BTP R6 · 2026-10-06
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find BTP R6 · 2026-10-06 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Wall of early / pressers (#3 #5 #2 #6 #1)
Pressure extreme. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#3BOURBON STREET BOYE
- C2#5EL GAVILANE
- C3#2HOMIEE
- C4#4CHECK THE GRADEP
- C5#6SAINT IN THE CITYE
- C6#1HAPPY CATEP
Honest pace among #3 BOURBON STREET BOY and #5 EL GAVILAN and #2 HOMIE and #6 SAINT IN THE CITY and #1 HAPPY CAT. Ability decides if they do not empty.
Helps #4 CHECK THE GRADE · hurts #3 BOURBON STREET BOY, #5 EL GAVILAN, #2 HOMIE, #6 SAINT IN THE CITY, #1 HAPPY CAT
Pressure: #3 BOURBON STREET BOY and #5 EL GAVILAN and #2 HOMIE and #6 SAINT IN THE CITY and #1 HAPPY CAT hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.
Helps #4 CHECK THE GRADE · hurts #3 BOURBON STREET BOY, #5 EL GAVILAN, #2 HOMIE, #6 SAINT IN THE CITY, #1 HAPPY CAT
Chaos: the map fails and the race becomes a scramble. No dedicated closer on the file.
Helps — · hurts #3 BOURBON STREET BOY, #5 EL GAVILAN, #2 HOMIE, #6 SAINT IN THE CITY, #1 HAPPY CAT
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | BOURBON STREET BOYJIMENEZ ALBIN | 3.0 | E | 3rd start cycleLed lastSame trip2026-09-05 TP 4f 50.20 B MT ft 52/91; 2026-07-29 HAW 3f 35.60 B MT ft 1/1 · barn: same as last | Clm7500n3l → Clm 7500b | CAMPBELL JOEL | field |
| 6 | SAINT IN THE CITYGONZALEZ SANTIAGO | 2.5 | E | Same trip2026-08-31 CDT 4f 46.60 B MT ft bullet 1/8; 2026-07-31 CDT 4f 49.60 B MT ft 15/28 · barn: same as last | OC16000n1x → Clm 7500b | VAN BERG THOMAS L | Favorite |
| 4 | CHECK THE GRADEMITCHELL RICHARD | 3.5 | P | Rising figsSame trip2026-08-06 CNL 3f 37.00 B MT ft 2/2; 2026-07-11 CNL 3f 36.20 B MT ft 8/26 · barn: same as last | Clm4000 → Clm 7500b | CRICHTON ROHAN G | field |
| 2 | HOMIECORREA YARMARIE L | 4.5 | E | Rising figsLed lastTop last figSame trip2026-09-15 HPT 3f 38.60 B MT ft 1/2; 2026-08-08 HPT 3f 38.20 B MT ft 2/4 · barn: same as last | OC10000 → Clm 7500b | BAHENA ISMAEL | field |
| 1 | HAPPY CATRODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO | 5.0 | EP | Rising figsTrouble lastSame trip2026-09-25 BTP 4f 52.20 B MT ft 4/4; 2026-04-21 BTP 4f 50.80 B MT ft 18/29 · barn: same as last | Clm5000n1y → Clm 7500b | SMITH LARRY | primed |
| 5 | EL GAVILANFIGUEROA SERGIO | 6.0 | E | 2nd off layoffTrouble lastSame trip2026-08-22 BTP 4f 48.00 B MT ft 3/26; 2025-12-06 TDD 4f 51.60 B MT sy 2/5 · barn: same as last | Clm4000 → Clm 7500b | FERNANDEZ KELLY A | primed |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEBTP R6 · 2026-10-06 · Turf 1100y · Clm 7500b
- SHAPEWall of early speed (#3 #5 #2 #6 #1); pressure extreme favors lone presser #4 CHECK THE GRADE; speed bias + inside rail further punishes wide, outside early types
- CHALKFavorite#6 SAINT IN THE CITY · fade · eased last out (zForm -2.06), worst post on a rail-bias track, class drop from OC looks like a dump not a send
- LEANWinner call#4 CHECK THE GRADE · won last here at BTP T 1100y pressing, rising fig (72 from 66), only horse who benefits in both A and B scenarios
- PRIMED#1 HAPPY CAT (rising figs +10, trouble last, turf rail post); #5 EL GAVILAN (2nd off layoff, trouble last — stepped slow/checked 3/8 last)
- PRICEnone (no non-chalk overlays on the morning line; model edge on all candidates is below threshold)
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS
- KILLChalk fires cleanly from post 6 if pace implodes early and no one pressures; #2 HOMIE's top fig (78) is live if she repeats her last BTP turf line
- MISSINGlive tote, official scratches, going report / off-turf possibility, rider changes
Why
Turf sprint at BTP, $7,500 claiming, six-horse field — wall of early speed (five E/EP types) makes this a pressure extreme with high volatility for the chalk. #6 SAINT IN THE CITY is chalk at 2.5-1 but posts an ugly zForm of -2.06 and eased last out, drawing the worst post (6) on a track that shows zero wins from posts 8+ and strong inside-rail bias. #1 HAPPY CAT carries three primed flags — rising figs (+10), trouble last (bumped at start), and turf experience — and gets the rail post in a pace duel that should set up a stalker, but the model shows no price overlay and the sheet rec is PASS. ``` ```
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printPrice / ready board
Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.
Ready, not overlaid
Full field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | BOURBON STREET BOY | 3.0 | 20.0% | 20.4% | +0.4% | 0.05 | E | 3rd start cycleLed lastSame trip | — |
| 6 | SAINT IN THE CITY | 2.5 | 22.9% | 19.7% | -3.2% | -0.61 | E | favoriteSame trip | — |
| 4 | CHECK THE GRADE | 3.5 | 17.8% | 19.3% | +1.6% | 0.32 | P | Rising figsSame trip | — |
| 2 | HOMIE | 4.5 | 14.6% | 15.1% | +0.6% | 0.14 | E | Rising figsLed lastTop last figSame trip | — |
| 1 | HAPPY CAT | 5.0 | 13.3% | 14.7% | +1.3% | 0.37 | EP | Rising figsTrouble lastSame trip | — |
| 5 | EL GAVILAN | 6.0 | 11.4% | 10.8% | -0.7% | -0.26 | E | 2nd off layoffTrouble lastSame trip | — |