ASD R7 · 2026-09-29
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find ASD R7 · 2026-09-29 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
No dedicated early — closers need collapse
Pressure moderate. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#7PROMISE CODEP
- C2#6RICKS RED STORMP
- C3#2MONEY MUNCHERP
- C4#4AARONS SPIRITS
- C5#5WEEKENDINDELMARP
- C6#3CONSPIRACYTHEORISTC
- C7#1MAIN DUDES
No dedicated early. Crawl likely. One-run closers may never get a target.
Helps #7 PROMISE CODE, #6 RICKS RED STORM, #2 MONEY MUNCHER, #5 WEEKENDINDELMAR, #4 AARONS SPIRIT, #1 MAIN DUDE · hurts —
A surprise early type appears. The crawl map is wrong.
Helps #7 PROMISE CODE, #6 RICKS RED STORM, #2 MONEY MUNCHER, #5 WEEKENDINDELMAR, #4 AARONS SPIRIT, #1 MAIN DUDE · hurts —
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#4 AARONS SPIRIT, #3 CONSPIRACYTHEORIST, #1 MAIN DUDE).
Helps #4 AARONS SPIRIT, #3 CONSPIRACYTHEORIST, #1 MAIN DUDE · hurts —
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | RICKS RED STORMWHITEHALL ANTONIO | 0.8 | P | 3rd start cycleTag dropTop last figSame trip2026-08-14 ASD 3f 37.60 B MT ft 2/3; 2026-07-26 WYO 4f 49.80 B MT ft 8/11 · barn: same as last | Clm7500 → Clm 5000n4l | PIERCE MICHAEL L | Favorite |
| 3 | CONSPIRACYTHEORISTBALROOP SVEN | 3.0 | C | Same trip2026-08-24 ASD 5f 63.00 B MT ft 1/1; 2026-06-15 ASD 3f 36.00 B MT ft bullet 1/11 · barn: same as last | Clm5000n4l → Clm 5000n4l | PEDERSON KEITH | field |
| 5 | WEEKENDINDELMARKHELAWAN KERRON | 6.0 | P | Rising figs3rd start cycleSame trip2026-08-19 ASD 5f 62.60 B MT ft 2/3; 2026-08-12 ASD 5f 63.40 B MT ft 2/4 · barn: same as last | fClm5000n3l → Clm 5000n4l | MAYBIN ROBERT | primed |
| 4 | AARONS SPIRITKNIGHTS RACHAAD | 8.0 | S | Same trip2026-08-18 ASD 4f 52.40 B MT ft 11/13; 2026-08-05 ASD 4f 51.20 H MT ft 12/19 · barn: same as last | Clm5000n4l → Clm 5000n4l | HUNTER JUDY | field |
| 2 | MONEY MUNCHERPRESCOD DEVANTE | 15.0 | P | Rising figsTag dropSame trip2026-09-16 ASD 3f 39.20 B MT ft 3/3; 2026-09-09 ASD 5f 63.60 B MT ft 2/3 · barn: same as last | Clm7500 → Clm 5000n4l | JORDAN JENNIFER | field |
| 7 | PROMISE CODETOWNSEND SHAVON | 25.0 | P | Rising figsSame trip2026-08-29 ASD 3f 38.40 B MT ft 2/3; 2026-05-03 ASD 3f 36.80 H MT ft 2/10 · barn: same as last | Clm5000n4l → Clm 5000n4l | ELLIS ANDRE | field |
| 1 | MAIN DUDESTEPHENSON NEVILLE | 20.0 | S | Same trip2026-05-12 ASD 3f 38.60 H MT ft 1/1; 2026-02-25 FON 3f 39.40 B MT ft 10/14 · barn: same as last | Clm4500b → Clm 5000n4l | GOURNEAU JERRY | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEASD R7 · 2026-09-29 · Dirt 1210y · Clm 5000n4l
- SHAPENo dedicated early; all pressers/stalkers; crawl likely; front-runners who clear uncontested benefit most
- CHALKFavorite#6 RICKS RED STORM · solid · top fig, tag drop, third-start cycle, inside bias friendly — just no price
- LEANWinner call#6 RICKS RED STORM
- PRIMED#5 WEEKENDINDELMAR (rising figs, 3rd-start cycle, same trip) — fires here but not an overlay
- PRICEnone — no non-chalk overlays per ingest
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS
- KILLA surprise speed type creates a genuine duel and grinds down RICKS RED STORM; chalk tires on a true lone-speed melt; post 6 outside the inside-rail bias zone
- MISSINGlive tote, official scratches, weather/surface condition update, rider changes
Why
Dirt sprint at 1210y in a $5,000 claiming field of seven, no dedicated early speed, crawl likely — moderate volatility from a flat pace map in a cheap, tight class. All seven horses project as pressers or stalkers, producing a no-pace shape that should favor front-runners who clear softly, with chalk #6 RICKS RED STORM holding the top last fig (74), a tag drop from $7,500, and third-start-cycle timing, sitting at a tote-killing 0.8 ML. #5 WEEKENDINDELMAR is the designated primed horse (rising figs 67→70, third start of cycle, same trip) and won last out at this class level, but the model shows it as a non-overlay at 6-1 ML with edge negative. ``` ```
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printPrice / ready board
Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.
Ready, not overlaid
Full field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | RICKS RED STORM | 0.8 | 46.0% | 52.4% | +6.4% | 1.07 | P | favorite3rd start cycleTag dropTop last figSame trip | — |
| 3 | CONSPIRACYTHEORIST | 3.0 | 20.7% | 19.8% | -0.9% | 0.36 | C | Same trip | — |
| 5 | WEEKENDINDELMAR | 6.0 | 11.8% | 10.2% | -1.7% | -0.07 | P | Rising figs3rd start cycleSame trip | — |
| 4 | AARONS SPIRIT | 8.0 | 9.2% | 8.1% | -1.1% | 0.04 | S | Same trip | — |
| 2 | MONEY MUNCHER | 15.0 | 5.2% | 4.0% | -1.2% | -0.48 | P | Rising figsTag dropSame trip | — |
| 7 | PROMISE CODE | 25.0 | 3.2% | 2.8% | -0.4% | 0.01 | P | Rising figsSame trip | — |
| 1 | MAIN DUDE | 20.0 | 3.9% | 2.7% | -1.2% | -0.93 | S | Same trip | — |