closebeat
Start free
← RaceDay

PRX R5 · 2026-10-07

WATCHD1830y1 price overlay(s)2 readyPLAY lookRace Simulator →MC Exotics →Expert handicap ↓Results →After the races
Bet now

Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find PRX R5 · 2026-10-07 on their board.

Expert handicap

LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.

Sign in to run

Pace map

Two-speed duel risk (#2 vs #8)

Pressure high. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.

  1. C1#2BONAFIDEE
  2. C2#1ZOPPI FISCHBEINP
  3. C3#7SHALLUSS
  4. C4#8GOOD SALEP
  5. C5#5UP THE KINGDOMC
  6. C6#4HOUSEBUSTER DUDES
  7. C7#3NA PALI JOES
  8. C8#6CELTIC PRINCES
A · Likely — expected flow

Honest pace among #2 BONAFIDE and #8 GOOD SAL. Ability decides if they do not empty.

Helps #1 ZOPPI FISCHBEIN, #7 SHALLUS, #4 HOUSEBUSTER DUDE, #3 NA PALI JOE, #6 CELTIC PRINCE · hurts #2 BONAFIDE, #8 GOOD SAL

B · Pressure — duel / honest

Pressure: #2 BONAFIDE and #8 GOOD SAL hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.

Helps #1 ZOPPI FISCHBEIN, #7 SHALLUS, #4 HOUSEBUSTER DUDE, #3 NA PALI JOE, #6 CELTIC PRINCE · hurts #2 BONAFIDE, #8 GOOD SAL

C · Chaos — collapse

Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#7 SHALLUS, #5 UP THE KINGDOM, #4 HOUSEBUSTER DUDE, #3 NA PALI JOE, #6 CELTIC PRINCE).

Helps #7 SHALLUS, #5 UP THE KINGDOM, #4 HOUSEBUSTER DUDE, #3 NA PALI JOE, #6 CELTIC PRINCE · hurts #2 BONAFIDE, #8 GOOD SAL

Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.

#HorseMLStyleReadyClassBarnRole
2BONAFIDESANCHEZ MYCHEL J3.5ERising figs2nd off layoffLed lastTop last fig2026-08-15 PRX 4f 49.00 B MT ft 21/65; 2026-04-10 IND 4f 48.20 B MT ft 3/15 · barn: same as lastOC16000 → OClm 16000MOSCO ROBERTprimed
3NA PALI JOESILVERA RUBEN3.0SRising figs2nd off layoffSharp workSame trip2026-09-29 PRX 5f 60.80 B MT gd 1/2; 2026-09-02 PRX 5f 61.20 B MT ft 7/15 · barn: same as lastOC16000 → OClm 16000PADILLA ESTEBANFavorite
7SHALLUSMARTINEZ FRANCISCO5.0SRising figsTop last pace2025-07-17 IND 4f 47.60 B MT gd bullet 1/12; 2025-03-28 IND 3f 34.60 B MT wf bullet 1/9 · barn: same as lastOC16000 → OClm 16000LAKE SCOTT Afield
6CELTIC PRINCEADORNO ABNER4.0SRising figsSame trip2026-10-02 FAI 4f 49.80 B TT ft 3/8; 2026-08-08 FAI 4f 49.40 B MT ft 6/18 · barn: same as lastOC16000 → OClm 16000BRION KERIfield
4HOUSEBUSTER DUDECASTILLO A6.0SRising figsSame trip2026-10-01 PRX 4f 51.00 B MT ft 15/17; 2026-08-08 PRX 4f 50.00 B MT gd 77/106 · barn: same as lastClm12500n2l → OClm 16000FLORES-COBA FELIX Lfield
1ZOPPI FISCHBEINBOWMAN ADAM10.0PRising figs3rd start cycleHidden pace2026-10-03 PRX 4f 49.00 B MT ft 31/55; 2026-08-08 PRX 4f 49.40 B MT gd 59/106 · barn: same as lastOC16000 → OClm 16000WYNER HAROLDprimed
5UP THE KINGDOMRUIZ ELISEO10.0C3rd start cycleTag drop2026-09-09 PRX 4f 49.00 B MT ft 20/39; 2026-08-09 PRX 4f 50.20 B MT ft 15/19 · barn: same as lastClm20000b → OClm 16000SHAW TIM Jfield
8GOOD SALWOLFSONT ANDREW12.0EPRising figsBarn changeSame trip2026-08-07 PRX 5f 60.60 B MT ft 4/17; 2026-07-24 PRX 4f 47.60 B MT ft bullet 1/23 · barn: change vs LINDER LOUIS JRClm12500n2lc → OClm 16000RODRIGUEZ MIGUEL Afield

From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.

PLAY lookLook — stamp tote to make this an action grade
  1. RACEPRX R5 · 2026-10-07 · Dirt 1830y · OClm 16000
  2. SHAPETwo-speed duel (#2 vs #8) · pace high · inside closers/stalkers live · Posts 8+ 0-for
  3. CHALKFavorite#3 NA PALI JOE · usable but short · won last, 2nd off layoff, good late pace — but -0.004 edge, pace is not against it, can't oppose on shape alone
  4. LEANWinner call#3 NA PALI JOE · best model number among non-speed, clean trip last, drew off 9/9 at this trip/track
  5. PRIMED#2 BONAFIDE (rising figs, 2nd off layoff, top fig) — duel risk blunts it; #1 ZOPPI FISCHBEIN (rising figs, 3rd cycle start, LP 95 hidden pace, post 1 inside bias)
  6. PRICE#2 BONAFIDE edge 0.029 · #1 ZOPPI FISCHBEIN edge 0.005 (thin, below overlay threshold)
  7. PLAYPrice ticket#1 ZOPPI FISCHBEIN · min 8-1 · WIN — inside post, stalking style fits rail bias, 3rd-start cycle, LP 95 screaming unmet late kick, duel sets it up; Wyner barn routes run poorly (-0.91 ROI) so only at a price
  8. KILLDuel never materializes (BONAFIDE clears alone and wire-walks); #1 breaks wide again (last: "Brk out;shft 4w") and burns post advantage
  9. MISSINGLive tote, official scratches, weather/track variant morning of, rider changes

Why

Dirt route at OClm 16000/Parx, moderate volatility with a small inside-rail/closer bias that shapes this well for mid-pack stalkers off a pace duel.

\#2 BONAFIDE (E, post 2) and #8 GOOD SAL (EP, post 8) project to hook up early, setting up a genuine pace battle that the bias says will exhaust both and deliver the race to something tracking third or fourth — chalk #3 NA PALI JOE is the logical beneficiary but is a slight under-overlay at 3-1.

Primed #2 BONAFIDE (rising figs 75→86, 2nd off layoff, top fig in the field) has the best number on the page but draws into a duel it will have to survive from the front, while primed #1 ZOPPI FISCHBEIN (rising figs, 3rd start of cycle, LP 95 hidden behind a 5th-place finish last out) sits post 1 with a stalking style perfectly suited to the inside bias and a clean trip in A/B as the rail tracker when the duel burns.

```
```

Tote field

Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.

PLAY is a look. Stamp the board so after official we can grade an action, not a morning-line wish.

Sign in to stamp the board

Practice ticket

Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.

Sign in to stamp a board print

Price / ready board

Price overlays skip the favorite (shortest ML, or under 3-1). Ready flags are PP patterns — not a win % and not a proven ROI. Pace + drop is unique top last pace into a class drop. PD same · not fig skips a trip change and the unique top last speed fig.

Price overlays

#2 BONAFIDE+2.9%ML 3.5Rising figs2nd off layoffLed lastTop last fig
Sign in to bet

Ready, not overlaid

#1 ZOPPI FISCHBEINML 10.0Rising figs3rd start cycleHidden pace

Full field

#HorseML Mkt% Model% Edge Signal StyleSheet Result
2BONAFIDE3.517.9%20.8%+2.9%0.71ERising figs2nd off layoffLed lastTop last fig—
3NA PALI JOE3.020.2%19.7%-0.4%0.03SfavoriteRising figs2nd off layoffSharp workSame trip—
7SHALLUS5.013.4%14.9%+1.5%0.54SRising figsTop last pace—
6CELTIC PRINCE4.016.1%14.3%-1.8%-0.37SRising figsSame trip—
4HOUSEBUSTER DUDE6.011.5%11.4%-0.1%0.08SRising figsSame trip—
1ZOPPI FISCHBEIN10.07.3%7.8%+0.5%0.36PRising figs3rd start cycleHidden pace—
5UP THE KINGDOM10.07.3%5.9%-1.4%-0.75C3rd start cycleTag drop—
8GOOD SAL12.06.2%5.2%-1.0%-0.60EPRising figsBarn changeSame trip—