SA R8 · 2026-10-09
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find SA R8 · 2026-10-09 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Pace unknown — not enough call1/e1
Pressure unknown. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#8MAGIC WAVEUU
- C2#7IRON SANDUU
- C3#4AT PEACEUU
- C4#3FRANCISCUSUU
- C5#5NOMOREBUTTAFINGERSUU
- C6#2GRAND INDIANUU
- C7#6BOSS MAN BOLTP
- C8#1FRACTIOUSUU
No dedicated early. Crawl likely. One-run closers may never get a target.
Helps #6 BOSS MAN BOLT · hurts —
A surprise early type appears. The crawl map is wrong.
Helps #6 BOSS MAN BOLT · hurts —
Chaos: the map fails and the race becomes a scramble. No dedicated closer on the file.
Helps — · hurts —
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FRACTIOUSROSARIO JOEL | 2.0 | U | Same trip2026-10-04 SA 3f 35.80 Hg MT ft 3/26; 2026-09-25 SA 5f 60.40 Hg MT ft 7/49 · barn: same as last | rMoc150000 → Moc 100000 | O'NEILL DOUG | Favorite |
| 8 | MAGIC WAVEPEREIRA TIAGO | 4.0 | U | Top last figTop last paceSame trip2026-09-28 SA 4f 48.20 H MT ft 21/54; 2026-09-13 SA 4f 48.00 H MT ft 30/74 · barn: same as last | MdSpWt → Moc 100000 | PALMA HECTOR O | field |
| 7 | IRON SANDHERNANDEZ JUAN J | 4.5 | U | —2026-10-02 SLR 4f 48.40 H MT ft 2/13; 2026-09-26 SLR 5f 60.80 Hg MT ft 12/29 · barn: WILLIAMS SEAN (no last-line barn) | — → Moc 100000 | WILLIAMS SEAN | field |
| 6 | BOSS MAN BOLTAYUSO ARMANDO | 5.0 | P | —2026-10-02 SA 5f 60.20 H MT ft 6/26; 2026-09-26 SA 4f 49.00 H MT ft 42/74 · barn: same as last | MdSpWt → Moc 100000 | RUIS MICK SR | field |
| 4 | AT PEACESMITH M E | 6.0 | U | —2026-09-30 SA 5f 61.60 H MT ft 8/14; 2026-09-23 SA 5f 59.60 H MT ft bullet 1/12 · barn: MANDELLA RICHARD E (no last-line barn) | — → Moc 100000 | MANDELLA RICHARD E | field |
| 2 | GRAND INDIANFREY KYLE | 8.0 | U | Trouble lastSharp workSame trip2026-09-29 SLR 5f 59.80 H MT ft bullet 1/4; 2026-08-29 DMR 4f 47.20 Hg MT ft 5/111 · barn: same as last | rMoc150000 → Moc 100000 | KITCHINGMAN ADAM | field |
| 3 | FRANCISCUSKIMURA KAZUSHI | 12.0 | U | —2026-10-02 SA 4f 48.60 H MT ft 21/48; 2026-09-20 SA 5f 60.60 Hg MT ft 11/75 · barn: YAKTEEN TIM (no last-line barn) | — → Moc 100000 | YAKTEEN TIM | field |
| 5 | NOMOREBUTTAFINGERSVAN DYKE DRAYDEN | 15.0 | U | —2026-10-03 SA 5f 62.40 H MT ft 47/71; 2026-09-26 SA 5f 59.80 Hg MT ft 9/73 · barn: BALTAS RICHARD (no last-line barn) | — → Moc 100000 | BALTAS RICHARD | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACESA R8 · 2026-10-09 · Dirt / 1430y sprint / MOC $100k
- SHAPEPace map opaque (7 of 8 styles unknown); crawl likely; high volatility — majority debuts
- CHALKFavorite#1 FRACTIOUS · usable but short · step-down fits, but ML 2 absorbs all the juice; negative model edge (-0.013)
- LEANWinner call#8 MAGIC WAVE · top fig (78), top E1 (91) in field, positive model edge, repeat sprint trip
- PRIMEDnone
- PRICEno price — zero non-chalk overlays; sheet rec PASS
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS
- KILLAny debut exits with early speed and punishes the crawl; FRACTIOUS clears on the class drop at a big price
- MISSINGLive tote, official scratches, weather, rider changes post-ingest
Why
SA R8 is a dirt sprint maiden-optional claimer with five first-time starters, a nearly unreadable pace map, and high volatility driven by debut unknowns across most of the field. Shape is opaque — seven of eight horses carry unknown styles, projecting a crawl scenario that theoretically benefits the only identified presser (#6 BOSS MAN BOLT), though that horse's zForm is deeply negative and its best fig (80) came at 1210y in a different race type; chalk #1 FRACTIOUS is a second-career horse stepping down from a $150k maiden, posted a fig of 74 last out with a slow start, and is a negative model edge at ML 2. No horse clears the 2-flag PRIMED threshold, and the sheet's own overlay scan returns zero non-chalk prices. ``` ```
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printFull field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FRACTIOUS | 2.0 | 26.1% | 24.9% | -1.3% | -0.12 | U | favoriteSame trip | — |
| 8 | MAGIC WAVE | 4.0 | 15.7% | 20.6% | +4.9% | 1.16 | U | Top last figTop last paceSame trip | — |
| 7 | IRON SAND | 4.5 | 14.3% | 14.0% | -0.3% | 0.00 | U | — | |
| 6 | BOSS MAN BOLT | 5.0 | 13.1% | 11.6% | -1.5% | -0.40 | P | — | |
| 4 | AT PEACE | 6.0 | 11.2% | 11.0% | -0.2% | 0.00 | U | — | |
| 2 | GRAND INDIAN | 8.0 | 8.7% | 7.3% | -1.4% | -0.63 | U | Trouble lastSharp workSame trip | — |
| 3 | FRANCISCUS | 12.0 | 6.0% | 5.9% | -0.1% | 0.00 | U | — | |
| 5 | NOMOREBUTTAFINGERS | 15.0 | 4.9% | 4.8% | -0.1% | 0.00 | U | — |