BTP R2 · 2026-10-06
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find BTP R2 · 2026-10-06 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
No dedicated early — closers need collapse
Pressure moderate. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#1SPRING SPINNINGP
- C2#3WAVE SKIPPERC
- C3#2CLEARSUGARC
- C4#4PEACHES POINTP
- C5#5SPUN TO PURFECTIONS
No dedicated early. Crawl likely. One-run closers may never get a target.
Helps #1 SPRING SPINNING, #4 PEACHES POINT, #5 SPUN TO PURFECTION · hurts —
A surprise early type appears. The crawl map is wrong.
Helps #1 SPRING SPINNING, #4 PEACHES POINT, #5 SPUN TO PURFECTION · hurts —
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#3 WAVE SKIPPER, #2 CLEARSUGAR, #5 SPUN TO PURFECTION).
Helps #3 WAVE SKIPPER, #2 CLEARSUGAR, #5 SPUN TO PURFECTION · hurts —
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | CLEARSUGARGONZALEZ SANTIAGO | 2.0 | C | Same trip2026-09-26 BTP 4f 51.00 Bg MT ft 16/19; 2026-09-19 BTP 4f 49.40 B MT ft 4/13 · barn: same as last | fsOC12500n1x → Clm 5000b | CAMEJO JOSE M | Favorite |
| 3 | WAVE SKIPPERMCKEE J | 2.5 | C | Top last paceSame trip2026-06-25 TP 4f 51.60 B MT ft 23/23; 2026-05-16 TP 3f 38.60 B MT ft 29/38 · barn: same as last | fClm5000b → Clm 5000b | GREENHILL JEFF | Favorite |
| 1 | SPRING SPINNINGBAYS BROOKE | 3.0 | P | Rising figsSame trip2026-06-29 BTP 5f 60.00 B MT ft bullet 1/4; 2026-06-13 BTP 4f 48.00 B MT ft 2/40 · barn: same as last | fClm5000b → Clm 5000b | ALVAREZ YIMI | field |
| 4 | PEACHES POINTHERNANDEZ JANN N | 4.0 | P | Rising figsSame trip2026-04-25 BTP 3f 36.80 B MT ft 3/12; 2026-03-07 TP 4f 50.60 B MT ft 96/112 · barn: same as last | fClm5000b → Clm 5000b | ALVAREZ YIMI | field |
| 5 | SPUN TO PURFECTIONHERNANDEZ LUIS A | 6.0 | S | Same trip2026-05-02 BTP 4f 52.00 B MT ft 34/36; 2026-03-03 TAM 4f 50.60 B MT ft 13/15 · barn: same as last | fClm5000n3l → Clm 5000b | DOMINGUEZ LUIS R | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEBTP R2 · 2026-10-06 · Dirt 1760y · Clm 5000b
- SHAPENo dedicated early speed — crawl likely; pressers #1 and #4 best positioned; closers need a collapse that the pace map does not promise
- CHALKFavorite#3 WAVE SKIPPER (2.5) — solid; top signal in the field, win last out, top LP, same trip; short but rightful; #2 CLEARSUGAR (2-1) — opposable; steep class drop screams dump not send, long layoff, negative route/claiming ROI angles
- LEANWinner call#3 WAVE SKIPPER — fits the crawl map well enough, top pace figs, won this exact spot last out, best signal at 0.72
- PRIMEDnone (no horse clears two flags)
- PRICEnone (no non-chalk overlays)
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS — the only model overlay is chalk (#3); sheet rec is PASS; no price horse with a path
- KILLA hidden early type materializes and sets honest fractions, collapsing WAVE SKIPPER's advantage and handing it to a pure closer; or live tote moves WAVE SKIPPER below a fair number
- MISSINGlive tote, official scratches post-ingest, weather/track condition update, rider changes
Why
Dirt route at the bottom of the claiming ladder — five-horse field, moderate volatility in a short, slow-pace contest where no dedicated early type exists and the crawl map likely favors pressers over one-run closers. Both co-chalks (#2 CLEARSUGAR at 2-1 and #3 WAVE SKIPPER at 5-2) are closers in a shape that punishes closers, with WAVE SKIPPER carrying the higher signal, top pace figs, and a win last out at this exact level and trip, while CLEARSUGAR is dropping steeply from optional-claiming to a $5k tag after a long layoff and shows a negative ROI trainer angle. No horse clears the two-flag primed threshold and no non-chalk overlays survive the model screen.
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printFull field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | CLEARSUGAR | 2.0 | 27.5% | 29.1% | +1.6% | 0.43 | C | favoriteSame trip | — |
| 3 | WAVE SKIPPER | 2.5 | 23.6% | 26.9% | +3.3% | 0.72 | C | favoriteTop last paceSame trip | — |
| 1 | SPRING SPINNING | 3.0 | 20.6% | 22.0% | +1.4% | 0.46 | P | Rising figsSame trip | — |
| 4 | PEACHES POINT | 4.0 | 16.5% | 12.6% | -3.9% | -0.88 | P | Rising figsSame trip | — |
| 5 | SPUN TO PURFECTION | 6.0 | 11.8% | 9.4% | -2.4% | -0.72 | S | Same trip | — |