WRD R4 · 2026-09-28
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find WRD R4 · 2026-09-28 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Pace unknown — not enough call1/e1
Pressure unknown. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#5THE BIG DADDYUU
- C2#9FABULOUS PHILOMENAUU
- C3#8SHEZA EASY CASH GIRLUU
- C4#1RECIOUU
- C5#2METALIC CORONAUU
- C6#4WINDY SWEETSUU
- C7#6NANAS MOON BUGUU
- C8#3CORONAS NIGHT MAREUU
- C9#10NAIDUUU
- C10#7CRAZY CANDYUU
No dedicated early. Crawl likely. One-run closers may never get a target.
Helps — · hurts —
A surprise early type appears. The crawl map is wrong.
Helps — · hurts —
Chaos: the map fails and the race becomes a scramble. No dedicated closer on the file.
Helps — · hurts —
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | THE BIG DADDYESCOBEDO EDWIN G | 2.0 | U | Rising figs2nd off layoffTop last figSame trip2026-08-12 RP 1f 12.60 H MT ft 5/13; 2026-05-14 ALB 1f 13.20 B MT ft 23/24 · barn: same as last | Clm15000n2l → Clm 15000n2l | CRAWFORD TYLER COLE | Favorite |
| 9 | FABULOUS PHILOMENASMITH CODY RODGER | 4.0 | U | Rising figsClass dropSame trip2026-09-03 WRD 1f 12.00 H MT ft 12/17; 2026-03-20 RP 1f 12.80 H MT ft 31/42 · barn: same as last | sAlw18500n2l → Clm 15000n2l | HURDLE MICHELLE | primed |
| 8 | SHEZA EASY CASH GIRLBROOKS J D | 6.0 | U | Rising figs2nd off layoffClass dropSame trip2026-08-26 SRM 1f 11.80 B MT ft bullet 1/4; 2026-08-09 RP 1f 12.80 H MT ft 9/16 · barn: same as last | fAlw28600n2l → Clm 15000n2l | CRAWFORD TYLER COLE | primed |
| 1 | RECIOFONSECA-SOTO FERNANDO | 6.0 | U | Rising figsClass dropSame trip2026-02-18 RP 1f 12.40 Hg MT ft 5/34; 2025-03-05 RP 1.1f 13.40 Hg MT ft 12/102 · barn: same as last | Alw17300n2l → Clm 15000n2l | HOBBS HALEY N | primed |
| 2 | METALIC CORONAESQUEDA ERIK N | 10.0 | U | Rising figsSame trip2026-08-29 WRD 1f 13.20 H MT ft 14/14; 2026-06-06 FMT 1.1f 13.60 Hg MT my 2/6 · barn: same as last | sClm15000n2l → Clm 15000n2l | RODRIGUEZ-GARCIA ERIK N | field |
| 4 | WINDY SWEETSCRUZ ROMAN | 10.0 | U | Same trip2026-08-25 WRD 1f 11.60 H MT ft 6/46; 2026-02-17 RP 1.1f 13.60 H MT ft 4/9 · barn: same as last | sClm15000n2l → Clm 15000n2l | RUIZ JESUS RUBEN | field |
| 6 | NANAS MOON BUGESQUEDA CHRISTIAN | 15.0 | U | Rising figsBarn changeSame trip2026-09-08 RDE 1f 12.80 B MT ft 3/6; 2026-02-28 RP 1.1f 13.40 Hg MT ft bullet 1/6 · barn: change vs WRIGHT ALBERT | sMd10000 → Clm 15000n2l | BURCIAGA JOSE ANGEL | field |
| 3 | CORONAS NIGHT MAREARELLANO JUAN | 15.0 | U | Same trip2026-09-01 RP 1f 12.60 Hg MT ft 12/25; 2026-02-15 RP 1.1f 14.60 Hg MT ft 30/33 · barn: same as last | Clm15000n2l → Clm 15000n2l | RAMIREZ HERNESTO | field |
| 10 | NAIDUPULIDO JUAN | 15.0 | U | Rising figsSame trip2026-09-07 WRD 1f 11.60 H MT ft 7/9; 2026-02-20 RP 1f 12.40 H MT ft 20/80 · barn: same as last | Clm15000n2l → Clm 15000n2l | VALDIVIA GUILLERMO | field |
| 7 | CRAZY CANDYMARTINEZ ARAM S | 20.0 | U | Rising figsTrouble lastClass dropSame trip2026-09-06 WRD 1f 12.00 H MT ft 3/10; 2026-08-22 WRD 1f 12.60 H MT ft 17/24 · barn: same as last | sAlw18500n2l → Clm 15000n2l | AGUILAR ABLE | primed |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEWRD R4 · 2026-09-28 · Dirt 300y · Clm 15000n2l
- SHAPEAll styles unknown, pace map unresolved; inside-rail bias (posts 1–3 = 58% of winners) is the dominant shape factor; chalk is top fig and 2nd-off ready
- CHALKFavorite#5 THE BIG DADDY 2 · solid · top fig (97), 2nd off layoff, model overlay — opposable only on price, not on form
- LEANWinner call#5 THE BIG DADDY 2 · best fig, best ready stack, inside-post group reachable from post 5 in a 300y sprint
- PRIMED#1 RECIO (rising figs, class drop, post 1 bias edge); #8 SHEZA EASY CASH GIRL (rising figs, 2nd off layoff, class drop); #9 FABULOUS PHILOMENA (rising figs, class drop); #7 CRAZY CANDY (rising figs, trouble last, class drop)
- PRICEno non-chalk overlays on the board
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS — the only model overlay is chalk; no primed non-chalk horse clears an overlay threshold at morning line
- KILLInside-rail bias flips if the track is harrowed or sealed before the race; any scratch of #5 reshapes the fig gap entirely; #7 CRAZY CANDY's trouble-last trip at 20-1 is the lone chaos flyer but model edge is negative
- MISSINGLive tote, official scratches, post-ingest weather/track condition, rider changes
Why
Dirt 300y claiming sprint at WRD, field of 10, all pace styles unknown — high volatility with an inside-rail bias and posts 1–3 accounting for 58% of winners. Chalk is #5 THE BIG DADDY 2 (ML 2-1, model overlay), who owns the top last fig in the field (97) and is 2nd off a layoff, but all non-chalk overlays read zero on the price board. Post 1 #1 RECIO is primed (rising figs 83→92, class drop from allowance, same trip) and draws the heavily favored inside rail, giving it the clearest pace path in a race where every style is unknown — at 6-1 ML it is the only primed horse with both a bias edge and a real class drop, though no tote confirmation exists.
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printPrice / ready board
Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.
Ready, not overlaid
Full field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | THE BIG DADDY | 2.0 | 27.0% | 31.3% | +4.3% | 0.92 | U | favoriteRising figs2nd off layoffTop last figSame trip | — |
| 9 | FABULOUS PHILOMENA | 4.0 | 16.2% | 15.6% | -0.6% | 0.18 | U | Rising figsClass dropSame trip | — |
| 8 | SHEZA EASY CASH GIRL | 6.0 | 11.6% | 12.7% | +1.1% | 0.69 | U | Rising figs2nd off layoffClass dropSame trip | — |
| 1 | RECIO | 6.0 | 11.6% | 12.2% | +0.6% | 0.54 | U | Rising figsClass dropSame trip | — |
| 2 | METALIC CORONA | 10.0 | 7.4% | 6.1% | -1.2% | -0.41 | U | Rising figsSame trip | — |
| 4 | WINDY SWEETS | 10.0 | 7.4% | 5.9% | -1.5% | -0.57 | U | Same trip | — |
| 6 | NANAS MOON BUG | 15.0 | 5.1% | 4.5% | -0.6% | -0.16 | U | Rising figsBarn changeSame trip | — |
| 3 | CORONAS NIGHT MARE | 15.0 | 5.1% | 4.4% | -0.6% | -0.20 | U | Same trip | — |
| 10 | NAIDU | 15.0 | 5.1% | 4.2% | -0.9% | -0.44 | U | Rising figsSame trip | — |
| 7 | CRAZY CANDY | 20.0 | 3.9% | 3.1% | -0.8% | -0.55 | U | Rising figsTrouble lastClass dropSame trip | — |