IND R5 · 2026-10-07
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find IND R5 · 2026-10-07 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
No dedicated early — closers need collapse
Pressure moderate. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#4LITTLE SAMSP
- C2#1PULSTARP
- C3#8MOMENTARIOP
- C4#3ARTELLAP
- C5#6PICKLE SHOESP
- C6#7INFLAMMABELLES
- C7#5SILVERTOWNC
- C8#2DONT LOOK BACKC
No dedicated early. Crawl likely. One-run closers may never get a target.
Helps #4 LITTLE SAMS, #1 PULSTAR, #8 MOMENTARIO, #3 ARTELLA, #6 PICKLE SHOES, #7 INFLAMMABELLE · hurts —
A surprise early type appears. The crawl map is wrong.
Helps #4 LITTLE SAMS, #1 PULSTAR, #8 MOMENTARIO, #3 ARTELLA, #6 PICKLE SHOES, #7 INFLAMMABELLE · hurts —
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#7 INFLAMMABELLE, #5 SILVERTOWN, #2 DONT LOOK BACK).
Helps #7 INFLAMMABELLE, #5 SILVERTOWN, #2 DONT LOOK BACK · hurts —
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | MOMENTARIOMENDOZA AMIR | 3.0 | P | Rising figsTag dropSame trip2026-09-01 IND 4f 46.60 B MT ft bullet 1/22; 2026-07-22 IND 4f 47.20 B MT ft bullet 1/33 · barn: same as last | fClm20000n2l → Clm 12500n3x | HARAN JOHN | Favorite |
| 4 | LITTLE SAMSLARA VICTOR | 3.0 | P | Rising figs3rd start cycleTag dropSame trip2026-08-22 DTT 3f 38.80 B MT gd 6/7; 2026-07-20 TDD 4f 49.00 B MT gd bullet 1/4 · barn: same as last | fClm15000n3x → Clm 12500n3x | ACEVEDO ISRAEL | Favorite |
| 6 | PICKLE SHOESROMAN EVIN A | 3.5 | P | 2nd off layoffTrouble lastSame trip2026-08-28 IND 3f 40.80 B MT ft 21/22; 2026-08-18 IND 3f 39.80 B MT ft 12/17 · barn: same as last | fClm12500b → Clm 12500n3x | MEDINA TOMAS | primed |
| 3 | ARTELLAPRESCOTT R | 5.0 | P | Top last paceSame trip2026-05-15 IND 4f 50.20 B MT ft 31/39; 2026-04-24 IND 5f 61.60 B MT ft bullet 1/6 · barn: same as last | fClm12500b → Clm 12500n3x | MCGOVERN SHANNON | field |
| 1 | PULSTARCRISPIN ALEXANDER | 6.0 | P | Trouble lastClass dropSame trip2026-08-27 ELP 5f 60.40 B MT ft 2/3; 2026-08-18 ELP 5f 59.60 B MT ft bullet 1/4 · barn: same as last | fAlw14000n3l → Clm 12500n3x | HOWARD MARY ANNE | primed |
| 5 | SILVERTOWNPEDROZA MARCELINO | 8.0 | C | Top last fig2026-09-23 IND 5f 61.80 B MT ft 10/19; 2026-09-09 IND 4f 50.00 B MT ft 18/29 · barn: same as last | fClm12500n2lv → Clm 12500n3x | GARCIA GENARO | field |
| 7 | INFLAMMABELLEACHARD ALEX | 10.0 | S | Rising figs3rd start cycleSame trip2026-08-25 IND 5f 61.20 B MT ft 1/3; 2026-08-15 IND 4f 49.40 B MT ft 47/77 · barn: same as last | Clm12500n2l → Clm 12500n3x | SANCHEZ EMMA JIMENEZ | primed |
| 2 | DONT LOOK BACKSANJUR SANTO | 15.0 | C | —2026-08-04 IND 5f 66.40 B MT ft 9/9; 2026-07-25 IND 5f 66.40 B MT ft 2/2 · barn: same as last | fOC15000 → Clm 12500n3x | LABRA ROGELIO | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEIND R5 · 2026-10-07 · D / 1210y / Clm 12500n3x
- SHAPENo dedicated early — wall of pressers, crawl likely, closers need a pace that may never materialize; bias favors outside posts (posts 8+ win 21.4%)
- CHALKFavorite#8 MOMENTARIO / #4 LITTLE SAMS co-3 ML · solid / usable-but-short · MOMENTARIO has fig spike (76), bullet works, won last; LITTLE SAMS 3rd-cycle rising but model shows no overlay for either
- LEANWinner call#8 MOMENTARIO · best stacked case (fig, drop, outside post, bullet work, won last, A/B path)
- PRIMED#6 PICKLE SHOES (2nd off layoff + trouble last, path in A/B but model underlay); #7 INFLAMMABELLE (rising figs + 3rd-start cycle, C-only path on dirt, prior lines all turf)
- PRICEno non-chalk overlays (sheet rec PASS confirmed)
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS
- KILLMOMENTARIO bounce off win / "drops off win" key shows 0% win 2 starts ROI -2.00; crawl pace hides a stalker; live tote not available
- MISSINGlive tote, official scratches, weather, rider changes
Why
Dirt sprint claimer at IND, all pressers in a field with no dedicated early speed, moderate volatility from a likely crawl that could muddle the shape. Every horse sits in the P range, so pace is murky and a tactical stalker or closer could inherit, but the crawl scenario favors whichever presser settles best — co-chalks #8 MOMENTARIO (fig 76, rising, tag drop, bullet works, won last) and #4 LITTLE SAMS split the short price; the sheet's primed non-chalk list yields no price overlay above chalk. #6 PICKLE SHOES (2nd off layoff, trouble last, 3.5 ML) has the clearest primed case in A/B — ran rail/3-wide last and faded but the prior cycle showed a 77 and a win at this class, and she gets a shorter trip today at 1210y vs the 1320y return start — but model says underlay at -0.014 edge and no non-chalk overlay clears. ``` ```
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printPrice / ready board
Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.
Ready, not overlaid
Full field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | MOMENTARIO | 3.0 | 19.3% | 22.1% | +2.8% | 0.73 | P | favoriteRising figsTag dropSame trip | — |
| 4 | LITTLE SAMS | 3.0 | 19.3% | 20.3% | +1.0% | 0.38 | P | favoriteRising figs3rd start cycleTag dropSame trip | — |
| 6 | PICKLE SHOES | 3.5 | 17.1% | 15.8% | -1.4% | -0.15 | P | 2nd off layoffTrouble lastSame trip | — |
| 3 | ARTELLA | 5.0 | 12.9% | 12.9% | +0.1% | 0.20 | P | Top last paceSame trip | — |
| 1 | PULSTAR | 6.0 | 11.0% | 10.3% | -0.7% | -0.08 | P | Trouble lastClass dropSame trip | — |
| 5 | SILVERTOWN | 8.0 | 8.6% | 9.5% | +0.9% | 0.58 | C | Top last fig | — |
| 7 | INFLAMMABELLE | 10.0 | 7.0% | 5.5% | -1.5% | -0.78 | S | Rising figs3rd start cycleSame trip | — |
| 2 | DONT LOOK BACK | 15.0 | 4.8% | 3.7% | -1.1% | -0.89 | C | — |