closebeat
Start free
← RaceDay

PEN R5 · 2026-10-07

PASSD1320y1 readyPLAY passRace Simulator →MC Exotics →Expert handicap ↓Results →After the races
Bet now

Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find PEN R5 · 2026-10-07 on their board.

Expert handicap

LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.

Sign in to run

Pace map

Two-speed duel risk (#2 vs #3)

Pressure high. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.

  1. C1#2YORKVILLEEP
  2. C2#3POWER AGENDAEP
  3. C3#6AQUITANIA ARRIVALS
  4. C4#4BIGDADDYSBOYS
  5. C5#1IRA THE ICONC
  6. C6#5LAFITTES FLEETC
A · Likely — expected flow

Honest pace among #2 YORKVILLE and #3 POWER AGENDA. Ability decides if they do not empty.

Helps #6 AQUITANIA ARRIVAL, #4 BIGDADDYSBOY · hurts #2 YORKVILLE, #3 POWER AGENDA

B · Pressure — duel / honest

Pressure: #2 YORKVILLE and #3 POWER AGENDA hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.

Helps #6 AQUITANIA ARRIVAL, #4 BIGDADDYSBOY · hurts #2 YORKVILLE, #3 POWER AGENDA

C · Chaos — collapse

Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#6 AQUITANIA ARRIVAL, #4 BIGDADDYSBOY, #1 IRA THE ICON, #5 LAFITTES FLEET).

Helps #6 AQUITANIA ARRIVAL, #4 BIGDADDYSBOY, #1 IRA THE ICON, #5 LAFITTES FLEET · hurts #2 YORKVILLE, #3 POWER AGENDA

Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.

#HorseMLStyleReadyClassBarnRole
2YORKVILLEBEATO INOEL2.5EPTag dropSharp workTop last figTop last paceSame trip2026-09-30 PEN 3f 36.20 Bg MT ft 1/3; 2026-09-19 PEN 5f 60.80 B MT ft 2/3 · barn: same as lastClm7500n4l → Clm 4000n1ySALVAGGIO MARK VFavorite
1IRA THE ICONBURGOS JORGE L3.0C2nd off layoffTrouble lastTag dropSame trip2026-09-02 PEN 4f 49.80 B MT ft 1/2; 2025-12-11 DEL 5f 62.60 B MT ft 2/7 · barn: same as lastClm5000n2y → Clm 4000n1yMCCLELLAN ERIN Cprimed
3POWER AGENDAGONZALEZ MELVIS4.0EPTag dropSame trip2026-09-30 PRX 5f 61.40 B MT ft 18/30; 2026-09-19 PRX 5f 61.40 B MT ft 10/15 · barn: same as lastClm5000n2y → Clm 4000n1yVELAZQUEZ ALFREDOfield
4BIGDADDYSBOYBETANCOURT JOSE R5.0SHidden paceTag drop2026-08-01 PEN 4f 51.60 B MT ft 20/20; 2026-04-19 LRL 4f 51.00 B MT ft 43/76 · barn: same as lastClm5000b → Clm 4000n1yMCCLELLAN ERIN Cfield
6AQUITANIA ARRIVALCRUZ ANGEL5.0STag dropSharp work2026-09-30 PEN 5f 60.00 Bg MT ft 1/1; 2026-09-16 PEN 4f 49.80 B MT ft 11/14 · barn: same as lastClm7500n1y → Clm 4000n1yKREISER TIMOTHY Cfield
5LAFITTES FLEETCORA D6.0CSame trip2026-09-29 PEN 4f 50.60 B MT ft 22/26; 2026-05-29 PEN 4f 47.60 B MT ft 3/23 · barn: same as lastClm4000n1y → Clm 4000n1yKRAVETS BRUCE Mfield

From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.

PLAY passPass — no tote needed
  1. RACEPEN R5 · 2026-10-07 · Dirt 1320y · Clm 4000n1y
  2. SHAPETwo-EP duel (#2 vs #3) sets up stalkers/closers; #2 YORKVILLE is the class of the field but is chalk at 2.5
  3. CHALKFavorite#2 YORKVILLE · solid · top fig, top pace, sharp works, real class drop — rightful favorite, opposable only if the duel cooks it
  4. LEANWinner call#2 YORKVILLE · best horse, cleanest form, drop is real
  5. PRIMED#1 IRA THE ICON (2nd off layoff, trouble last, class drop — path exists in B/C, but model edge is zero)
  6. PRICEnone — no non-chalk overlay clears
  7. PLAYPrice ticketPASS
  8. KILL#2 gets hooked in a speed duel and empties; #1 needs the duel to materialize and still lacks a fig to recommend at any price
  9. MISSINGlive tote, official scratches, weather/track variant, rider changes post-ingest

Why

Dirt sprint, cheap n1y claimer at Penn, six-horse field with moderate-to-high volatility driven by a two-speed duel and a wide-open pace scenario. Two EP types (#2 YORKVILLE and #3 POWER AGENDA) figure to hook up on the front end, making this a shape race for the stalkers and closers behind them, while the chalk (#2) is a legitimate class dropper with top figures but is favored at 2.5-1 with no non-chalk price overlays on the board. #1 IRA THE ICON is the only primed non-chalk horse (2nd off layoff + trouble last + class drop), but its model edge is flat at 0.000 and its factors are weak across the board, leaving no overlay to hang a play on.

Tote field

Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.

Sign in to stamp the board

Practice ticket

Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.

Sign in to stamp a board print

Price / ready board

Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.

Ready, not overlaid

#1 IRA THE ICONML 3.02nd off layoffTrouble lastTag dropSame trip

Full field

#HorseML Mkt% Model% Edge Signal StyleSheet Result
2YORKVILLE2.523.6%31.1%+7.6%1.36EPfavoriteTag dropSharp workTop last figTop last paceSame trip—
1IRA THE ICON3.020.6%20.6%+0.0%0.25C2nd off layoffTrouble lastTag dropSame trip—
3POWER AGENDA4.016.5%15.2%-1.3%-0.08EPTag dropSame trip—
4BIGDADDYSBOY5.013.8%13.9%+0.1%0.29SHidden paceTag drop—
6AQUITANIA ARRIVAL5.013.8%10.4%-3.4%-0.88STag dropSharp work—
5LAFITTES FLEET6.011.8%8.8%-3.0%-0.94CSame trip—