PEN R5 · 2026-10-09
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find PEN R5 · 2026-10-09 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Wall of early / pressers (#2 #5 #1)
Pressure high. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#2PENN FRANKLINE
- C2#5BROTHER PAULEP
- C3#1RIP MY HEARTEP
- C4#4LETSPUMPTHEBRAKESP
- C5#6HALL OF JAZZS
- C6#3THE PIRANHAS
Honest pace among #2 PENN FRANKLIN and #5 BROTHER PAUL and #1 RIP MY HEART. Ability decides if they do not empty.
Helps #4 LETSPUMPTHEBRAKES, #6 HALL OF JAZZ, #3 THE PIRANHA · hurts #2 PENN FRANKLIN, #5 BROTHER PAUL, #1 RIP MY HEART
Pressure: #2 PENN FRANKLIN and #5 BROTHER PAUL and #1 RIP MY HEART hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.
Helps #4 LETSPUMPTHEBRAKES, #6 HALL OF JAZZ, #3 THE PIRANHA · hurts #2 PENN FRANKLIN, #5 BROTHER PAUL, #1 RIP MY HEART
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#6 HALL OF JAZZ, #3 THE PIRANHA).
Helps #6 HALL OF JAZZ, #3 THE PIRANHA · hurts #2 PENN FRANKLIN, #5 BROTHER PAUL, #1 RIP MY HEART
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | PENN FRANKLINCHIAPPE R | 2.0 | E | Rising figsSame trip2026-09-29 PEN 4f 47.20 B MT ft 4/26; 2026-01-02 PRX 3f 36.00 B MT ft 3/3 · barn: same as last | Clm10000n2l → OClm 16000 | KRAVETS BRUCE M | Favorite |
| 5 | BROTHER PAULBEATO INOEL | 2.5 | EP | Rising figsLed lastTop last figTop last paceSame trip2026-09-29 PEN 4f 53.20 B MT ft 25/26; 2026-08-26 PEN 4f 50.00 B MT ft 11/12 · barn: same as last | OC16000 → OClm 16000 | MCCLELLAN ERIN C | Favorite |
| 1 | RIP MY HEARTRAMOS YABRIEL O | 3.0 | EP | 3rd start cycleSame trip2026-09-30 PEN 4f 48.80 B MT ft 12/32; 2026-09-19 PEN 4f 49.60 B MT ft 20/31 · barn: same as last | OC16000 → OClm 16000 | STITES FLINT W | field |
| 6 | HALL OF JAZZCORUJO WILFREDO | 5.0 | S | Rising figs3rd start cycleSame trip2026-10-01 PEN 4f 49.60 B MT ft 8/14; 2026-09-26 PEN 4f 50.20 B MT ft 24/34 · barn: same as last | Clm10000n2l → OClm 16000 | STITES FLINT W | primed |
| 4 | LETSPUMPTHEBRAKESCORA D | 8.0 | P | Same trip2026-09-25 PEN 4f 52.20 B MT ft 31/34; 2026-07-25 PEN 3f 36.20 Bg MT ft 3/19 · barn: same as last | Clm10000n2l → OClm 16000 | HOUGHTON THOMAS | field |
| 3 | THE PIRANHADIAZ VLADIMIR | 10.0 | S | 2nd off layoffSame trip2026-10-02 PEN 4f 48.60 Bg MT ft 11/29; 2026-08-26 PEN 4f 47.80 Bg MT ft 7/12 · barn: same as last | Clm7500n2l → OClm 16000 | IPPOLITO MARK | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEPEN R5 · 2026-10-09 · Dirt 1320y OClm 16000
- SHAPEWall of speed (#2 #5 #1) guarantees honest-to-pressure pace; stalkers and closers get their shot, but none carry the figures to capitalize
- CHALKFavorite#2 PENN FRANKLIN / #5 BROTHER PAUL · co-chalk · short / opposable on shape — both need the front and will hook each other — but nothing behind them has the numbers to punish them reliably
- LEANWinner call#5 BROTHER PAUL · top fig (75), top E1 in the field, led last and ground it out; if the pace softens to honest rather than a full duel, he is the most likely winner
- PRIMED#6 HALL OF JAZZ (rising figs 54→58, 3rd start cycle) — path exists in A/B/C but 58 fig is well below the chalk pair and the class is a step up; flags noted, not a confident overlay
- PRICEnone — no non-chalk horse clears the model as an overlay
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS
- KILLpace collapses to a lone-speed melt, chalk duel never materializes, #6 or #3 inherits on a fig that normally would not win this spot
- MISSINGlive tote, official scratches, weather/track variant, rider changes post-ingest
Why
Dirt sprint at a claiming tag (OClm 16000) with three early types crowding the front — moderate-to-high volatility given the wall of speed and a class mix (two horses stepping up from Clm10000n2l). The chalk is a co-chalk pair (#2 PENN FRANKLIN at 2-1 and #5 BROTHER PAUL at 5-2), both speed types who will hook each other on the front end, which is exactly the shape that helps the back half of the field. #6 HALL OF JAZZ is the sheet's primed horse (rising figs, third start of cycle) but tops out at a 58 fig stepping up in class, and the model has it as an underlay at 5-1 ML — the path is there in A/B/C, the class and raw numbers are not convincing enough to make it a play. ``` ```
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printPrice / ready board
Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.
Ready, not overlaid
Full field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | PENN FRANKLIN | 2.0 | 26.9% | 30.4% | +3.5% | 0.96 | E | favoriteRising figsSame trip | — |
| 5 | BROTHER PAUL | 2.5 | 23.1% | 26.0% | +2.9% | 0.95 | EP | favoriteRising figsLed lastTop last figTop last paceSame trip | — |
| 1 | RIP MY HEART | 3.0 | 20.2% | 21.7% | +1.5% | 0.77 | EP | 3rd start cycleSame trip | — |
| 6 | HALL OF JAZZ | 5.0 | 13.5% | 10.8% | -2.7% | -0.40 | S | Rising figs3rd start cycleSame trip | — |
| 4 | LETSPUMPTHEBRAKES | 8.0 | 9.0% | 6.5% | -2.5% | -0.80 | P | Same trip | — |
| 3 | THE PIRANHA | 10.0 | 7.3% | 4.5% | -2.8% | -1.48 | S | 2nd off layoffSame trip | — |