RP R9 · 2026-10-10
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find RP R9 · 2026-10-10 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Wall of early / pressers (#8 #2 #7 #1 #9)
Pressure extreme. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#8OUTTAHERWAYE
- C2#2FROM THE TOP ROPEE
- C3#7GLORY OEP
- C4#1WEST CODE MISCHIEFEP
- C5#9PENNY POWERSE
- C6#4FLAT OUT KELCEP
- C7#3SLEEPY MUSICS
- C8#5DEVIOUS DIVAS
- C9#6LUCK IS A LADYC
Honest pace among #8 OUTTAHERWAY and #2 FROM THE TOP ROPE and #7 GLORY O and #1 WEST CODE MISCHIEF and #9 PENNY POWERS. Ability decides if they do not empty.
Helps #4 FLAT OUT KELCE, #3 SLEEPY MUSIC, #5 DEVIOUS DIVA · hurts #8 OUTTAHERWAY, #2 FROM THE TOP ROPE, #7 GLORY O, #1 WEST CODE MISCHIEF, #9 PENNY POWERS
Pressure: #8 OUTTAHERWAY and #2 FROM THE TOP ROPE and #7 GLORY O and #1 WEST CODE MISCHIEF and #9 PENNY POWERS hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.
Helps #4 FLAT OUT KELCE, #3 SLEEPY MUSIC, #5 DEVIOUS DIVA · hurts #8 OUTTAHERWAY, #2 FROM THE TOP ROPE, #7 GLORY O, #1 WEST CODE MISCHIEF, #9 PENNY POWERS
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#3 SLEEPY MUSIC, #5 DEVIOUS DIVA, #6 LUCK IS A LADY).
Helps #3 SLEEPY MUSIC, #5 DEVIOUS DIVA, #6 LUCK IS A LADY · hurts #8 OUTTAHERWAY, #2 FROM THE TOP ROPE, #7 GLORY O, #1 WEST CODE MISCHIEF, #9 PENNY POWERS
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | PENNY POWERSWETHEY FLOYD JR | 2.5 | E | Rising figs3rd start cycleLed last2026-08-22 RP 3f 39.80 H MT ft 44/44; 2026-08-06 RP 4f 49.40 H MT ft 11/47 · barn: same as last | fClm30000n3l → Alw 39000n1x | YOUNG SCOTT E | Favorite |
| 4 | FLAT OUT KELCECABRERA DAVID | 3.5 | P | Rising figsTop last figSame trip2026-08-19 RP 4f 47.40 H MT ft 2/50; 2026-08-12 RP 4f 50.00 H MT ft 12/48 · barn: same as last | fsAlw39000n1x → Alw 39000n1x | MURPHY TRAVIS SWAN | overlay |
| 2 | FROM THE TOP ROPEJARA FERNANDO | 4.5 | E | Rising figsLed lastSame trip2026-09-24 RP 3f 37.80 H MT ft 4/8; 2026-09-17 RP 4f 49.40 H MT ft 10/21 · barn: same as last | fAlw39000n1x → Alw 39000n1x | YOUNG SCOTT E | field |
| 7 | GLORY OELLIOTT S | 6.0 | EP | 2nd off layoffSame trip2026-10-03 RP 5f 61.80 H MT ft 11/28; 2026-09-04 RP 5f 61.20 H MT ft 2/15 · barn: same as last | fsClm10000n3l → Alw 39000n1x | WILLIS MINDY | field |
| 1 | WEST CODE MISCHIEFALVAREZ JOSE L | 6.0 | EP | Same trip2026-08-24 RP 3f 37.80 H MT ft 3/6; 2026-08-18 RP 4f 52.40 H MT ft 40/41 · barn: same as last | fsClm30000n2l → Alw 39000n1x | OFFOLTER JOE S | field |
| 5 | DEVIOUS DIVAHUCKABY RONNIE | 8.0 | S | Rising figsSame trip2026-08-21 RP 3f 37.60 H MT ft 2/31; 2026-08-13 RP 4f 48.20 H MT ft 2/53 · barn: same as last | fsClm10000n3l → Alw 39000n1x | CASTER BOYD | field |
| 3 | SLEEPY MUSICDIAZ RENE | 15.0 | S | 3rd start cycleSame trip2026-09-08 RP 3f 36.60 H MT ft 4/10; 2026-08-22 RP 4f 49.40 H MT ft 14/99 · barn: same as last | fsAlw39000n2l → Alw 39000n1x | SILVA MIGUEL | field |
| 8 | OUTTAHERWAYLUZZI LANE J | 15.0 | E | Rising figs3rd start cycleLed lastSame trip2026-09-26 RP 3f 37.80 H MT ft 8/25; 2026-09-19 RP 4f 47.80 H MT ft 3/94 · barn: same as last | fsClm30000n2l → Alw 39000n1x | GUSTAFSON AUSTIN | primed |
| 6 | LUCK IS A LADYBACON TYLER W | 12.0 | C | Rising figsSharp work2026-10-02 RP 5f 59.60 H MT ft bullet 1/13; 2026-09-21 RP 4f 47.20 H MT ft 2/7 · barn: same as last | fsMdSpWt → Alw 39000n1x | CASTER BOYD | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACERP R9 · 2026-10-10 · Turf 1100y Alw39000n1x
- SHAPEWall of speed (#8 #2 #7 #1 #9) → duel near-certain; closer/stalker bias; inside rail bias; extreme pressure
- CHALKFavorite#9 PENNY POWERS · opposable · post 9 kills the inside-rail bias, pace war from a dead draw, rising figs but 3rd-start-cycle chalk rarely pays
- LEANWinner call#4 FLAT OUT KELCE · top fig (85), A/B stalking path from post 4, pace-shape beneficiary
- PRIMED#8 OUTTAHERWAY (rising figs, 3rd start cycle, led last) — path is speed-duel territory, model signal deeply negative, figs (56) well below field; note only
- PRICE#4 FLAT OUT KELCE ML 3.5 · edge 0.053 (morning line, not tote)
- PLAYPrice ticket#4 FLAT OUT KELCE · min 3-1 · win · CAVEAT: turf record is a hard negative (3.85% win, –0.29 ROI); need live tote ≥ 3-1 to confirm overlay holds — if board compresses below 3-1, PASS
- KILLFLAT OUT KELCE's turf stats are nearly 0% win; if going goes soft or he bounces off a career-best dirt fig, the overlay disappears; #9 surviving from post 9 with a clean trip would invalidate the shape call
- MISSINGlive tote (ML only), official scratches, weather/going report, rider changes, off-turf contingency
Why
Turf sprint allowance (n1x) at 1100y with five early/presser types in a nine-horse field — extreme pace volatility, bias strongly favoring closers from inside posts. Five horses contest the lead (#8, #2, #7, #1, #9) making a duel near-certain; the shape tilts hard toward stalkers (#4 FLAT OUT KELCE, #3 SLEEPY MUSIC) and closers, while chalk #9 PENNY POWERS draws the worst post (9) into an inside-rail-favoring bias and must survive a pace war from a dead post. The ingest flags #4 FLAT OUT KELCE as the lone non-chalk overlay (edge 0.053, top fig 85 in the field, A/B path as a presser sitting mid-pack behind the duel) at ML 3.5. FLAT OUT KELCE's dirt form is dominant but his turf key is ugly (3.85% win, –0.29 ROI in 26 turf starts), a material kill that the model may be discounting; however, the pace shape in A and B gives him a live stalking trip from post 4 with the field's top last figure. ``` ```
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
PLAY is a look. Stamp the board so after official we can grade an action, not a morning-line wish.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printPrice / ready board
Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.
Price overlays
Ready, not overlaid
Full field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | PENNY POWERS | 2.5 | 22.2% | 23.0% | +0.8% | 0.50 | E | favoriteRising figs3rd start cycleLed last | — |
| 4 | FLAT OUT KELCE | 3.5 | 17.2% | 22.5% | +5.3% | 1.42 | P | Rising figsTop last figSame trip | — |
| 2 | FROM THE TOP ROPE | 4.5 | 14.1% | 15.5% | +1.4% | 0.73 | E | Rising figsLed lastSame trip | — |
| 7 | GLORY O | 6.0 | 11.1% | 10.3% | -0.7% | 0.08 | EP | 2nd off layoffSame trip | — |
| 1 | WEST CODE MISCHIEF | 6.0 | 11.1% | 9.5% | -1.6% | -0.28 | EP | Same trip | — |
| 5 | DEVIOUS DIVA | 8.0 | 8.6% | 7.1% | -1.5% | -0.44 | S | Rising figsSame trip | — |
| 3 | SLEEPY MUSIC | 15.0 | 4.9% | 4.2% | -0.7% | -0.26 | S | 3rd start cycleSame trip | — |
| 8 | OUTTAHERWAY | 15.0 | 4.9% | 4.1% | -0.8% | -0.35 | E | Rising figs3rd start cycleLed lastSame trip | — |
| 6 | LUCK IS A LADY | 12.0 | 6.0% | 3.9% | -2.1% | -1.40 | C | Rising figsSharp work | — |