KEE R7 · 2026-10-04
Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find KEE R7 · 2026-10-04 on their board.
Expert handicap
LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.
Pace map
Wall of early / pressers (#12 #4 #2 #9 #11 #3)
Pressure extreme. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.
- C1#12RECLAMATIONE
- C2#4OVERTIME RULESE
- C3#2BOBS CARROTE
- C4#9DISCOTHEQUEEP
- C5#10SPEEDSTORMP
- C6#11TRE ITALIANIEP
- C7#3EZUMEP
- C8#8EMBRY SHOWS
- C9#1AMOR PATRIAES
- C10#5PIMLOTTS
- C11#7LINCOLNS LAWC
- C12#6MOUNT VERNONC
Honest pace among #12 RECLAMATION and #4 OVERTIME RULES and #2 BOBS CARROT and #9 DISCOTHEQUE and #11 TRE ITALIANI and #3 EZUM. Ability decides if they do not empty.
Helps #10 SPEEDSTORM, #8 EMBRY SHOW, #1 AMOR PATRIAE, #5 PIMLOTT · hurts #12 RECLAMATION, #4 OVERTIME RULES, #2 BOBS CARROT, #9 DISCOTHEQUE, #11 TRE ITALIANI, #3 EZUM
Pressure: #12 RECLAMATION and #4 OVERTIME RULES and #2 BOBS CARROT and #9 DISCOTHEQUE and #11 TRE ITALIANI and #3 EZUM hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.
Helps #10 SPEEDSTORM, #8 EMBRY SHOW, #1 AMOR PATRIAE, #5 PIMLOTT · hurts #12 RECLAMATION, #4 OVERTIME RULES, #2 BOBS CARROT, #9 DISCOTHEQUE, #11 TRE ITALIANI, #3 EZUM
Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#8 EMBRY SHOW, #1 AMOR PATRIAE, #5 PIMLOTT, #7 LINCOLNS LAW, #6 MOUNT VERNON).
Helps #8 EMBRY SHOW, #1 AMOR PATRIAE, #5 PIMLOTT, #7 LINCOLNS LAW, #6 MOUNT VERNON · hurts #12 RECLAMATION, #4 OVERTIME RULES, #2 BOBS CARROT, #9 DISCOTHEQUE, #11 TRE ITALIANI, #3 EZUM
Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.
| # | Horse | ML | Style | Ready | Class | Barn | Role |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | LINCOLNS LAWALVARADO JUNIOR | 5.0 | C | Rising figs2nd off layoffSame trip2026-09-26 CD 4f 48.60 B MT ft 47/155; 2026-09-05 CD 4f 47.80 B MT ft 10/166 · barn: same as last | Alw128175n1x → Alw 120000n1x | BAUER PHILIP A | primed |
| 5 | PIMLOTTGAFFALIONE TYLER | 4.5 | S | Hidden paceSharp work2026-09-27 CD 4f 47.00 B MT ft bullet 1/104; 2026-09-20 CD 4f 49.20 B MT ft 49/100 · barn: same as last | Alw102000n2l → Alw 120000n1x | WALSH BRENDAN P | Favorite |
| 11 | TRE ITALIANICORRALES GERARDO | 6.0 | EP | Rising figs3rd start cycle2026-09-16 TP 4f 49.80 B MT ft 31/63; 2026-08-09 HAW 4f 47.00 B MT ft bullet 1/9 · barn: same as last | Alw102000n2l → Alw 120000n1x | RIVELLI LARRY | primed |
| 8 | EMBRY SHOWBEJARANO R | 6.0 | S | Sharp workSame trip2026-09-26 CD 5f 58.20 B MT ft bullet 1/49; 2026-09-20 CD 5f 60.00 B MT ft 4/15 · barn: same as last | MdSpWt → Alw 120000n1x | BAFFERT BOB | field |
| 3 | EZUMORTIZ IRAD JR | 6.0 | EP | 2nd off layoff2026-09-27 ELP 4f 48.80 B MT ft 14/68; 2026-09-20 ELP 4f 50.00 B MT ft 33/49 · barn: same as last | Alw102000n2l → Alw 120000n1x | COX BRAD H | field |
| 2 | BOBS CARROTTORRES JAIME A | 10.0 | E | Rising figsLed lastSame trip2026-09-03 CDT 4f 49.20 B MT ft 2/14; 2026-08-11 CDT 3f 38.20 B MT ft 1/2 · barn: same as last | Alw50000s → Alw 120000n1x | SANTAMARIA CARLOS | field |
| 4 | OVERTIME RULESPRAT FLAVIEN | 8.0 | E | Rising figs2nd off layoffLed lastSharp workSame trip2026-09-28 TP 4f 48.00 B MT ft 1/1; 2026-09-21 TP 4f 49.60 B MT ft 13/38 · barn: same as last | MdSpWt → Alw 120000n1x | DELACOUR ARNAUD | primed |
| 9 | DISCOTHEQUEMORALES EDGAR | 10.0 | EP | Led lastSharp workSame trip2026-09-24 CD 5f 60.80 B MT ft bullet 1/4; 2026-07-12 CD 3f 37.40 B MT ft 7/15 · barn: same as last | Alw55000s → Alw 120000n1x | SWEEZEY J KENT | field |
| 10 | SPEEDSTORMHAZLEWOOD YEDSIT | 20.0 | P | Rising figs2nd off layoffTrouble lastTop last paceSame trip2026-09-04 CD 4f 47.20 B MT ft 2/73; 2026-08-28 CD 4f 47.80 B MT ft 2/82 · barn: same as last | Alw128175n1x → Alw 120000n1x | MOQUETT RONALD E | primed |
| 12 | RECLAMATIONSAEZ LUIS | 20.0 | E | Sharp work2026-09-21 TP 4f 47.60 B MT ft bullet 1/38; 2026-09-16 TP 4f 51.40 B MT ft 58/63 · barn: same as last | Southwst-G3 → Alw 120000n1x | DAVIS CHRISTOPHER | field |
| 1 | AMOR PATRIAEARRIETA FRANCISCO | 20.0 | S | —2026-09-13 CDT 5f 59.80 B MT ft 2/13; 2026-09-06 CDT 5f 61.00 B MT ft 2/5 · barn: same as last | Alw123391n1x → Alw 120000n1x | DIVITO JAMES P | field |
| 6 | MOUNT VERNONORTIZ JOSE L | 15.0 | C | —2026-09-20 SAR 4f 49.40 B TT ft 7/15; 2026-09-14 SAR 4f 49.00 B TT ft 15/30 · barn: same as last | rCurlinL150k → Alw 120000n1x | DEVAUX CHERIE | field |
From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.
- RACEKEE R7 · 2026-10-04 · Dirt 1540y Alw120000n1x
- SHAPESix early/presser types project a pace duel; stalkers and closers hold structural advantage in A and B
- CHALKFavorite#5 PIMLOTT 4.5ML · usable but short · pace sets up for a stalker but figure is modest and no PRIMED flag stack
- LEANWinner call#7 LINCOLNS LAW · rising figs (88→93), 2nd off layoff, trip trouble last (bumped between at start, inside), closing style inherits in B/C
- PRIMED#7 LINCOLNS LAW (rising figs, 2nd off layoff, trouble last), #10 SPEEDSTORM (rising figs, 2nd off layoff, trouble last, top e1), #11 TRE ITALIANI (rising figs, 3rd start cycle)
- PRICEno overlay flagged (model edges are thin and none clears a non-chalk overlay threshold)
- PLAYPrice ticketPASS — no non-chalk price clears; the two best primed horses (#7 at 5ML, #11 at 6ML) are near or inside a minimum fair line for this class and field size
- KILL#7 LINCOLNS LAW is a C-style that needs the pace to crumble from post 7; if any E horse controls cleanly (Scenario A stays tidy), closers are shut out; #10 SPEEDSTORM at 20ML may be fair given the trainer's allowance ROI drag
- MISSINGlive tote, official scratches, weather/track variant, rider changes post-ingest
Why
Dirt sprint, n1x allowance at Keeneland, 12-horse field with a wall of six early/presser types — volatility is high. The pace map is extreme-pressure with three true E horses and three EP runners projected to the front, which heavily favors stalkers and closers; chalk #5 PIMLOTT is a S-style at 4.5-ML and is usable but short — the pace shape actually sets up for it, though the figure ceiling (90) is modest for this company. #10 SPEEDSTORM is the standout primed horse: 2nd off a 57-day layoff, rising fig (83→91), trouble last (bump at the start, four-wide, stayed on), top e1 of the field at 95, presser style that can drop off the duel and inherit — has a real path in Scenario B.
Tote field
Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.
Sign in to stamp the boardPractice ticket
Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.
Sign in to stamp a board printPrice / ready board
Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.
Ready, not overlaid
Full field
| # | Horse | ML | Mkt% | Model% | Edge | Signal | Style | Sheet | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | LINCOLNS LAW | 5.0 | 13.1% | 14.3% | +1.3% | 0.47 | C | Rising figs2nd off layoffSame trip | — |
| 5 | PIMLOTT | 4.5 | 14.3% | 14.0% | -0.2% | 0.03 | S | favoriteHidden paceSharp work | — |
| 11 | TRE ITALIANI | 6.0 | 11.2% | 11.7% | +0.5% | 0.26 | EP | Rising figs3rd start cycle | — |
| 8 | EMBRY SHOW | 6.0 | 11.2% | 11.2% | -0.0% | 0.08 | S | Sharp workSame trip | — |
| 3 | EZUM | 6.0 | 11.2% | 9.6% | -1.6% | -0.51 | EP | 2nd off layoff | — |
| 2 | BOBS CARROT | 10.0 | 7.1% | 8.4% | +1.3% | 0.75 | E | Rising figsLed lastSame trip | — |
| 4 | OVERTIME RULES | 8.0 | 8.7% | 8.3% | -0.4% | -0.09 | E | Rising figs2nd off layoffLed lastSharp workSame trip | — |
| 9 | DISCOTHEQUE | 10.0 | 7.1% | 8.1% | +0.9% | 0.58 | EP | Led lastSharp workSame trip | — |
| 10 | SPEEDSTORM | 20.0 | 3.7% | 4.2% | +0.5% | 0.60 | P | Rising figs2nd off layoffTrouble lastTop last paceSame trip | — |
| 12 | RECLAMATION | 20.0 | 3.7% | 4.2% | +0.4% | 0.53 | E | Sharp work | — |
| 1 | AMOR PATRIAE | 20.0 | 3.7% | 3.4% | -0.3% | -0.28 | S | — | |
| 6 | MOUNT VERNON | 15.0 | 4.9% | 2.6% | -2.3% | -2.41 | C | — |