LS R1 · 2026-10-09
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find LS R1 · 2026-10-09 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Pace unknown — not enough call1/e1
Pressure unknown. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#6MIDNIGHT DUU
- C2#1RC CHILL TIMEUU
- C3#8ONE MORE JESSUU
- C4#7AB SPECIAL DASHUU
- C5#2MIGHTY BUG REASONUU
- C6#4BOGART LANEUU
- C7#5GODS CHOSENUU
- C8#3GHOST EAGLE05UU
No dedicated early. Crawl likely. One-run closers may never get a target.
Helps — · hurts —
A surprise early type appears. The crawl map is wrong.
Helps — · hurts —
Chaos: the map fails and the race becomes a scramble. No dedicated closer on the file.
Helps — · hurts —
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | MIDNIGHT DGILES FRANCISCO | 1.8 | U | 3rd start cycleSame trip2026-06-11 WYO 1f 12.40 B MT ft 6/9; 2026-06-03 WYO 1f 12.40 Bg MT ft 4/13 · barn: same as last | sMdSpWt → Md Sp Wt | BOLEN BRADLEY | Favorite |
| 1 | RC CHILL TIMEHUERTA ROMAN ARMANDO | 2.0 | U | Rising figs3rd start cycleSame trip2026-05-11 LS 1f 12.40 B D MT sy 2/4; 2025-08-27 LS 1f 12.40 Bg MT ft 21/38 · barn: same as last | fMdSpWt → Md Sp Wt | SALAZAR STEVEN | Favorite |
| 8 | ONE MORE JESSHERNANDEZ H JAVIER | 2.5 | U | Rising figsTrouble lastSame trip2026-08-21 RET 1f 13.60 B MT ft 10/11; 2026-03-25 RET 1f 12.60 B MT ft 8/30 · barn: same as last | sMdSpWt → Md Sp Wt | VALLEJO RICARDO ALONSO | Favorite |
| 7 | AB SPECIAL DASHFIERRO ANGEL A | 8.0 | U | Rising figsBarn changeTop last figSame trip2026-04-10 HOU 1f 12.40 Bg MT ft 17/26; 2026-04-01 HOU 1f 12.20 B MT ft 14/25 · barn: change vs GALINDO KRISTIAN G | MdSpWt → Md Sp Wt | REYES MARCELO JR | field |
| 2 | MIGHTY BUG REASONVERA ELIAZAR T | 12.0 | U | 2nd off layoffTrouble lastBarn changeSame trip2026-04-02 HOU 1f 12.00 B MT ft 5/13; 2025-09-20 LS 1f 11.60 B MT ft 4/31 · barn: change vs SANCHEZ CARLOS B | Md5000c → Md Sp Wt | URIEGAS JOE | primed |
| 4 | BOGART LANEFLORES GARCIA LUIS ANGEL | 20.0 | U | Rising figs2nd off layoffTrouble lastSame trip2026-09-21 LS 1f 13.40 B MT ft 7/7; 2026-09-04 LS 1f 12.60 Bg MT ft 15/32 · barn: same as last | Md5000 → Md Sp Wt | FLORES ABRAHAM | primed |
| 5 | GODS CHOSENCONTRERAS ALFREDO | 20.0 | U | Same trip2026-09-09 LS 3f 39.60 B MT ft 2/2; 2026-07-08 LS 1f 12.60 Bg MT ft 4/10 · barn: same as last | MdSpWt → Md Sp Wt | HATLEY JAMES JR | field |
| 3 | GHOST EAGLE05MARTINEZ OLIVER E | 20.0 | U | Same trip2026-09-12 LS 1f 12.20 Bg MT ft 19/57; 2025-05-30 HOU 1f 13.00 Bg MT ft 11/11 · barn: same as last | FutTrl5000 → Md Sp Wt | JUAREZ FLORES ARTURO | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACELS R1 · 2026-10-09 · D / 300y / Md Sp Wt
- SHAPEPace map unresolvable (all U) · 300y bolt favors gate speed · no scenario tree possible
- CHALKFavorite#6 MIDNIGHT D · short · 3rd-cycle ready but recent figs (74/77) declining from a 93 peak; #1 RC CHILL TIME · short · rising figs (79 last), 3rd cycle, usable; #8 ONE MORE JESS · short · rising figs, trouble last, highest signal (0.53) in field — most live chalk
- LEANWinner call#8 ONE MORE JESS · rising fig line (70→78→79), trouble last (bump/bid/game third), best zForm in field
- PRIMED#2 MIGHTY BUG REASON (2nd off layoff, trouble last, barn change — but class UP from Md5000c, fig 66, signal negative); #4 BOGART LANE (rising figs, 2nd off 699d layoff, trouble last — fig 65 is field-low, no overlay)
- PRICEnone — no non-chalk overlays; primed horses carry negative or flat edges at morning line
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS
- KILLA gate horse breaks clean and wire-to-wires before any closer finds a target; #8 bounces off the 235-day layoff return
- MISSINGlive tote, official scratches, weather, rider changes, LS meet bias sample
Why
Dirt 300y maiden special weight at Lone Star, eight runners, all pace styles unknown — extreme volatility in a short-field maiden sprint where the map is a complete blank. All eight horses carry unknown styles so the shape is unresolvable, chalk trio (#6 MIDNIGHT D at 1.8, #1 RC CHILL TIME at 2, #8 ONE MORE JESS at 2.5) dominate the morning line, and no non-chalk overlay exists on the board. #4 BOGART LANE (20-1, primed: rising figs, 2nd off a 699-day layoff, trouble last) is the only flagged price horse, but last fig of 65 is the lowest in the field and the model edge is flat at -0.001 — the flags are real, the fig is not.
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printPrice / ready board
Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.
Ready, not overlaid
Full field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | MIDNIGHT D | 1.8 | 27.3% | 26.2% | -1.1% | 0.04 | U | favorite3rd start cycleSame trip | — |
| 1 | RC CHILL TIME | 2.0 | 25.5% | 25.6% | +0.1% | 0.23 | U | favoriteRising figs3rd start cycleSame trip | — |
| 8 | ONE MORE JESS | 2.5 | 21.9% | 23.7% | +1.9% | 0.53 | U | favoriteRising figsTrouble lastSame trip | — |
| 7 | AB SPECIAL DASH | 8.0 | 8.5% | 9.8% | +1.3% | 0.77 | U | Rising figsBarn changeTop last figSame trip | — |
| 2 | MIGHTY BUG REASON | 12.0 | 5.9% | 5.3% | -0.6% | -0.20 | U | 2nd off layoffTrouble lastBarn changeSame trip | — |
| 4 | BOGART LANE | 20.0 | 3.6% | 3.5% | -0.1% | 0.08 | U | Rising figs2nd off layoffTrouble lastSame trip | — |
| 5 | GODS CHOSEN | 20.0 | 3.6% | 3.3% | -0.4% | -0.22 | U | Same trip | — |
| 3 | GHOST EAGLE05 | 20.0 | 3.6% | 2.5% | -1.1% | -1.23 | U | Same trip | — |