20000n2l | CASTRO CARLOS GABRIEL | field |
| 4 | HEZ TOASTEDCONSTANTIN LUCAS | 15.0 | U | Trouble lastTag dropSame trip2026-09-15 DED 1f 13.00 B MT ft 12/13; 2026-05-02 DED 1f 13.00 Bg MT sy 21/40 · barn: same as last | sClm50000n2l → Clm 20000n2l | FLORES SALVADOR G | field |
| 5 | NECKEL BUXMORALES ADRIAN X | 20.0 | U | Rising figsBarn changeSame trip2026-09-24 EVD 1f 12.80 B MT ft 26/33; 2026-06-25 DED 1f 12.40 B MT ft 3/5 · barn: change vs HODA DANNY | Md5000c → Clm 20000n2l | CARLOS KATIE | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEEVD R4 · 2026-10-02 · Dirt 350y · Clm 20000n2l
- SHAPEAll styles unknown — pace map blank; short sprint favors whoever clears cleanest; lone-speed scenario possible but unconfirmed
- CHALKFavorite#6 ROYS LEAVING YOU · short/opposable · 0-for-10 dirt/claiming, trainer 0-win meet, 2.5 ML is too short for that record
- LEANWinner call#9 BRODYS LEAVIN U · highest signal + zSpeed, rising cycle, trouble trip last, class drop — best composite case
- PRIMED#9 BRODYS LEAVIN U (rising figs, trouble last, class drop, same trip) · #3 SHEZA INNOCENT GIRL (3rd start cycle, class drop, same trip) · #2 ALLON ALLON P3 (trouble last, class drop, same trip)
- PRICEno price — model shows no non-chalk overlay; all edges near zero or negative
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS — no qualifying non-chalk overlay clears the threshold
- KILLPace map fires a hidden speed type that wires the field before closers engage; chalk fires first-time-claiming despite 0% win rate; #9 post 9 in a short sprint may burn ground
- MISSINGlive tote, official scratches, weather/track variant, rider changes, post-ingest works update
Why
Dirt 350y claiming sprint (Clm 20000n2l, 9-horse field) at EVD with all pace styles unknown — high volatility on a thin PP file for a short-field quarter-horse-style sprint. Pace map is entirely blank (all U), chalk #6 ROYS LEAVING YOU sits at 2.5 ML but is 0-for-10 in claiming and dirt combined with a negative ROI trail, making it short and questionable rather than solid. Best primed case is #9 BRODYS LEAVIN U: four ready flags (rising figs +9 to 84, trouble last "in tight," class drop from sAlw24000n2l, same trip), highest signal (0.49) and zSpeed (1.24) in the field, and a prior win at this distance/class tier — the path exists if a lane opens in the 350y scramble. ``` ```
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printPrice / ready board
Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.
Ready, not overlaid
Full field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | ROYS LEAVING YOU | 2.5 | 22.4% | 23.0% | +0.7% | 0.25 | U | favoriteTrouble lastClass dropSame trip | — |
| 3 | SHEZA INNOCENT GIRL | 3.5 | 17.4% | 18.1% | +0.7% | 0.30 | U | 3rd start cycleClass dropSame trip | — |
| 7 | LAZARUS | 4.0 | 15.7% | 14.5% | -1.1% | -0.17 | U | Trouble lastTag dropSame trip | — |
| 9 | BRODYS LEAVIN U | 5.0 | 13.0% | 14.3% | +1.2% | 0.49 | U | Rising figsTrouble lastClass dropSame trip | — |
| 8 | SCOOTERS WILD IVORY | 8.0 | 8.7% | 9.4% | +0.7% | 0.45 | U | Same trip | — |
| 2 | ALLON ALLON P3 | 10.0 | 7.1% | 7.2% | +0.1% | 0.21 | U | Trouble lastClass dropSame trip | — |
| 1 | JESSA FLYIN EAGLE | 10.0 | 7.1% | 6.1% | -1.0% | -0.46 | U | Rising figsSame trip | — |
| 4 | HEZ TOASTED | 15.0 | 4.9% | 3.9% | -1.0% | -0.75 | U | Trouble lastTag dropSame trip | — |
| 5 | NECKEL BUX | 20.0 | 3.7% | 3.3% | -0.4% | -0.31 | U | Rising figsBarn changeSame trip | — |