FP R1 · 2026-10-06
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find FP R1 · 2026-10-06 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Wall of early / pressers (#4 #1 #5)
Pressure high. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#4SLICK HENRYEP
- C2#1SPIRIT OF TROYEP
- C3#3SHO DOMINICP
- C4#2SCULPTORP
- C5#5JULANDEP
- C6#6MILLYS BOWUU
- C7#7SOUR TAMARINDOUU
- C8#8CODE OF COLORSUU
Honest pace among #4 SLICK HENRY and #1 SPIRIT OF TROY and #5 JULAND. Ability decides if they do not empty.
Helps #3 SHO DOMINIC, #2 SCULPTOR · hurts #4 SLICK HENRY, #1 SPIRIT OF TROY, #5 JULAND
Pressure: #4 SLICK HENRY and #1 SPIRIT OF TROY and #5 JULAND hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.
Helps #3 SHO DOMINIC, #2 SCULPTOR · hurts #4 SLICK HENRY, #1 SPIRIT OF TROY, #5 JULAND
Chaos: the map fails and the race becomes a scramble. No dedicated closer on the file.
Helps — · hurts #4 SLICK HENRY, #1 SPIRIT OF TROY, #5 JULAND
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | SCULPTORFELIX J E | 1.4 | P | Led lastSame trip2026-08-21 FP 5f 61.40 B MT ft 1/3; 2026-08-04 FP 5f 61.20 Bg MT ft 2/4 · barn: same as last | sMdSpWt → Md Sp Wt | WAINWRIGHT JOHN | Favorite |
| 4 | SLICK HENRYORTIZ ALVIN | 2.0 | EP | Rising figsTop last figTop last paceSame trip2026-09-26 FP 4f 50.20 B MT ft 10/24; 2026-08-03 FP 4f 48.80 Bg MT ft 2/9 · barn: same as last | sMdSpWt → Md Sp Wt | CHILDERS SHANE | Favorite |
| 1 | SPIRIT OF TROYMARTINEZ BRODY | 6.0 | EP | Same trip2026-09-29 FP 5f 61.20 Bg MT ft 2/5; 2026-09-08 FP 5f 61.60 Bg MT ft 1/2 · barn: same as last | sMdSpWt → Md Sp Wt | POMPELL ROBERT | field |
| 6 | MILLYS BOWARANGUREN JOHANIS | 8.0 | U | —2026-09-26 FP 4f 51.00 B MT ft 16/24; 2026-09-19 FP 4f 51.80 B MT ft 8/8 · barn: ESSENPREIS EDWARD (no last-line barn) | — → Md Sp Wt | ESSENPREIS EDWARD | field |
| 3 | SHO DOMINICORTEGA HAROLD JOSEPH | 12.0 | P | Rising figsSame trip2026-09-22 FP 4f 51.00 B MT ft 6/12; 2026-08-03 FP 4f 48.80 Bg MT ft 2/9 · barn: same as last | sMdSpWt → Md Sp Wt | CHILDERS SHANE | field |
| 7 | SOUR TAMARINDOBENDEZU ALEXANDER | 10.0 | U | Same trip2026-08-22 FP 3f 37.20 Bg MT ft bullet 1/9; 2026-08-15 FP 4f 52.20 Bg MT ft 21/22 · barn: same as last | sMdSpWt → Md Sp Wt | SALAZAR ADRIAN M | field |
| 8 | CODE OF COLORSARRIETA REYNIER | 15.0 | U | Same trip2026-08-28 FP 5f 65.40 B MT ft 5/6; 2026-08-20 FP 3f 36.20 Bg MT ft bullet 1/11 · barn: same as last | sMdSpWt → Md Sp Wt | ESSENPREIS EDWARD | field |
| 5 | JULANDDIEGO JAVIER | 30.0 | EP | Rising figsSame trip2026-09-04 FP 4f 48.60 Bg MT ft 3/20; 2026-08-24 FP 4f 51.40 B MT ft 2/2 · barn: same as last | sMdSpWt → Md Sp Wt | WAINWRIGHT JOHN | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEFP R1 · 2026-10-06 · Dirt 1210y Md Sp Wt
- SHAPEWall of early/pressers (#4 #1 #5); honest-to-contested pace favors stalkers #3 and #2 if the speed empties
- CHALKFavorite#2 SCULPTOR (1.4-ML) · short/usable but price is poison; #4 SLICK HENRY (2-ML) · also chalk, rising figs + top E1, but still chalk
- LEANWinner call#4 SLICK HENRY · top last fig (72), top last E1 (93), rising cycle, same trip — likely the best horse even in a contested pace
- PRIMEDnone (only non-chalk 2+ flag horses qualify; no such horse exists here)
- PRICEnone (sole model overlay is chalk #4)
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS
- KILL#2 SCULPTOR leads or clears cleanly from the two-hole and the pace duel never materializes; debut #6 MILLYS BOW fires first out for a strong Essenpreis barn (26% 2YO debut key)
- MISSINGlive tote, official scratches, weather/going, rider changes post-ingest
Why
Dirt sprint maiden special weight at FP, eight runners, moderate-to-high volatility given the wall of early/presser speed and a debut in the mix. Three EP/P types (#4, #1, #5) project to hook up early, making the shape honest-to-contested and favoring any stalker who can find a clean trip — both chalks (#2 at 1.4-ML and #4 at 2-ML) are likely to be in or near the duel, with #2 SCULPTOR the morning-line favorite and #4 SLICK HENRY the model overlay but still chalk. No horse clears the 2+ flag / non-chalk overlay threshold for PRIMED or PRICE — the only model overlay is #4 SLICK HENRY, who is chalk by both ML rank and ML odds. ``` ```
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printFull field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | SCULPTOR | 1.4 | 32.9% | 33.9% | +1.0% | 0.58 | P | favoriteLed lastSame trip | — |
| 4 | SLICK HENRY | 2.0 | 26.3% | 32.0% | +5.7% | 1.24 | EP | favoriteRising figsTop last figTop last paceSame trip | — |
| 1 | SPIRIT OF TROY | 6.0 | 11.3% | 8.6% | -2.7% | -0.64 | EP | Same trip | — |
| 6 | MILLYS BOW | 8.0 | 8.8% | 7.8% | -1.0% | 0.00 | U | — | |
| 3 | SHO DOMINIC | 12.0 | 6.1% | 6.6% | +0.5% | 0.78 | P | Rising figsSame trip | — |
| 7 | SOUR TAMARINDO | 10.0 | 7.2% | 5.7% | -1.5% | -0.48 | U | Same trip | — |
| 8 | CODE OF COLORS | 15.0 | 4.9% | 3.4% | -1.6% | -1.06 | U | Same trip | — |
| 5 | JULAND | 30.0 | 2.5% | 2.0% | -0.5% | -0.42 | EP | Rising figsSame trip | — |