KEE R10 · 2026-10-09

PASSD1320yPLAY passRace Simulator →MC Exotics →Expert handicap ↓Results →After the races

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Opens BetAmerica. Sign in there. Closebeat does not place this wager. Find KEE R10 · 2026-10-09 on their board.

Expert handicap

LEAN is the winner call. PLAY is the price. Same skill as Cursor. Not a ticket.

Pace map

Two-speed duel risk (#12 vs #11)

Pressure high. From the file. Not Sim%. Not a ticket.

C1#12SPUR OF THE MOMENTE
C2#11STORM DIVAE
C3#1ERICAS BEACHUU
C4#7KEEPUU
C5#2PEPPA MINT PATTIEUU
C6#14MADE UP STORIESUU
C7#3BOURBON ICEUU
C8#4JAZZABELLEUU
C9#10QUIET STORMUU
C10#16RIDING THE PINEUU
C11#5QUEEN OF THE FLEETUU
C12#9BIG LUZUU
C13#6SELAH BREEZEUU
C14#13GREAT GRENZENS
C15#15AMOARAYUU
C16#8TAPIT NITROC

A · Likely — expected flow

Honest pace among #12 SPUR OF THE MOMENT and #11 STORM DIVA. Ability decides if they do not empty.

Helps #13 GREAT GRENZEN · hurts #12 SPUR OF THE MOMENT, #11 STORM DIVA

B · Pressure — duel / honest

Pressure: #12 SPUR OF THE MOMENT and #11 STORM DIVA hook up. Midpack and stalkers improve.

Helps #13 GREAT GRENZEN · hurts #12 SPUR OF THE MOMENT, #11 STORM DIVA

C · Chaos — collapse

Chaos: fractions empty the speed. Closers inherit (#13 GREAT GRENZEN, #8 TAPIT NITRO).

Helps #13 GREAT GRENZEN, #8 TAPIT NITRO · hurts #12 SPUR OF THE MOMENT, #11 STORM DIVA

Win PLAY needs a path in A or B. C-only is price only. Flow priors, not win%.

#	Horse	ML	Style	Ready	Class	Barn	Role
11	STORM DIVAORTIZ JOSE L	3.5	E	Rising figsLed lastTop last figSame trip2026-09-30 CD 4f 48.00 B MT ft 6/31; 2026-09-19 CD 4f 47.80 B MT ft 5/139 · barn: same as last	fMdSpWt → Md Sp Wt	CASSE MARK	Favorite
8	TAPIT NITROORTIZ IRAD JR	4.0	C	Rising figsSame trip2026-10-02 CDT 4f 49.40 B MT ft 14/22; 2026-09-13 CDT 3f 35.40 B MT ft bullet 1/20 · barn: same as last	fMdSpWt → Md Sp Wt	CRICHTON ROHAN G	field
7	KEEPASMUSSEN KEITH J	5.0	U	—2026-09-25 CD 5f 60.40 Bg MT ft 10/14; 2026-09-14 CD 4f 48.40 B MT ft 10/17 · barn: ASMUSSEN STEVEN M (no last-line barn)	— → Md Sp Wt	ASMUSSEN STEVEN M	field
2	PEPPA MINT PATTIEMACHADO LUAN	6.0	U	—2026-09-23 KEE 4f 48.00 Bg MT ft 6/32; 2026-09-13 KEE 4f 48.80 B MT ft 7/18 · barn: COLEBROOK BEN (no last-line barn)	— → Md Sp Wt	COLEBROOK BEN	field
1	ERICAS BEACHSAEZ LUIS	8.0	U	Top last paceSame trip2026-09-30 CD 4f 47.00 B MT ft 2/31; 2026-09-23 CD 5f 60.20 B MT ft bullet 1/9 · barn: same as last	fMdSpWt → Md Sp Wt	CASSE MARK	field
12	SPUR OF THE MOMENTGAFFALIONE TYLER	8.0	E	Led lastBarn changeSharp workSame trip2026-10-02 KEE 4f 49.80 B MT ft 74/85; 2026-09-25 ELP 5f 60.40 Hg MT ft bullet 1/9 · barn: change vs DURR CODY	fMoc50000 → Md Sp Wt	SHARP JOE	field
14	MADE UP STORIESLOVEBERRY JARETH	8.0	U	—2026-09-22 TP 4f 47.00 Bg MT ft bullet 1/72; 2026-09-12 TP 5f 62.20 B MT ft 19/41 · barn: RIVELLI LARRY (no last-line barn)	— → Md Sp Wt	RIVELLI LARRY	field
3	BOURBON ICEHAZLEWOOD YEDSIT	12.0	U	—2026-10-03 KEE 4f 48.40 B MT ft 8/60; 2026-09-26 ELP 4f 48.80 B MT ft 9/33 · barn: LYNCH BRIAN A (no last-line barn)	— → Md Sp Wt	LYNCH BRIAN A	field
15	AMOARAYPAULY SUMMER	10.0	U	Sharp workSame trip2026-10-02 SKY 3f 36.00 B MT ft 1/1; 2026-09-25 SKY 3f 36.60 B MT ft 3/5 · barn: same as last	fMdSpWt → Md Sp Wt	KNIPPENBERG BRIAN	field
13	GREAT GRENZENSAEZ LUIS	10.0	S	Same trip2026-09-23 KEE 4f 50.20 B MT ft 29/32; 2026-09-01 KEE 4f 50.80 B MT ft 8/11 · barn: same as last	fMdSpWt → Md Sp Wt	OLIVER VICTORIA	field
4	JAZZABELLEVELAZQUEZ J R	15.0	U	—2026-10-02 TP 4f 49.00 Bg MT ft 12/39; 2026-09-27 ELP 5f 62.60 B MT ft 8/10 · barn: WALSH BRENDAN P (no last-line barn)	— → Md Sp Wt	WALSH BRENDAN P	field
10	QUIET STORMRISPOLI UMBERTO	15.0	U	—2026-09-30 SAR 5f 63.80 Bg TT ft 5/6; 2026-09-23 SAR 4f 49.20 B TT ft 18/44 · barn: ANTONUCCI JENA M (no last-line barn)	— → Md Sp Wt	ANTONUCCI JENA M	field
16	RIDING THE PINEMORALES EDGAR	15.0	U	—2026-10-04 CD 4f 49.00 B MT ft 43/125; 2026-09-27 CD 4f 48.60 B MT ft 29/104 · barn: SWEEZEY J KENT (no last-line barn)	— → Md Sp Wt	SWEEZEY J KENT	field
5	QUEEN OF THE FLEETCANNON DECLAN	20.0	U	Sharp work2026-10-02 TTC 3f 39.60 B MT ft 23/23; 2026-09-25 CNL 5f 61.80 B MT ft 1/3 · barn: CRUZ JESUS (no last-line barn)	— → Md Sp Wt	CRUZ JESUS	field
9	BIG LUZHERNANDEZ B J JR	20.0	U	—2026-10-02 CD 4f 50.40 Bg MT my 54/64; 2026-09-26 CD 4f 49.40 B MT ft 109/155 · barn: MCPEEK KENNETH G (no last-line barn)	— → Md Sp Wt	MCPEEK KENNETH G	field
6	SELAH BREEZETORRES JAIME A	30.0	U	—2026-10-04 ELP 3f 36.60 B MT ft 2/10; 2026-09-27 ELP 4f 48.00 B MT ft 5/68 · barn: KURTZ SHELBI A (no last-line barn)	— → Md Sp Wt	KURTZ SHELBI A	field

From the file. Not a ticket. Style is U when call1/e1 do not speak.

PLAY passPass — no tote needed

RACEKEE R10 · 2026-10-09 · D 1320y Md Sp Wt
SHAPETwo-speed duel (#12 vs #11); pressure high; stalkers/closers theoretically benefit but no primed price horse has a verified path
CHALKFavorite#11 STORM DIVA · short (3.5 ML) · rising figs (85 off 68), top fig in field, led last, sharp works — solid on ability, short on price
LEANWinner call#11 STORM DIVA · best verified form in the field; duel risk is real but she has the class and fig edge to survive a contested pace
PRIMEDnone — no non-chalk horse clears 2+ ready flags with a viable price path
PRICEno price — model shows no non-chalk overlay; sheet rec PASS
PLAYPrice ticketPASS
KILL#12 hooks her and neither gives ground through the lane; a debut flyer (Rivelli's #14 has elite first-out stats) fires wide and inherits
MISSINGlive tote, official scratches, weather/track variant, rider changes

Why

Sixteen-horse 2YO maiden sprint on dirt at Keeneland, loaded with first-timers and limited form, rates extreme volatility. Two known speed horses (#12, #11) project a duel that should cook both, but the chalk (#11 STORM DIVA) has the field's top last fig (85), rising cycle, and a proven pace edge that could survive if #12 weakens first. No horse in the field clears the non-chalk overlay bar per the ingested sheet.

Tote field

Whole board, one timestamp. This is the price the brief can read. Not a bet. Not Kelly. Morning line is what you ignored. A named PLAY stays a look until this stamp. Late scratch: tap SCR. Empty is missing, not a scratch.

Practice ticket

Type the live board (to-1). We store the print and grade ticket → close after official results. Flat $2 practice. Not an overlay. Not real money. Morning line is shown only so you can see what you ignored.

Full field

#	Horse	ML	Mkt%	Model%	Edge	Signal	Style	Sheet	Result
11	STORM DIVA	3.5	13.6%	18.2%	+4.6%	1.33	E	favoriteRising figsLed lastTop last figSame trip	—
8	TAPIT NITRO	4.0	12.2%	11.7%	-0.5%	0.00	C	Rising figsSame trip	—
7	KEEP	5.0	10.2%	9.8%	-0.4%	-0.00	U		—
2	PEPPA MINT PATTIE	6.0	8.7%	8.4%	-0.3%	-0.00	U		—
1	ERICAS BEACH	8.0	6.8%	7.1%	+0.3%	0.33	U	Top last paceSame trip	—
12	SPUR OF THE MOMENT	8.0	6.8%	6.9%	+0.1%	0.22	E	Led lastBarn changeSharp workSame trip	—
14	MADE UP STORIES	8.0	6.8%	6.5%	-0.3%	-0.00	U		—
3	BOURBON ICE	12.0	4.7%	4.5%	-0.2%	-0.00	U		—
15	AMOARAY	10.0	5.5%	4.4%	-1.1%	-0.74	U	Sharp workSame trip	—
13	GREAT GRENZEN	10.0	5.5%	4.0%	-1.5%	-1.14	S	Same trip	—
4	JAZZABELLE	15.0	3.8%	3.7%	-0.1%	-0.00	U		—
10	QUIET STORM	15.0	3.8%	3.7%	-0.1%	-0.00	U		—
16	RIDING THE PINE	15.0	3.8%	3.7%	-0.1%	-0.00	U		—
5	QUEEN OF THE FLEET	20.0	2.9%	2.8%	-0.1%	-0.00	U	Sharp work	—
9	BIG LUZ	20.0	2.9%	2.8%	-0.1%	-0.00	U		—
6	SELAH BREEZE	30.0	2.0%	1.9%	-0.1%	-0.00	U		—