FE R4 · 2026-09-29
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find FE R4 · 2026-09-29 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
No dedicated early — closers need collapse
Pressure moderate. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#2GO GO ALEXANDERS
- C2#3TIMES A BREEZEC
- C3#6AUDAX MINORC
- C4#5PRINCESSONAMISSIONP
- C5#7CATHOLIC JACKIEC
- C6#1BACK RIVERC
- C7#4ILIKEITWHENITSNOWSC
No dedicated early. Crawl likely. One-run closers may never get a target.
Helps #5 PRINCESSONAMISSION, #2 GO GO ALEXANDER · hurts —
A surprise early type appears. The crawl map is wrong.
Helps #5 PRINCESSONAMISSION, #2 GO GO ALEXANDER · hurts —
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#2 GO GO ALEXANDER, #3 TIMES A BREEZE, #6 AUDAX MINOR, #7 CATHOLIC JACKIE, #1 BACK RIVER, #4 ILIKEITWHENITSNOWS).
Helps #2 GO GO ALEXANDER, #3 TIMES A BREEZE, #6 AUDAX MINOR, #7 CATHOLIC JACKIE, #1 BACK RIVER, #4 ILIKEITWHENITSNOWS · hurts —
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | GO GO ALEXANDERCRAWFORD J | 1.6 | S | —2026-09-15 FE 4f 52.40 B MT ft 9/9; 2026-07-03 WO 3f 37.60 B TT ft 5/8 · barn: same as last | Alw18286n2l → Alw 28800n3l | CECCATO SHARON | Favorite |
| 4 | ILIKEITWHENITSNOWSSALLES LEO | 2.5 | C | Rising figsSame trip2026-07-25 FE 4f 48.80 H MT ft 2/4; 2026-06-21 FE 5f 62.20 B MT ft 3/4 · barn: same as last | PussNBoots32k → Alw 28800n3l | CARTER DOUG | Favorite |
| 3 | TIMES A BREEZEALDERSON JEFFREY IAN | 3.5 | C | Top last paceSame trip2026-06-08 FE 4f 50.80 B MT ft 13/14; 2026-05-18 FE 3f 37.00 B MT ft 3/14 · barn: same as last | Alw17036n3l → Alw 28800n3l | AGOSTINO ROY GEORGE | field |
| 1 | BACK RIVERBYNOE DESEAN | 6.0 | C | 3rd start cycle2026-09-21 FE 4f 49.00 B MT ft 3/6; 2026-07-27 FE 5f 60.80 B MT ft 1/1 · barn: same as last | ElginB200k → Alw 28800n3l | MAYNARD DESMOND | field |
| 7 | CATHOLIC JACKIECHEYNE BRIAN A | 10.0 | C | Rising figsTop last figSame trip2026-08-17 FE 2f 24.20 B MT ft 1/1; 2026-07-07 FE 2f 24.00 B MT ft 1/2 · barn: same as last | PussNBoots32k → Alw 28800n3l | AGOSTINO ROY GEORGE | field |
| 5 | PRINCESSONAMISSIONJOHNSON KIRK | 12.0 | P | Rising figsLed last2026-08-03 FE 4f 49.00 B MT sy 1/1; 2026-07-13 FE 4f 48.40 B MT ft 2/11 · barn: same as last | fClm6250n2l → Alw 28800n3l | SQUIRES SUE A | field |
| 6 | AUDAX MINORMOSQUEIRA ISMAEL ELUID | 20.0 | C | Same trip2026-07-21 FE 4f 48.20 H MT ft bullet 1/14; 2026-06-24 WO 5f 60.60 B MT ft 5/19 · barn: same as last | Clm7500b → Alw 28800n3l | CATHCART STEVEN | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEFE R4 · 2026-09-29 · T / 1760y / Alw 28800n3l
- SHAPENo dedicated early; crawl likely; presser #5 sole pace source;
- CHALKFavorite#2 GO GO ALEXANDER · solid · inside post, proven stalker,
- LEANWinner call#2 GO GO ALEXANDER
- PRIMEDnone (sheet-flagged primed list empty; #7 has rising figs but
- PRICEno price — no non-chalk overlay clears the bar
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS
- KILLTrack goes soft / surface pulls off turf (all form shifts);
- MISSINGlive tote, official scratches, going report / weather,
Why
Turf route at Fort Erie, allowance n3l, seven closers and a lone presser in a crawl-map — moderate-to-high volatility with no proven early speed to set a target.
Shape is a no-pace affair where #2 GO GO ALEXANDER (chalk at 1.6) is the most credible price-setter from post 2 on a rail-bias turf course, making her a solid chalk with a pace edge the field cannot replicate; the second chalk #4 ILIKEITWHENITSNOWS is a model underlay at 2.5.
#7 CATHOLIC JACKIE shows rising figs (68→72→74→75, three straight climbs), tops the field in last fig, and exits a stakes route — but post 7 on a rail-bias turf against an inside chalk at a fraction of the price leaves no overlay path.
```
rail bias favors inside draws; closers need a collapse to fire
best pace map position, class-rising into a crawl she can stalk
is chalk-priced adjacent and post 7 fights the rail bias)
a hidden early type scrambles the crawl map; #2 loses her
stalking spot to a wide trip from post 2
rider changes post-ingest
```Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printFull field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | GO GO ALEXANDER | 1.6 | 30.7% | 34.3% | +3.6% | 0.49 | S | favorite | — |
| 4 | ILIKEITWHENITSNOWS | 2.5 | 22.8% | 19.3% | -3.5% | -0.62 | C | favoriteRising figsSame trip | — |
| 3 | TIMES A BREEZE | 3.5 | 17.8% | 17.4% | -0.3% | -0.03 | C | Top last paceSame trip | — |
| 1 | BACK RIVER | 6.0 | 11.4% | 11.4% | +0.0% | 0.06 | C | 3rd start cycle | — |
| 7 | CATHOLIC JACKIE | 10.0 | 7.3% | 7.7% | +0.4% | 0.26 | C | Rising figsTop last figSame trip | — |
| 5 | PRINCESSONAMISSION | 12.0 | 6.1% | 6.3% | +0.2% | 0.18 | P | Rising figsLed last | — |
| 6 | AUDAX MINOR | 20.0 | 3.8% | 3.5% | -0.4% | -0.34 | C | Same trip | — |